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  • 2010
  • Article

The Ethical Mirage: A Temporal Explanation as to Why We Are Not as Ethical as We Think We Are

By: A. E. Tenbrunsel, K. Diekmann, K A. Wade-Benzoni and Max Bazerman
This paper explores the biased perceptions that people hold of their own ethicality. We argue that the temporal trichotomy of prediction, action and recollection is central to these misperceptions: People predict that they will behave more ethically than they actually... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Values and Beliefs; Framework; Research; Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Perception; Prejudice and Bias
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  • Article

Towards Robust and Reliable Algorithmic Recourse

By: Sohini Upadhyay, Shalmali Joshi and Himabindu Lakkaraju
As predictive models are increasingly being deployed in high-stakes decision making (e.g., loan approvals), there has been growing interest in post-hoc techniques which provide recourse to affected individuals. These techniques generate recourses under the assumption... View Details
Keywords: Machine Learning Models; Algorithmic Recourse; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Supplement

Predicting Purchasing Behavior at PriceMart (B)

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
Supplements the (A) case. In this case, Wehunt and Morse are concerned about the logistic regression model overfitting to the training data, so they explore two methods for reducing the sensitivity of the model to the data by regularizing the coefficients of the... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Customers; Household; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Supplement

LendingClub (C): Gradient Boosting & Payoff Matrix

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case builds directly on the LendingClub (A) and (B) cases. In this case students follow Emily Figel as she builds an even more sophisticated model using the gradient boosted tree method to predict, with some probability, whether a borrower would repay or default... View Details
Keywords: Data Analytics; Data Science; Investment; Financing and Loans; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction
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  • 10 Dec 2013
  • First Look

First Look: December 10

interaction between analysts and managers on conference calls. The evidence suggests that private interaction with management is an important communication channel for analysts for reasons other than firm-specific forecasting news.  ... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Dec 2023
  • News

Thinking Ahead

As we wind down 2023, there’s talk everywhere of generative AI and how it will fundamentally alter the world as we know it; but how does that translate for your corner of the business world? Is TikTok something you need to take seriously? (Is it time to dance?) We... View Details
Keywords: Julia Hanna; Illustrations by Chris Gash; News, Library, Internet, and Other Services; Information
  • 12 Dec 2023
  • Blog Post

Bridging Science and Business: My Summer Internship at Eli Lilly

short of transformative. Far from your garden-variety "search and evaluate" teams common in Big Pharma, our team operated on a more expansive playbook. We had the exhilarating task of not only evaluating opportunities from companies... View Details
  • 15 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 15

between firms' CSR ratings and analysts' forecast errors, indicating that learning is unlikely to account for the observed shifts in recommendations. Publisher's link: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1507874 August 2013... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 2012
  • Working Paper

~Why Do We Redistribute so Much but Tag so Little? Normative Diversity, Equal Sacrifice and Optimal Taxation

By: Matthew Weinzierl
Tagging is a free lunch in conventional optimal tax theory because it eases the classic tradeoff between efficiency and equality. But tagging is used in only limited ways in tax policy. I propose one explanation: conventional optimal tax theory has yet to capture the... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Cost; Framework; Policy; Taxation; Analytics and Data Science; Performance Efficiency; United States
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  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

credit-market sentiment in year t – 2 also forecasts a change in the composition of external finance: net debt issuance falls in year t, while net equity issuance increases, patterns consistent with the reversal in credit-market... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 26 Aug 2019
  • Research & Ideas

Lipstick Tips: How Influencers Are Making Over Beauty Marketing

rising from an estimated $2 billion in 2017 to about $8 billion in 2019. One forecast shows that spending is expected to jump to $15 billion by 2022. In fact, beauty giant Estée Lauder revealed last week that the company is now spending... View Details
Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman; Consumer Products; Beauty & Cosmetics
  • 21 Oct 2015
  • Research & Ideas

How to Predict if a New Business Idea is Any Good

to grips with the question, Shu and co-author Erin Scott, of the National University of Singapore, needed to find a setting in which they could pinpoint the relationship between initial evaluation and future outcomes—that is, one in which... View Details
Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Accommodations; Financial Services
  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Case

LendingClub (A): Data Analytic Thinking (Abridged)

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
LendingClub was founded in 2006 as an alternative, peer-to-peer lending model to connect individual borrowers to individual investor-lenders through an online platform. Since 2014 the company has worked with institutional investors at scale. While the company assigns... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Data Analytics; Investing; Loans; Investment; Financing and Loans; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; Business Model
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  • Web

Entrepreneurship - Faculty & Research

Keywords: Investment Fund ; Philanthropy ; Charitable Donations ; Sustainability ; Foundation ; Impact Investing ; ESG ; Family Business ; Forecasting and Prediction ; Private Sector ; Renewable Energy ; Social Entrepreneurship ; Climate... View Details
  • 06 Jun 2016
  • Research & Ideas

Skills and Behaviors that Make Entrepreneurs Successful

understanding of the entrepreneurial leader. The program combines self-assessments of their skills and behaviors by entrepreneurs themselves with evaluations of them by peers, friends, and employees. Along the way the data is also... View Details
Keywords: by HBS Working Knowledge
  • Web

Topics - HBS Working Knowledge

Financial Markets (22) Financial Reporting (7) Financial Statements (1) Financial Strategy (11) Financing and Loans (22) Food (12) For-Profit Firms (1) Forecasting and Prediction (26) Foreign Direct Investment (5) Forms of Communication... View Details
  • Web

Business & Environment - Faculty & Research

quantitative implications match a range of moments not targeted in the estimation quite well. We then characterize the optimal policy path implied by the model and our estimates. Optimal policy makes heavy use of research subsidies as well as carbon taxes. We use the... View Details
  • Web

Online Finance & Accounting Courses | HBS Online

intersection of accounting, strategy, and finance, and learn how to evaluate a business’s performance, prospects, and value to make strategic investment decisions that generate financial success. 8 weeks, 5–6 hrs/week Pay by August 14... View Details
  • 02 Mar 2012
  • HBS Seminar

Joe Lassiter/Gordon Jones, Harvard Business School/Harvard University

  • Web

Business Fundamentals Course - CORe | HBS Online

business decisions Implement analytical techniques in Excel Develop effective pricing strategies Identify sources of competitive advantage through differentiation Evaluate the financial health of a business using financial statements... View Details