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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (3,073)
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    • News  (696)
    • Research  (2,076)
    • Events  (8)
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  • All HBS Web  (3,073)
    • People  (5)
    • News  (696)
    • Research  (2,076)
    • Events  (8)
    • Multimedia  (14)
  • Faculty Publications  (906)
← Page 5 of 3,073 Results →
  • 08 Aug 2017
  • News

The Stock Market May Be Poised for a Replay of the 1987 Crash

  • 2023
  • Working Paper

The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio

By: Sebastian Hillenbrand and Odhrain McCarthy
Trailing price ratios, such as the price-dividend and the price-earnings ratio, scale prices by trailing cash flow measures. They theoretically contain expected returns, yet, their performance in predicting stock market returns is poor. This is because of an omitted... View Details
Keywords: Price; Investment Return; AI and Machine Learning; Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
SSRN
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Hillenbrand, Sebastian, and Odhrain McCarthy. "The Optimal Stock Valuation Ratio." Working Paper, November 2023.
  • 1984
  • Chapter

Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market

By: Stanley Fischer and Robert C. Merton
Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Markets
Citation
Related
Fischer, Stanley, and Robert C. Merton. "Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market." In Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes. Vol. 21, edited by K. Brunner and A. H. Meltzer. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1984.
  • 2007
  • Chapter

Stock Market Swings and the Value of Innovation, 1908–1929

By: Tom Nicholas
Keywords: Fluctuation; Financial Markets; Innovation and Invention
Citation
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Nicholas, Tom. "Stock Market Swings and the Value of Innovation, 1908–1929." In Financing Innovation in the United States, 1870 to Present, edited by Naomi R. Lamoreaux and Kenneth L. Sokoloff. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2007.
  • 26 Aug 2024
  • News

Warsaw Stock Market Aims for Revival After ‘Lost’ Years

    The Hidden Costs of Stock Market Liquidity (JFE 1993)

    • May 2001
    • Supplement

    Korea Stock Exchange

    By: Tarun Khanna
    Features a presentation by In-Kie Hong of Korea Stock Exchange discussing the depth of the crisis, its origin, and its possible resolution in the end. In-Kie Hong addresses a class of MBA students at the Harvard Business School. View Details
    Keywords: Financial Crisis; Financial Markets; Stocks; Financial Services Industry; Korean Peninsula
    Citation
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    Khanna, Tarun. "Korea Stock Exchange." Harvard Business School Video Supplement 701-806, May 2001.
    • August 2003
    • Article

    When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms

    By: Malcolm Baker, Jeremy Stein and Jeffrey Wurgler
    We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that stock prices will have a stronger impact on the investment of firms that... View Details
    Keywords: Stocks; Price; Investment; Equity; Forecasting and Prediction; Rank and Position; Markets
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    Baker, Malcolm, Jeremy Stein, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms." Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, no. 3 (August 2003): 969–1006.
    • January 2009
    • Article

    Multinationals as Arbitrageurs? The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment

    By: Malcolm Baker, C. Fritz Foley and Jeffrey Wurgler
    Empirical evidence of imperfect integration across world capital markets suggests a role for cross-border arbitrage by multinationals. Consistent with multinational arbitrage as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) patterns, we find that FDI flows increase... View Details
    Keywords: Multinational Firms and Management; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Valuation; Capital Markets; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Cost; Forecasting and Prediction; Capital; Stocks; Integration
    Citation
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    Baker, Malcolm, C. Fritz Foley, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Multinationals as Arbitrageurs? The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment." Review of Financial Studies 22, no. 1 (January 2009): 337–369.
    • December 2013
    • Article

    Legislating Stock Prices

    By: Lauren Cohen, Karl Diether and Christopher Malloy
    We demonstrate that legislation has a simple, yet previously undetected impact on stock prices. Exploiting the voting record of legislators whose constituents are the affected industries, we show that the votes of these "interested" legislators capture important... View Details
    Keywords: Legislator Incentives; Voting; Return Predictability; Lobbying; Motivation and Incentives; Government Legislation; Stocks
    Citation
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    Cohen, Lauren, Karl Diether, and Christopher Malloy. "Legislating Stock Prices." Journal of Financial Economics 110, no. 3 (December 2013): 574–595. (Winner of Fama-DFA Prize for the Best Paper Published in the Journal of Financial Economics in Asset Pricing (Distinguished Paper) 2013.)
    • 2004
    • Chapter

    The Globalization of Stock Markets and Convergence in Corporate Governance

    By: Gerald F. Davis and Christopher Marquis
    Keywords: Globalized Markets and Industries; Financial Markets; Corporate Governance; Financial Services Industry; Information Technology Industry
    Citation
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    Davis, Gerald F., and Christopher Marquis. "The Globalization of Stock Markets and Convergence in Corporate Governance." In Economic Sociology of Capitalism, edited by Victor Nee and Richard Swedberg. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2004.
    • 1987
    • Chapter

    On the Current State of the Stock Market Rationality Hypothesis

    By: Robert C. Merton
    Keywords: Financial Markets; Stocks; Mathematical Methods
    Citation
    Related
    Merton, Robert C. "On the Current State of the Stock Market Rationality Hypothesis." In Macroeconomics and Finance: Essays in Honor of Franco Modigliani, edited by R. Dornbusch, S. Fischer, and J. Bossons. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1987.
    • 9 May 2013 - 11 May 2013
    • Conference Presentation

    Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors

    By: Frank Nagle
    Citation
    Related
    Nagle, Frank. "Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors." Paper presented at the Trans-Atlantic Doctoral Conference, London Business School, London, UK, May 9–11, 2013.
    • November 2019
    • Article

    The Relevance of Broker Networks for Information Diffusion in the Stock Market

    By: Marco Di Maggio, Francesco Franzoni, Amir Kermani and Carlo Sommavilla
    This paper shows that the network of relationships between brokers and institutional investors shapes information diffusion in the stock market. We exploit trade-level data to show that central brokers gather information by executing informed trades, which is then... View Details
    Keywords: Broker Networks; Institutional Investors; Asset Prices; Business and Shareholder Relations; Institutional Investing; Information; Knowledge Dissemination; Financial Markets; Asset Pricing
    Citation
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    Di Maggio, Marco, Francesco Franzoni, Amir Kermani, and Carlo Sommavilla. "The Relevance of Broker Networks for Information Diffusion in the Stock Market." Journal of Financial Economics 134, no. 2 (November 2019): 419–446.
    • 04 May 2020
    • News

    Investors Rewarded These Signs of Resilience in the Stock Market Crash

      Legislating Stock Prices

      In this paper we demonstrate that legislation has a simple, yet previously undetected impact on firm stock prices.  While it is understood that the government and firms have an important relationship, it remains difficult to determine which firms any given piece of... View Details
      • March 1995
      • Article

      Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market

      By: C. Engel, J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot and T. Rodrigues
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; CAPM; Capital Asset Pricing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Foreign Direct Investment; Behavioral Finance; United States
      Citation
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      Engel, C., J. Frankel, Kenneth A. Froot, and T. Rodrigues. "Tests of Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market." Journal of Empirical Finance 2 (March 1995). (Revised from NBER Working Paper Nos. 2890, March 1989 and 4292, March 1993, "Conditional Mean-Variance Efficiency of the U.S. Stock Market," March 1993.)

        The Relevance of Broker Networks for Information Diffusion in the Stock Market

        This paper shows that the network of relationships between brokers and institutional investors shapes the information diffusion in the stock market. We exploit trade-level data to show that trades channeled through central brokers earn significantly positive... View Details
        • 2021
        • Working Paper

        Stock Investors' Returns Are Exaggerated

        By: Jesse M. Fried, Paul Ma and Charles C.Y. Wang
        The stock market generates less wealth than it appears. We show that total shareholder return (TSR), the standard measure of stock investor performance, substantially exaggerates returns earned by these investors in aggregate, and thus by most investors. The main... View Details
        Keywords: All-shareholder Returns; Capital Flows; Dividend Reinvestment; Equity Premium; Total Shareholder Returns; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Timing
        Citation
        SSRN
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        Fried, Jesse M., Paul Ma, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Stock Investors' Returns Are Exaggerated." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 22-036, November 2021.
        • 10 Aug 2013 - 13 Aug 2013
        • Conference Presentation

        Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors

        By: Frank Nagle
        Citation
        Related
        Nagle, Frank. "Stock Market Prediction via Social Media: The Importance of Competitors." Paper presented at the Academy of Management Annual Meeting, Lake Buena Vista, FL, August 10–13, 2013.
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