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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (124)
    • News  (13)
    • Research  (99)
  • Faculty Publications  (50)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (124)
    • News  (13)
    • Research  (99)
  • Faculty Publications  (50)
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  • 30 Mar 2010
  • First Look

First Look: March 30

people believe the risk decreases (negative recency) but at the same time exhibit more cautious behavior (positive recency). The rest of the difference is consistent with two well established mechanisms: judgment error and the use of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Aug 2008
  • First Look

First Look: August 19, 2008

errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). So-called optimal inventory policies are categorized here by perceptions of demand that align with reality. Naturally then,... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Mar 2004
  • Lessons from the Classroom

Mission to Mars: It Really Is Rocket Science

one in which your product had to operate 100 million miles from Earth and perform under a range of conditions which were hard to predict in advance), it was impossible to know up front exactly what form a faster, better, cheaper approach... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne
  • 08 Jan 2008
  • First Look

First Look: January 8, 2008

of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the film rental and return patterns of a sample of online DVD rental customers over a period of four months. We View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 22 Nov 2016
  • First Look

November 22, 2016

predict that the board will design incentive contracts that filter out common shocks in performance to motivate costly effort from the CEO—a process that entails the judicious selection of benchmarks for relative performance evaluation... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 1, 2007

subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement error and endogeneity. Exploiting a new comprehensive industry-level data set of 29... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 31 Jan 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research: January 31, 2017

whether review times or product novelty predicted adverse event reporting. Longer review times were associated with a lower probability of any subsequent reports and a lower probability of reports involving injury/death. Controlling for... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 26 May 2015
  • First Look

First Look: May 26

health care professionals, physicians are challenged to minimize the likelihood of errors that could harm patients while simultaneously making efforts to understand the causes of illnesses and develop better ways to prevent, treat, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Mar 2010
  • Research & Ideas

Ruthlessly Realistic: How CEOs Must Overcome Denial

denial as a particular risk for large, established organizations as much as for young, entrepreneurial firms? Is denial a predictable downside to success? A: Denial is more endemic to older firms because it so often results from stubborn... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Auto; Retail; Technology
  • 07 Dec 2010
  • First Look

First Look: Dec. 7

why consumers desire unusual and novel consumption experiences and voluntarily choose leisure activities, vacations, and celebrations that are predicted to be less pleasurable. For example, consumers sometimes choose to stay at freezing... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Feb 2014
  • First Look

First Look: February 11

market transactions. Theoretical predictions of a model of household division and land transactions are successfully tested using household panel data from West Bengal spanning 1967-2004. The tenancy reform lowered inequality through its... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 04 Dec 2007
  • First Look

First Look: December 4, 2007

belief that one can talk about errors without risk of punishment—and problem-solving efficacy—the belief that the organization will support employees' system improvement efforts—were positively correlated with frontline system improvement... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 08 Oct 2013
  • First Look

First Look: October 8

use a new dataset on industry-level targeting to analyze quality FDI based on the subjective preferences expressed by the receiving countries themselves. Finally, we use a two-stage least squares methodology to control for measurement View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Apr 2012
  • First Look

First Look: April 17

interviews of over 80 individuals from 6 service delivery units and 8 support departments that provide them with equipment and supplies, we find that a lack of interconnectedness among interdependent departments-rather than errors or... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 29 Jun 2007
  • First Look

First Look: June 29, 2007

uncertain. The errors are especially severe when the two effects interact. We show that indicators of missing negative opinions predict earnings surprises and announcement day returns, and can be used to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Jan 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Is Groupon Good for Retailers?

anticipation of offering discounts and the possibility of consumers buying multiple discount vouchers. By demonstrating the importance of these factors, and exploring the relationship between these factors, we hope to help retailers View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Advertising; Technology
  • 10 Apr 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, April 10, 2018

emphasize the value of being prudent with money. Additional analysis supports our predicted indirect effect of religiosity on spending through frugality. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54362 2018 The New... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 28 Aug 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, August 28, 2018

vulnerable to serial correlation in the error structure. We discuss the associated biases and present a robust set of moment conditions for both lagged dependent and predetermined explanatory variables. Furthermore, we show that... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
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