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- All HBS Web (124)
- Faculty Publications (49)
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- 30 Mar 2010
- First Look
First Look: March 30
people believe the risk decreases (negative recency) but at the same time exhibit more cautious behavior (positive recency). The rest of the difference is consistent with two well established mechanisms: judgment error and the use of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Jan 2008
- First Look
First Look: January 8, 2008
of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the film rental and return patterns of a sample of online DVD rental customers over a period of four months. We View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). So-called optimal inventory policies are categorized here by perceptions of demand that align with reality. Naturally then,... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 31 Jan 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017
whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 26 May 2015
- First Look
First Look: May 26
health care professionals, physicians are challenged to minimize the likelihood of errors that could harm patients while simultaneously making efforts to understand the causes of illnesses and develop better ways to prevent, treat, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 01 Mar 2004
- Lessons from the Classroom
Mission to Mars: It Really Is Rocket Science
one in which your product had to operate 100 million miles from Earth and perform under a range of conditions which were hard to predict in advance), it was impossible to know up front exactly what form a faster, better, cheaper approach... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
- 01 May 2007
- First Look
First Look: May 1, 2007
subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement error and endogeneity. Exploiting a new comprehensive industry-level data set of 29... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 22 Nov 2016
- First Look
November 22, 2016
predict that the board will design incentive contracts that filter out common shocks in performance to motivate costly effort from the CEO—a process that entails the judicious selection of benchmarks for relative performance evaluation... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 08 Oct 2013
- First Look
First Look: October 8
use a new dataset on industry-level targeting to analyze quality FDI based on the subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 29 Mar 2010
- Research & Ideas
Ruthlessly Realistic: How CEOs Must Overcome Denial
denial as a particular risk for large, established organizations as much as for young, entrepreneurial firms? Is denial a predictable downside to success? A: Denial is more endemic to older firms because it so often results from stubborn... View Details
- 11 Feb 2014
- First Look
First Look: February 11
market transactions. Theoretical predictions of a model of household division and land transactions are successfully tested using household panel data from West Bengal spanning 1967-2004. The tenancy reform lowered inequality through its... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 04 Dec 2007
- First Look
First Look: December 4, 2007
belief that one can talk about errors without risk of punishment—and problem-solving efficacy—the belief that the organization will support employees' system improvement efforts—were positively correlated with frontline system improvement... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 10 Jan 2011
- Research & Ideas
Is Groupon Good for Retailers?
anticipation of offering discounts and the possibility of consumers buying multiple discount vouchers. By demonstrating the importance of these factors, and exploring the relationship between these factors, we hope to help retailers View Details
- 10 Apr 2018
- First Look
First Look at New Research, April 10, 2018
emphasize the value of being prudent with money. Additional analysis supports our predicted indirect effect of religiosity on spending through frugality. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54362 2018 The New... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 05 Feb 2013
- First Look
First Look: Feb. 5
earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 17 Apr 2012
- First Look
First Look: April 17
interviews of over 80 individuals from 6 service delivery units and 8 support departments that provide them with equipment and supplies, we find that a lack of interconnectedness among interdependent departments-rather than errors or... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 29 Jun 2007
- First Look
First Look: June 29, 2007
uncertain. The errors are especially severe when the two effects interact. We show that indicators of missing negative opinions predict earnings surprises and announcement day returns, and can be used to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 Aug 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, August 28, 2018
vulnerable to serial correlation in the error structure. We discuss the associated biases and present a robust set of moment conditions for both lagged dependent and predetermined explanatory variables. Furthermore, we show that... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman