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  • 07 May 2013
  • First Look

First Look: May 7

decomposes excess return predictability in U.S. and U.K. inflation-indexed and nominal government bonds. We find that nominal bonds reflect time-varying inflation and real rate risk premia, while... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 05 Aug 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Watching for the Next Economic Downturn? Follow Corporate Debt

information about the risk of future economic crashes and deserve more scrutiny from policymakers, economists, and regulators. The paper emerges after years of persistent inflation and mounting interest... View Details
Keywords: by Rachel Layne
  • 25 Feb 2014
  • First Look

First Look: February 25

often sought some equity in mining and other foreign investment projects, but as shareholders they have rarely gained what they anticipated. Only in special cases might the benefits to governments outweigh the risks and often... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 13

proxy for inflation and economic uncertainty. A decomposition of bond betas into a real cash flow risk component and a discount rate risk component shows that yield spreads... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 27 May 2009
  • First Look

First Look: May 27, 2009

  Working PapersThe Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment Authors:Jason Beeler and John Y. Campbell Abstract The long-run risks model of asset prices explains stock price... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 07 Jul 2010
  • First Look

First Look: July 7

Chairman and CEO, Emeritus. Purchase this case:http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/910419-PDF-ENG Colombia: Strong Fundamentals, Global Risk Aldo Musacchio, Richard H. K. Vietor, Jonathan Schlefer, and Carolina CamachoHarvard Business... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 02 Jun 2010
  • First Look

First Look: June 2

may inhibit shorter lead times. A so-called "safety stock effect" can be observed when a lower risk of stocking out under short lead times induces the downstream party to alter its order quantity. A second effect, termed as... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 15 Sep 2014
  • Research & Ideas

Are the Most Talented Employees the Highest Paid? Yes—If They’re Bankers

on compensation of talented people, then you stop this mechanism, and you run the risk of having your company be less profitable," Vallée says. "You're putting a friction on a competitive market that's doing what it's meant to do." He... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Banking
  • 22 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 22, 2007

realized bond risk and bond return volatility. The yield spread appears to proxy for business conditions, while the short rate appears to proxy for inflation and economic uncertainty. A decomposition of bond... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 25 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 25

anti-inflationary stance, while the more recent decrease in bond risks after 1997 is attributed primarily to an increase in the persistence of monetary policy interacting with continued shocks to the central bank's View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 24 Jul 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 24, 2018

visible intervention, like the innovation contest, has both benefits and risks. Our findings suggest benefits such as increased engagement with work and community as well as risks such as discontent that could arise if staff suggestions... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 14 Nov 2017
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

Benjamin Abstract—I present the institutions and incentives of online reviews, including attracting initial reviews, assuring truthful reviews of genuine experiences, and avoiding inflated or deceptive reviews. I also explore the... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 21 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 21

duration function as large-scale shocks to the quantity of interest rate risk that must be borne by professional bond investors. I develop a simple model in which the risk tolerance of bond investors is... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Aug 2024
  • Op-Ed

Can AI Save Physicians from Burnout?

country primarily using the fee-for-service model while struggling to control costs, there is also a risk of embedding questionable practices into AI algorithms. For instance, upcoding—when providers inflate... View Details
Keywords: by Susanna Gallani, Lidia Moura, and Katie Sonnefeldt; Health
  • 17 May 2010
  • Research & Ideas

What Brazil Teaches About Investor Protection

What gave investors the confidence to risk their money? In a recent monograph, Musacchio reports that Brazilian companies were transparent about their operations, including the disclosure of executive compensation—something not even done... View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Banking; Financial Services
  • 03 Jul 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, July 3, 2018

program design under which codes and monitoring are more likely to go beyond mere symbolism and to be associated with improvements in supply chain working conditions. At the institutional level, we find that suppliers improve working conditions more when they face... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • 10 Mar 2009
  • First Look

First Look: March 10, 2009

comparisons on the commission of a particular type of gaming: the self-downloading of an author's own SSRN working paper solely to inflate the paper's reported download count. We find significant evidence that authors are more likely to... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 15 Sep 2003
  • Research & Ideas

The Lessons of New-Market Disruption

Kittyhawk team had layered in components and features that inflated the price point well beyond $50, and Kittyhawk's strategic flexibility was constrained by its growing losses. Epilogue In the end, HP's Kittyhawk was discontinued and... View Details
Keywords: by Clark Gilbert; Technology
  • 02 Sep 2015
  • Research & Ideas

Explaining China's Crash

economists as to what the future holds. Are we headed for a “soft landing,” a correction that can be managed so that growth, albeit at a slower pace, will continue to be solid, or are we at an inflection point and we risk a more... View Details
Keywords: by Christina Pazzanese; Financial Services
  • 08 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 8

nuclear agency, recently asserted, "The iceberg of sanctions is melting while our centrifuges are still working." To mitigate the risk of such "deal drift," the United States and its allies should set a realistic, hard... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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