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  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Bank Runs and Interest Rates: A Revolving Lines Perspective

By: Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
Revolving credit is at the core of the banking business. Corporate revolving credit lines are demandable claims; thus, similar to a traditional bank run on deposits, sudden widespread drawdowns on credit lines can be destabilizing to the banking sector. However, we... View Details
Keywords: Financial Liquidity; Credit; Financial Crisis; Interest Rates; Banks and Banking
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  • 18 Oct 2013
  • Working Paper Summaries

Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks

Keywords: by John Y. Campbell, Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
  • December 2002
  • Background Note

Simulation of Prices, Rates and Cash Flows (B)

Considers more advanced issues required for complete cash flow simulation, including residual diagnostics (to determine whether a process has been identified correctly), simulation of nonmarket risk variables, and real options. View Details
Keywords: Price; Cash Flow
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  • April 2024
  • Article

Demand-and-Supply Imbalance Risk and Long-Term Swap Spreads

By: Samuel G. Hanson, Aytek Malkhozov and Gyuri Venter
We develop and test a model in which swap spreads are determined by end users' demand for and constrained intermediaries’ supply of long-term interest rate swaps. Swap spreads reflect compensation both for using scarce intermediary capital and for bearing convergence... View Details
Keywords: Swap Spreads; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Interest Rates; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
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  • 15 Aug 2007
  • Op-Ed

3 Steps to Reduce Financial System Risk

structured products. New Investors, New Risk For the purposes of analyzing the implications for systemic risk, the new investors bring 2 important characteristics into play. First, many rely on external risk... View Details
Keywords: by Mohamed El-Erian; Financial Services; Banking
  • Article

Design and Testing of a Mobile Health Application Rating Tool

By: David Levine, Zo Co, Lisa Newmark, Alissa Groisser, A Jay Holmgren, Jennifer Haas and David Bates
Mobile health applications (“apps”) have rapidly proliferated, yet their ability to improve outcomes for patients remains unclear. A validated tool that addresses apps’ potentially important dimensions has not been available to patients and clinicians. The objective of... View Details
Keywords: Health; Mobile Technology; Design; Analysis
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  • 07 Jan 2016
  • News

What the Fed’s Rate Hike Means for America’s Small Businesses

  • June 28, 2011
  • Article

Using Implementation Intentions Prompts to Enhance Influenza Vaccination Rates

By: Katherine L Milkman, John Beshears, James J. Choi, David Laibson and Brigitte C. Madrian
We evaluate the results of a field experiment designed to measure the effect of prompts to form implementation intentions on realized behavioral outcomes. The outcome of interest is influenza vaccination receipt at free on-site clinics offered by a large firm to its... View Details
Keywords: Behavioral Economics; Nudge; Libertarian Paternalism; Public Health; Flu Shot; Behavior; Consumer Behavior; Health Care and Treatment; Cognition and Thinking
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  • Research Summary

Contract Rights and Risk Aversion: Foreign Banks and the Mexican Economy, 1997-2004

In 1997 Mexicos banking laws were reformed, allowing foreign banks, for the first time since the nineteenth century, to purchase controlling interests in the countrys largest banks. Foreign banks controlled 16 percent of Mexican bank assets in March 1997. By June... View Details

  • 11 Apr 2012
  • Research & Ideas

The High Risks of Short-Term Management

managed for the long term." The research team was interested in several issues: Do short-term companies attract a particular kind of investor? Is investing in these firms riskier than investing in companies with longer-term time horizons?... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Financial Services

    Bank Capital and the Low Risk Anomaly

    Minimum capital requirements are a central tool of banking regulation. Setting them balances a number of factors, including any effects on the cost of capital and in turn the rates available to borrowers. Standard theory predicts that, in perfect and efficient... View Details
    • 01 Oct 2009
    • Working Paper Summaries

    Systemic Risk and the Refinancing Ratchet Effect

    Keywords: by Amir E. Khandani, Andrew W. Lo & Robert C. Merton; Construction; Real Estate
    • September 2008
    • Article

    Firm Heterogeneity and Credit Risk Diversification

    By: Samuel G. Hanson, M. Hashem Pesaran and Til Schuermann
    This paper examines the impact of neglected heterogeneity on credit risk. We show that neglecting heterogeneity in firm returns and/or default thresholds leads to under estimation of expected losses (EL), and its effect on portfolio risk is ambiguous. Once EL is... View Details
    Keywords: Volatility; Credit; Investment Return; Outcome or Result; Risk and Uncertainty; Loss; Diversification; Complexity; United States
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    • August 2013 (Revised November 2015)
    • Case

    Prudential Financial - General Motors Pension Risk Transfer: Back to the Future?

    By: Luis M. Viceira and Emily A. Chien

    In November 2012, Prudential Financial and General Motors closed on a $25.1B pension risk transfer (PRT) transaction, the largest of its kind to date by an order of magnitude both in the U.S. market and globally. In exchange for an in-kind transfer of $25.1B in... View Details

    Keywords: Risk Management; Asset Management; Insurance; Retirement; Financial Services Industry; Insurance Industry
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    • 16 Jun 2015
    • News

    Huge growth in China’s money funds poses risk

      How to Make Climate Risk Good Business

      The risk profiles of many real estate markets are rapidly increasing globally. Insurers and mortgage brokers are taking note and adjusting their offering based on widely available climate data and predictive analytics. John Macomber suggests that consumers and... View Details
      • 2016
      • Chapter

      Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply

      By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Gregory Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos
      We present a model of the yield curve in which the central bank can provide market participants with forward guidance on both future short rates and on future Quantitative Easing (QE) operations, which affect bond supply. Forward guidance on short rates works through... View Details
      Keywords: Central Banking; Financial Markets
      Related
      • 27 May 2011
      • Working Paper Summaries

      An Empirical Decomposition of Risk and Liquidity in Nominal and Inflation-Indexed Government Bonds

      Keywords: by Carolin E. Pflueger & Luis M. Viceira
      • 13 Jun 2012
      • HBS Case

      HBS Cases: A Startup Takes On the Credit Ratings Giants

      Fons is about to propose a strategy to Kroll to launch KBRA. Along with Fons, an economist specializing in credit risk and rating agency issues, students are asked to consider several key questions: Should... View Details
      Keywords: by Maggie Starvish; Banking; Financial Services
      • 20 Sep 2012
      • Research & Ideas

      US Competitiveness at Risk

      absolutely want jobs. But we want competitive jobs that can last in a demanding global economy. MP: The sectors where you can generate the most jobs quickly tend to be in things like healthcare and construction—inherently local activities. But any economy is an View Details
      Keywords: Re: Michael E. Porter & Jan W. Rivkin