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      • May 2019
      • Article

      Corporate Debt, Firm Size and Financial Fragility in Emerging Markets

      By: Laura Alfaro, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari and Ugo Panizza
      The post-Global Financial Crisis period shows a surge in corporate leverage in emerging markets and a number of countries with deteriorated corporate financial fragility indicators (Altman’s Z-score). Firm size plays a critical role in the relationship between... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Debt; Firm Size; Financial Fragility; Emerging Market; Organizations; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Condition; Emerging Markets; System Shocks
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      Alfaro, Laura, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Ugo Panizza. "Corporate Debt, Firm Size and Financial Fragility in Emerging Markets." Journal of International Economics 118 (May 2019): 1–19. (Also NBER Working Paper 25459.)
      • April 2019 (Revised October 2021)
      • Case

      The Rohingya Refugee: Past, Genocide, Future

      By: Reshmaan N. Hussam
      In August 2017, the Myanmar military commenced a brutal pogrom of the Rohingya minority in Rakhine State, Myanmar. The genocidal campaign marked the most recent and decisive of a series of ethnic cleansing efforts fueled by contention around race, religion, and... View Details
      Keywords: War; Ethnicity; Race; Religion; Identity; Change; Resource Allocation; Social Issues; Myanmar; Africa; Bangladesh
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      Hussam, Reshmaan N. "The Rohingya Refugee: Past, Genocide, Future." Harvard Business School Case 719-068, April 2019. (Revised October 2021.)
      • March 2019 (Revised March 2019)
      • Teaching Note

      Populism in Bolivia: From Goni's Neoliberal Shock to Evo's Oil Contract Renegotiations

      By: Rafael Di Tella, Vincent Pons and Nathaniel Schwalb
      Teaching Note for HBS No. 719-001. View Details
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      Di Tella, Rafael, Vincent Pons, and Nathaniel Schwalb. "Populism in Bolivia: From Goni's Neoliberal Shock to Evo's Oil Contract Renegotiations." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 719-057, March 2019. (Revised March 2019.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Dani Rodrik
      We study preferences for government action in response to layoffs resulting from different types of labor-market shocks. We consider the following shocks: technological change, a demand shift, bad management, and three kinds of international outsourcing. Respondents... View Details
      Keywords: Labor; Markets; System Shocks; Trade; Attitudes; Surveys
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Dani Rodrik. "Labor Market Shocks and the Demand for Trade Protection: Evidence from Online Surveys." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 25705, March 2019.
      • February 2019 (Revised March 2019)
      • Case

      Populism in Bolivia: From Goni's Neoliberal Shock to Evo's Oil Contract Renegotiations

      By: Vincent Pons, Rafael Di Tella and Annelena Lobb
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      Pons, Vincent, Rafael Di Tella, and Annelena Lobb. "Populism in Bolivia: From Goni's Neoliberal Shock to Evo's Oil Contract Renegotiations." Harvard Business School Case 719-001, February 2019. (Revised March 2019.)
      • 2019
      • Working Paper

      Outsourcing Innovation: The China Shock Hits Brazil

      By: Laura Alfaro, Maggie Chen, Andrea Lucchesi and Naercio A. Menezes Filho
      Keywords: Outsourcing; China; Brazil; China; Brazil
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      Alfaro, Laura, Maggie Chen, Andrea Lucchesi, and Naercio A. Menezes Filho. "Outsourcing Innovation: The China Shock Hits Brazil." Working Paper, January 2019.
      • December 2018
      • Article

      Introduction to Argentine Exceptionalism

      By: Edward L. Glaeser, Rafael Di Tella and Lucas Llach
      This article is an introduction to the special collection on Argentine Exceptionalism. First, we discuss why the case of Argentina is generally regarded as exceptional: the country was among the richest in the world at the beginning of the 20th century, but it... View Details
      Keywords: Argentine Exceptionalism; Economic History; Economy; History; Argentina
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      Glaeser, Edward L., Rafael Di Tella, and Lucas Llach. "Introduction to Argentine Exceptionalism." Latin American Economic Review 27, no. 1 (December 2018).
      • October 2018 (Revised February 2018)
      • Case

      Masayoshi Son and the Vision Fund

      By: Tom Nicholas, Ramana Nanda and Benjamin N. Roth
      In October 2016, SoftBank Group Corp., the Japanese conglomerate giant caused a significant shock to the worldwide market for venture capital and private equity by announcing the Vision Fund, the largest tech investment fund in the world at close to $100 billion. The... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Venture Capital; Private Equity; Entrepreneurship; Competitive Strategy
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      Nicholas, Tom, Ramana Nanda, and Benjamin N. Roth. "Masayoshi Son and the Vision Fund." Harvard Business School Case 819-041, October 2018. (Revised February 2018.)
      • 2018
      • Book

      A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility

      By: Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
      The collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 caught markets and regulators by surprise. Although the government rushed to rescue other financial institutions from a similar fate after Lehman, it could not prevent the deepest recession in postwar history. A... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Fragility; Economic Risk; Investor Behavior; Behavioral Economics; Financial Crisis; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Investment; Values and Beliefs; United States
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      Gennaioli, Nicola, and Andrei Shleifer. A Crisis of Beliefs: Investor Psychology and Financial Fragility. Princeton University Press, 2018.
      • September 2018
      • Article

      Asset Price Dynamics in Partially Segmented Markets

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Gordon Y. Liao
      We develop a model in which capital moves quickly within an asset class but slowly between asset classes. While most investors specialize in a single asset class, a handful of generalists can gradually reallocate capital across markets. Upon the arrival... View Details
      Keywords: System Shocks; Asset Pricing
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Gordon Y. Liao. "Asset Price Dynamics in Partially Segmented Markets." Review of Financial Studies 31, no. 9 (September 2018): 3307–3343. (Internet Appendix Here.)
      • August 2018 (Revised August 2018)
      • Case

      The De Beers Group: Launching Lightbox Jewelry for Lab-Grown Diamonds

      By: Benjamin C. Esty
      In May 2018, the De Beers Group shocked the diamond industry when it announced it was launching a new fashion jewelry brand of laboratory-grown (synthetic) diamonds. The reaction was swift as people sought to understand the company’s motivations: was it a “huge gamble”... View Details
      Keywords: Diamonds; Differentiation; New Business; Strategy Development; Strategy Execution; Scope; Adjacency; Core; Commoditization; New Product Launch; Mining; Retail; Corporate Strategy; Business Strategy; Disruption; Value Creation; Product Launch; Segmentation; Expansion; Competitive Advantage; United States; United Kingdom
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      Esty, Benjamin C. "The De Beers Group: Launching Lightbox Jewelry for Lab-Grown Diamonds." Harvard Business School Case 719-408, August 2018. (Revised August 2018.)
      • February 2018
      • Article

      Structural GARCH: The Volatility-Leverage Connection

      By: Robert F. Engle and Emil N. Siriwardane
      During the financial crisis, financial firm leverage and volatility both rose dramatically. Consequently, institutions are being asked to reduce leverage in order to reduce risk, though the effectiveness depends upon the role of capital structure in volatility. To... View Details
      Keywords: Leverage; Credit Risk; Crisis Management; Equity; Volatility; Credit; Risk Management; Financial Crisis
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      Engle, Robert F., and Emil N. Siriwardane. "Structural GARCH: The Volatility-Leverage Connection." Review of Financial Studies 31, no. 2 (February 2018): 449–492.
      • January 2018
      • Article

      Big Data and Big Cities: The Promises and Limitations of Improved Measures of Urban Life

      By: Edward L. Glaeser, Scott Duke Kominers, Michael Luca and Nikhil Naik
      New, "big" data sources allow measurement of city characteristics and outcome variables at higher frequencies and finer geographic scales than ever before. However, big data will not solve large urban social science questions on its own. Big data has the most value for... View Details
      Keywords: Analytics and Data Science; Urban Scope; City
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      Glaeser, Edward L., Scott Duke Kominers, Michael Luca, and Nikhil Naik. "Big Data and Big Cities: The Promises and Limitations of Improved Measures of Urban Life." Economic Inquiry 56, no. 1 (January 2018): 114–137.
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Investment Timing with Costly Search for Financing

      By: Samuel Antill
      I develop a dynamic model of investment timing in which firms must first choose when to search for external financing. Search is costly and the arrival of investors is uncertain, leading to delay in financing and investment. Depending on parameters, my model can... View Details
      Keywords: Real Options; Search And Bargaining; Time-varying Financial Conditions; Investment; Venture Capital; Mathematical Methods
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      Antill, Samuel. "Investment Timing with Costly Search for Financing." Working Paper, December 2017.
      • Fall 2017
      • Article

      Strengthening and Streamlining Bank Capital Regulation

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Gregory Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
      We propose three core principles that should inform the design of bank capital regulation. First, wherever possible, multiple constraints on the minimum level of equity capital should be consolidated into a single constraint. This helps to avoid a distortionary... View Details
      Keywords: Banks and Banking; Capital; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Banking Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam. "Strengthening and Streamlining Bank Capital Regulation." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Fall 2017). (Internet Appendix Here.)
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      The Decline of Big-Bank Lending to Small Business: Dynamic Impacts on Local Credit and Labor Markets

      By: Brian S. Chen, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
      Small business lending by the four largest banks fell sharply relative to others in 2008 and remained depressed through 2014. We explore the dynamic adjustment process following this credit supply shock. In counties where the largest banks had a high market share, the... View Details
      Keywords: Small Business; Financing and Loans; Banks and Banking; System Shocks; Credit; Labor; United States
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      Chen, Brian S., Samuel G. Hanson, and Jeremy C. Stein. "The Decline of Big-Bank Lending to Small Business: Dynamic Impacts on Local Credit and Labor Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 23843, September 2017.
      • June 12, 2017
      • Article

      Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Markets: A Comparison of the Global Crisis and the Asian Financial Crisis

      By: Laura Alfaro, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari and Ugo Panizza
      Leverage levels in emerging market firms rose dramatically in the aftermath of the Global Crisis. This column examines whether concerns of a repeat of the Asian financial crisis, which was largely attributed to corporate financial roots, are justified. While firm... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Crisis; Emerging Markets; System Shocks
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      Alfaro, Laura, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Ugo Panizza. "Corporate Balance Sheets in Emerging Markets: A Comparison of the Global Crisis and the Asian Financial Crisis." Vox, CEPR Policy Portal (June 12, 2017).
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Lessons Unlearned? Corporate Debt in Emerging Markets

      By: Laura Alfaro, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari and Ugo Panizza
      This paper documents a set of new stylized facts about leverage and financial fragility for emerging market firms following the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Corporate debt vulnerability indicators during the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) attributed to corporate... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Debt; Financial Fragility; Firm-level Data; Large Firms; Emerging Markets; Borrowing and Debt; Corporate Finance; Financial Condition
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      Alfaro, Laura, Gonzalo Asis, Anusha Chari, and Ugo Panizza. "Lessons Unlearned? Corporate Debt in Emerging Markets." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-097, May 2017. (Revised October 2017. NBER Working Paper Series, No. 23407, May 2017)
      • May 2017
      • Article

      Distracted Shareholders and Corporate Actions

      By: Elisabeth Kempf, Alberto Manconi and Oliver Spalt
      Investor attention matters for corporate actions. Our new identification approach constructs firm-level shareholder "distraction" measures, by exploiting exogenous shocks to unrelated parts of institutional shareholders' portfolios. Firms with "distracted" shareholders... View Details
      Keywords: Investors; Business and Shareholder Relations; Executive Compensation; Stocks; Mergers and Acquisitions
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      Kempf, Elisabeth, Alberto Manconi, and Oliver Spalt. "Distracted Shareholders and Corporate Actions." Review of Financial Studies 30, no. 5 (May 2017): 1660–1695.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Global Portfolio Diversification for Long-Horizon Investors

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Zixuan (Kevin) Wang
      This paper conducts a theoretical and empirical investigation of global portfolio diversification for long-horizon investors in the presence of permanent cash flow shocks and transitory discount rate shocks to asset prices and returns. An increase in the cross-country... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Portfolio; Risk and Uncertainty; Diversification; Capital Markets; Global Range
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Zixuan (Kevin) Wang. "Global Portfolio Diversification for Long-Horizon Investors." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-085, March 2017. (Revised July 2018.)
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