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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(341)
- News (38)
- Research (263)
- Multimedia (1)
- Faculty Publications (139)
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- Article
Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?
By: K. A. Froot and J. Frankel
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and J. Frankel. "Forward Discount Bias: Is It an Exchange Risk Premium?" Quarterly Journal of Economics 104, no. 1 (February 1989): 139–161. (Revision of "Findings of Forward Discount Bias Interpreted in Light of Exchange Rate Survey Data," NBER Working Paper No. 1963 and Sloan Working Paper No. 1906-87, August 1987. Reprinted in Advances in Behavioral Finance, edited by Richard Thaler. New York: Russell Sage Foundation, 1993: 359-382 and in Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing, 2001.)
- December 1989
- Article
On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations
By: K. A. Froot and T. Ito
This paper examines whether short-term exchange rate expectations 'overreact' by comparing them with long-term expectations. We develop a set of nonlinear restrictions linking expectations at different forecast horizons. The restrictions impose consistency, a property... View Details
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and T. Ito. "On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations." Journal of International Money and Finance 8, no. 4 (December 1989): 487–510. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2577, May 1988.)
- 1986
- Article
The Dollar as an Irrational Speculative Bubble: A Tale of Fundamentalists and Chartists
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
- 1992
- Chapter
The EMS, the EMU and the Transition to a Common Currency
By: K. A. Froot and K. Rogoff
- 1992
- Chapter
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Forecasting and Prediction; Policy
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market." In International Business Reader, edited by D. Duta. London: Oxford University Press, 1992. (Revised from IMF Working Paper No. 90/43 and NBER Working Paper No. 3470, October 1990.)
- Article
Stochastic Process Switching: Some Simple Solutions
By: K. A. Froot and M. Obstfeld
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and M. Obstfeld. "Stochastic Process Switching: Some Simple Solutions." Econometrica 59, no. 1 (January 1991): 241–250. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2998, July 1989. Reprinted in Exchange Rates and Currency Bonds, edited by P. Krugman and M. Miller. London: CEPR, 1991.)
- May 1990
- Article
Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market." American Economic Review 80, no. 2 (May 1990): 181–185. (Reprinted in New Developments in Exchange Rate Economics, edited by L. Sarno and M. Taylor. Edward Elgar, 2001; and in Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Edward Elgar, 2001.)
- 1988
- Chapter
Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists
By: Jeffrey A. Frankel and Kenneth A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Macroeconomics
Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. "Explaining the Demand for Dollars: International Rates of Return, and the Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists." Chap. 2 in Macroeconomics, Agriculture, and Exchange Rates, edited by R. Chambers and P. Paarlberg, 25–80. Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1988.
- Article
Anomalies: Foreign Exchange
By: K. A. Froot and R. Thaler
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and R. Thaler. "Anomalies: Foreign Exchange." Journal of Economic Perspectives 4, no. 3 (Summer 1990): 179–192. (Reprinted in Current Issues in the International Economy: A Reader, edited by L. Goldberg and M. Klein. New York: Harper Collins, 1992; Speculation and Financial Markets, edited by M. Taylor and L. Gallagher. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2001; and in Open Economy Macroeconomics, Volume II, Part I, Article 4 edited by Norman Miller. Cheltenham, U.K. and Northampton, Mass., U.S.: Edward Elgar, March 2006: 74-87.)
- Article
Exchange-rate Dynamics under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach
By: K. A. Froot and M. Obstfeld
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Asset Pricing
Froot, K. A., and M. Obstfeld. "Exchange-rate Dynamics under Stochastic Regime Shifts: A Unified Approach." Journal of International Economics 31, nos. 3-4 (November 1991): 203–230. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2835, February 1989.)
- September 1987
- Article
Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Japan; United States
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Short-term and Long-term Expectations of the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate: Evidence from Survey Data." Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 1 (September 1987): 249–274. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 2216, April 1987.)
- December 1986
- Article
Understanding the U.S. Dollar in the Eighties: The Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; History; Performance Expectations; Economics; United States
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Understanding the U.S. Dollar in the Eighties: The Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists." Special Issue Economic Record (December 1986): 24–38. (Reprinted in Exchange Rate Economics, vol. I, edited by R. MacDonald and M. Taylor, International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, U.K., 1992.)
- September 2014 (Revised May 2015)
- Case
The United Kingdom and the Means to Prosperity
By: Laura Alfaro, Lakshmi Iyer and Hilary White
After struggling through the country's longest recession since 2008, the U.K. was expected to grow faster than any other G7 nation in 2014. Analysts wondered whether the return to growth was because, or in spite of, Prime Minister David Cameron's controversial £113... View Details
Keywords: United Kingdom; Keynesian Multiplier; Inflation; Inflation Targeting; Government Spending; Government Intervention In The Markets; Monetary Policy; Financial Crisis Management; Austerity; Inequality; Public Finance; Government Finance; Macroeconomics; Economics; Government and Politics; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Crisis; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Economic Growth; Business Cycles; Welfare; United Kingdom
Alfaro, Laura, Lakshmi Iyer, and Hilary White. "The United Kingdom and the Means to Prosperity." Harvard Business School Case 715-008, September 2014. (Revised May 2015.)
- March 1987
- Article
Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Asset Pricing; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Analytics and Data Science; Finance
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Using Survey Data to Test Standard Propositions Regarding Exchange Rate Expectations." American Economic Review 77, no. 1 (March 1987): 133–153. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 1672.)
- 1990
- Chapter
Chartists, Fundamentalists, and the Demand for Dollars
By: Jeffrey A. Frankel and Kenneth A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Macroeconomics
Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. "Chartists, Fundamentalists, and the Demand for Dollars." In Private Behaviour and Government Policy in Interdependent Economies, edited by Anthony Courakis and Mark Taylor, 73–128. Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1990. (Reprinted in Greek Economic Review 10 (June 1988): 49-102; and translated in Cuadernos Economicos de ICE, No. 38 (1988): 195-242.)
- December 2003 (Revised April 2005)
- Case
Birth of Modern Macroeconomic Policy, The: Sweden and the Great Depression
By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Lisa Lewis
By early 1937, a debate over the proper conduct of monetary policy raged in Sweden. Sweden's response to the Great Depression was unique. It had, in particular, embraced a revolutionary goal for monetary policy when it abandoned the gold standard in 1931. View Details
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Lisa Lewis. "Birth of Modern Macroeconomic Policy, The: Sweden and the Great Depression." Harvard Business School Case 704-029, December 2003. (Revised April 2005.)
- August 1985 (Revised February 2003)
- Case
Paul Volcker and the Federal Reserve: 1979-1982
Describes three years of the Volcker monetary policy experiment. The Federal Reserve changed the focus by its operating procedure from an interest rate instrument to a reserve instrument and it reaffirmed its commitment to hitting its preannounced monetary growth... View Details
Rukstad, Michael G. "Paul Volcker and the Federal Reserve: 1979-1982." Harvard Business School Case 386-055, August 1985. (Revised February 2003.)
- 02 Oct 2015
- Working Paper Summaries
Gradualism in Monetary-Policy: A Time Consistency Problem?
- 14 Dec 2010
- Op-Ed
Tax US Companies to Spur Spending
been a saving grace in ensuring that the financial crisis did not cause further damage to the economy. With traditional monetary and fiscal policy instruments seemingly exhausted, the mobilization of that... View Details
Keywords: by Mihir A. Desai
- April 2019 (Revised April 2020)
- Case
Reaganomics: Impact and Legacy
By: Tom Nicholas, John Masko and Matthew G. Preble
During the 1980s, President Ronald Reagan and his administration instituted several far-reaching economic policies that had both near- and long-term impacts on such aspects of the U.S. economy as monetary policy, inflation, the tax structure, and the role of... View Details
Keywords: Wealth and Poverty; Business and Government Relations; Leadership; Taxation; Government Administration; Government Legislation; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Economy; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Economic Growth; Equality and Inequality; United States
Nicholas, Tom, John Masko, and Matthew G. Preble. "Reaganomics: Impact and Legacy." Harvard Business School Case 819-007, April 2019. (Revised April 2020.)