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  • All HBS Web  (299)
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Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (299)
    • News  (9)
    • Research  (259)
    • Events  (1)
    • Multimedia  (1)
  • Faculty Publications  (180)
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  • 2013
  • Other Teaching and Training Material

Operations Management Reading: Forecasting

By: Steven C. Wheelwright and Ann B. Winslow
This reading provides an introduction to forecasting methods. It includes a brief summary of methods based on judgment and a longer section on quantitative analysis. It also provides sample data so students can develop an understanding of concepts such as correlation,... View Details
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Wheelwright, Steven C., and Ann B. Winslow. "Operations Management Reading: Forecasting." Core Curriculum Readings Series. Boston: Harvard Business Publishing 8042, 2013.
  • 1987
  • Working Paper

Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

By: K. A. Froot
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
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Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
  • October 2020
  • Article

Patronage and Selection in Public Sector Organizations

By: Emanuele Colonnelli, Mounu Prem and Edoardo Teso
In all modern bureaucracies, politicians retain some discretion in public employment decisions, which may lead to frictions in the selection process if political connections substitute for individual competence. Relying on detailed matched employer-employee data on the... View Details
Keywords: Employees; Selection and Staffing; Political Elections; Public Sector; Brazil
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Colonnelli, Emanuele, Mounu Prem, and Edoardo Teso. "Patronage and Selection in Public Sector Organizations." American Economic Review 110, no. 10 (October 2020): 3071–3099.
  • March 2009 (Revised June 2010)
  • Case

Neck & Neck: Leveraging the Club Neck Information

Commercial Director Prado wonders how to leverage the loyalty card information to prepare the fall 2008 budget. The case discusses the value of subjective and objective information for profit-planning purposes. Spanish children's apparel retailer Neck & Neck uses... View Details
Keywords: Customer Relationship Management; Profit; Knowledge Use and Leverage; Marketing; Consumer Behavior; Retail Industry
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Martinez-Jerez, Francisco de Asis, Jasmijn Bol, Christopher Ittner, and Katherine Miller. "Neck & Neck: Leveraging the Club Neck Information." Harvard Business School Case 109-070, March 2009. (Revised June 2010.)
  • September 2012
  • Article

The Relationship Between Economic Preferences and Psychological Personality Measures

By: Anke Becker, Thomas Deckers, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk and Fabian Kosse
Although both economists and psychologists seek to identify determinants of heterogeneity in behavior, they use different concepts to capture them. In this review, we first analyze the extent to which economic preferences and psychological concepts of personality, such... View Details
Keywords: Risk Preference; Time Preference; Social Preferences; Locus Of Control; Big Five; Economics; Behavior; Personal Characteristics
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Becker, Anke, Thomas Deckers, Thomas Dohmen, Armin Falk, and Fabian Kosse. "The Relationship Between Economic Preferences and Psychological Personality Measures." Annual Review of Economics 4 (September 2012): 453–478.
  • September 2011
  • Article

Up Close and Personal: Developing Foundations for Leader Development through Personalization of Management Learning

By: Gianpiero Petriglieri, Jack D. Wood and Jennifer L. Petriglieri
This paper examines the process through which management students develop personal foundations (such as self-awareness, self-management, and a grounding life narrative) for the ongoing development and practice of leadership. We conducted an inductive, qualitative study... View Details
Keywords: Leadership Development; Innovation and Invention; Personal Development and Career; Curriculum and Courses; Customization and Personalization; Learning; Management Practices and Processes; Business Education
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Petriglieri, Gianpiero, Jack D. Wood, and Jennifer L. Petriglieri. "Up Close and Personal: Developing Foundations for Leader Development through Personalization of Management Learning." Academy of Management Learning & Education 10, no. 3 (September 2011). (

Nominated for Carolyn Dexter Award For the paper that best meets the objective of internationalizing the Academy presented by Academy of Management. Winner of Best Paper in Graduate Management Education Sponsored by the Graduate Management Admission Council (GMAC) presented by Academy of Management​

.)
  • 2018
  • Working Paper

Corporate Tax Cuts Increase Income Inequality

By: Suresh Nallareddy, Ethan Rouen and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato
This paper studies the effects of corporate tax changes on income inequality. Using state corporate tax rate changes as a setting, we show that cutting state corporate tax rates leads to increases in income inequality. This result is robust to using regression and... View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Taxation; Income; Equality and Inequality; United States
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Nallareddy, Suresh, Ethan Rouen, and Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato. "Corporate Tax Cuts Increase Income Inequality." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-101, May 2018.
  • March 2013
  • Article

Bridging the Gap? Government Subsidized Lending and Access to Capital

By: Josh Lerner and Kristle Romero-Cortes
The consequences of providing public funds to financial institutions remain controversial. We examine the Community Development Financial Institution (CDFI) Fund's impact on credit union activity, using hitherto little studied U.S. Treasury data. The CDFI Fund grants... View Details
Keywords: Financing and Loans; Credit; Government and Politics; Financial Institutions; United States
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Lerner, Josh, and Kristle Romero-Cortes. "Bridging the Gap? Government Subsidized Lending and Access to Capital." Review of Corporate Finance Studies 2, no. 1 (March 2013): 98–128.
  • 2009
  • Case

The Prediction Lover's Handbook

By: Thomas H. Davenport and Jeanne G. Harris
When picking assessment tools to inform better decisions about future paths, executives are faced with a wide variety of options--some of which are well established, while others are in early stages of development. The authors provide an insider's guide to prediction... View Details
Keywords: Analytics; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction
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Davenport, Thomas H., and Jeanne G. Harris. "The Prediction Lover's Handbook." 2009.
  • Article

Deregulation, Misallocation, and Size: Evidence from India

By: Laura Alfaro and Anusha Chari
This paper examines the impact of the deregulation of compulsory industrial licensing in India on firm size dynamics and reallocation of resources within industries. Following deregulation, resource misallocation declines, and the left-hand tail of the firm size... View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Size; Emerging Markets; Supply and Industry; Manufacturing Industry; India
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Alfaro, Laura, and Anusha Chari. "Deregulation, Misallocation, and Size: Evidence from India." Journal of Law & Economics 57, no. 4 (November 2014): 897–936. (Revised February 2014.)
  • September 2009
  • Article

A Detailed Analysis of the Reduction Mammaplasty Learning Curve: A Statistical Process Model for Approaching Surgical Performance Improvement

By: Matthew Carty MD, Rodney Chan, Robert S. Huckman, Daniel C. Snow and Dennis Orgill

Background: The increased focus on quality and efficiency improvement within academic surgery has met with variable success among plastic surgeons. Traditional surgical performance metrics, such as morbidity and mortality, are insufficient to improve the... View Details

Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Health Care and Treatment; Medical Specialties; Outcome or Result; Performance Efficiency; Performance Improvement
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Carty, Matthew, MD, Rodney Chan, Robert S. Huckman, Daniel C. Snow, and Dennis Orgill. "A Detailed Analysis of the Reduction Mammaplasty Learning Curve: A Statistical Process Model for Approaching Surgical Performance Improvement." Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery 124, no. 3 (September 2009): 706–714.
  • March 2022 (Revised January 2025)
  • Technical Note

Prediction & Machine Learning

By: Iavor I. Bojinov, Michael Parzen and Paul Hamilton
This note provides an introduction to machine learning for an introductory data science course. The note begins with a description of supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning. Then, the note provides a brief explanation of the difference between traditional... View Details
Keywords: Machine Learning; Data Science; Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Performance Evaluation; AI and Machine Learning
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Bojinov, Iavor I., Michael Parzen, and Paul Hamilton. "Prediction & Machine Learning." Harvard Business School Technical Note 622-101, March 2022. (Revised January 2025.)
  • December 2011
  • Article

Data Impediments to Empirical Work on Health Insurance Markets

By: Leemore S. Dafny, David Dranove, Frank Limbrock and Fiona Scott Morton
We compare four datasets that researchers might use to study competition in the health insurance industry. We show that the two datasets most commonly used to estimate market concentration differ considerably from each other (both in levels and in changes over time),... View Details
Keywords: Competition; Analytics and Data Science; Market Participation; Insurance Industry
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Dafny, Leemore S., David Dranove, Frank Limbrock, and Fiona Scott Morton. "Data Impediments to Empirical Work on Health Insurance Markets." B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy 11, no. 2 (December 2011).
  • 2015
  • Working Paper

A Theory of Intergenerational Mobility

By: Gary Becker, Scott Duke Kominers, Kevin Murphy and Jorg L. Spenkuch
We develop a model of intergenerational resource transmission that emphasizes the link between cross-sectional inequality and intergenerational mobility. By drawing on first principles of human capital theory, we derive several novel results. In particular, we show... View Details
Keywords: Intergenerational Mobility; Inequality; Complementarities; Human Capital; Equality and Inequality; Income; Family and Family Relationships
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Becker, Gary, Scott Duke Kominers, Kevin Murphy, and Jorg L. Spenkuch. "A Theory of Intergenerational Mobility." Working Paper, August 2015.
  • 2012
  • Other Unpublished Work

The Efficacy of Shareholder Voting: Evidence from Equity Compensation Plans

By: Ian D. Gow, Christopher S. Armstrong and David F. Larcker
This study examines the effects of shareholder support for equity compensation plans on subsequent chief executive officer (CEO) compensation. Using cross-sectional regression, instrumental variable, and regression discontinuity research designs, we find little... View Details
Keywords: Voting; Equity; Executive Compensation; Rights; Performance Effectiveness; Business and Shareholder Relations; Mathematical Methods; Motivation and Incentives
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Gow, Ian D., Christopher S. Armstrong, and David F. Larcker. "The Efficacy of Shareholder Voting: Evidence from Equity Compensation Plans." 2012.
  • Research Summary

Deregulation, Misallocation, and Size: Evidence from India

By: Laura Alfaro
This paper examines the impact of the deregulation of compulsory industrial licensing in India on firm size dynamics and reallocation of resources within industries. Following deregulation, resource misallocation declines, and the left-hand tail of the firm size... View Details
  • March 2017
  • Article

Institutional Ownership and Corporate Tax Avoidance: New Evidence

By: Mozaffar N. Khan, Suraj Srinivasan and Liang Tan
We provide new evidence on the agency theory of corporate tax avoidance (Slemrod, 2004; Crocker and Slemrod, 2005; Chen and Chu, 2005) by showing that increases in institutional ownership are associated with increases in tax avoidance. Using the Russell index... View Details
Keywords: Tax Avoidance; Agency Costs; Institutional Ownership; Private Ownership; Crime and Corruption; Taxation; Agency Theory
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Khan, Mozaffar N., Suraj Srinivasan, and Liang Tan. "Institutional Ownership and Corporate Tax Avoidance: New Evidence." Accounting Review 92, no. 2 (March 2017): 101–122.
  • February 2014
  • Article

National Institutions and Subnational Development in Africa

By: Stelios Michalopoulos and Elias Papaioannou
We investigate the role of national institutions on subnational African development in a novel framework that accounts both for local geography and cultural-genetic traits. We exploit the fact that the political boundaries in the eve of African independence partitioned... View Details
Keywords: Ethnicity; Development Economics; Local Range; Government and Politics; Africa
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Michalopoulos, Stelios, and Elias Papaioannou. "National Institutions and Subnational Development in Africa." Quarterly Journal of Economics 129, no. 1 (February 2014): 151–213.
  • March 2024
  • Article

Investigation of Divergent Thinking among Surgeons and Surgeon Trainees in Canada (IDEAS): A Mixed-methods Study

By: Alex Thabane, Tyler McKechnie, Vikram Arora, Goran Calic, Jason W Busse, Ranil Sonnadara and Mohit Bhandari
Objective: To assess the creative potential of surgeons and surgeon trainees, as measured by divergent thinking. The secondary objectives were to identify factors associated with divergent thinking, assess confidence in creative problem-solving and the perceived effect... View Details
Keywords: Creativity; Cognition and Thinking; Surveys; Health Industry
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Thabane, Alex, Tyler McKechnie, Vikram Arora, Goran Calic, Jason W Busse, Ranil Sonnadara, and Mohit Bhandari. "Investigation of Divergent Thinking among Surgeons and Surgeon Trainees in Canada (IDEAS): A Mixed-methods Study." BMJ Open 14, no. 3 (March 2024).
  • December 2023
  • Article

Association of Hospital System Affiliation with COVID-19 Capacity Burden

By: Zachary Levin, Pinar Karaca-Mandic, Richard J. Boxer and Regina E. Herzlinger
What is the message? The COVID-19 pandemic exposed the highly variable and uncoordinated responses by hospitals. The authors found that while the non-top ten system affiliated hospitals had a larger COVID-19 share index relative to independent hospitals, top-ten system... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Resource Allocation; Health Pandemics; Demographics; Health Care and Treatment; Health Industry
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Levin, Zachary, Pinar Karaca-Mandic, Richard J. Boxer, and Regina E. Herzlinger. "Association of Hospital System Affiliation with COVID-19 Capacity Burden." Health Management, Policy and Innovation 8, no. 3 (December 2023).
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