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- All HBS Web (221)
- Faculty Publications (88)
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- December 2012
- Case
Coca-Cola: Residual Income Valuation
By: Suraj Srinivasan, Beiting Cheng and Edward J. Riedl
The case illustrates the use of the residual income (also known as the abnormal earnings) valuation approach. Students are asked to provide a valuation of Coca-Cola Company using the residual income valuation methodology and understand how it maps into the discounted... View Details
Srinivasan, Suraj, Beiting Cheng, and Edward J. Riedl. "Coca-Cola: Residual Income Valuation." Harvard Business School Case 113-056, December 2012.
- 17 Jun 2010
- Working Paper Summaries
When Do Analysts Add Value? Evidence from Corporate Spinoffs
- 17 Sep 2013
- First Look
First Look: September 17
basis points per month. Further, firms that cast their calls have higher accruals leading up to call, barely exceed/meet earnings forecasts on the call that they cast, and in the quarter directly following... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- June 2013 (Revised September 2015)
- Case
Procter & Gamble
By: Jay W. Lorsch and Kathleen Durante
On July 12, 2012, Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management announced publicly that it had purchased about $2 billion of Procter and Gamble (P&G) stock. Shares in the company closed up 3.75% the day the disclosure was made public. Ackman told the New York... View Details
Keywords: Ackman; P&G; Pershing Square Capital Managment; Disruption; Management Succession; Crisis Management; Acquisition; Consumer Products Industry; Financial Services Industry
Lorsch, Jay W., and Kathleen Durante. "Procter & Gamble." Harvard Business School Case 413-127, June 2013. (Revised September 2015.)
- 13 May 2008
- First Look
First Look: May 13, 2008
levels of thinking. Purchase this book: http://harvardbusinessonline.hbsp.harvard.edu/ b01/en/common/item_detail.jhtml?id=2115&referral=2342 Do Buy-Side Analysts Earnings Forecasts Out-Perform Those of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 Aug 2012
- Working Paper Summaries
Channels of Influence
- 13 Apr 2010
- First Look
First Look: April 13
Interest Rates Author:Luis M. Viceira Publication:International Journal of Forecasting (forthcoming) Abstract This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 19 May 2008
- Research & Ideas
Connecting School Ties and Stock Recommendations
placed on information acquisition and synthesis. Certain agents play key roles in revealing information into equity markets. A large part of an equity analyst's job is to research, produce, and then disclose reports forecasting aspects of... View Details
- 16 Jun 2015
- First Look
First Look: June 16, 2015
that our proxy is associated with earnings and real activities management. Overall, the results show that the time horizon of conference call narratives can be informative regarding managers' myopic behavior. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
Consequences to Missing Quarterly Earnings Benchmarks Authors:Rick Mergenthaler, Shiva Rajgopal, Suraj Srinivasan Abstract We find that missing quarterly earnings benchmarks, especially the analyst consensus... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 19 May 2015
- First Look
First Look: May 19
pessimistic forecasts for banks that could be their future employers. This pattern is not observed when the same analysts forecast earnings of companies that are not likely to... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- July 2002
- Case
Introducing ... The XFL!
By: Susan M. Fournier, Stephen A. Greyser and Seth Schulman
When the XFL professional football league debuted on February 3, 2001, it generated a Nielsen rating of 10.1, higher than any nationally televised program in a Saturday evening time slot. The next week, ratings plummeted, and by week nine the XFL game earned the title... View Details
Keywords: Advertising; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Positioning; Consumer Behavior; Product Development; Culture; Commercialization
Fournier, Susan M., Stephen A. Greyser, and Seth Schulman. "Introducing ... The XFL!" Harvard Business School Case 503-015, July 2002.
- 12 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 12, 2007
but all share a belief in the importance of understanding change over time. Publisher's site: http://www.oup.com/us/catalog/general/subject/Business/History/ The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 2017
- Working Paper
Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers
By: Elisabeth Kempf, Alberto Manconi and Oliver Spalt
Learning by doing matters for professional investors. We develop a new methodology to show that mutual fund managers outperform in industries where they have obtained experience on the job. The key to our identification strategy is that we look "inside" funds and... View Details
Kempf, Elisabeth, Alberto Manconi, and Oliver Spalt. "Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers." SSRN Working Paper Series, No. 2124896, May 2017.
- April 2012
- Article
The Predictive Value of Accruals and Consequences for Market Anomalies
By: Francois Brochet, Seunghan Nam and Joshua Ronen
We revisit the role of the cash and accrual components of accounting earnings in predicting future cash flows using out-of-sample predictions and market value of equity as a proxy for all future cash flows. We find that, on average, accruals improve upon current cash... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Value; Equity; Markets; Cash Flow; Information Management; Accrual Accounting; Earnings Management; Corporate Governance; Stocks
Brochet, Francois, Seunghan Nam, and Joshua Ronen. "The Predictive Value of Accruals and Consequences for Market Anomalies." Journal of Accounting, Auditing & Finance 27, no. 2 (April 2012).
- 01 Jul 2014
- First Look
First Look: July 1
Fútbol By: Elberse, Anita Abstract—Markets for soccer players are winner-take-all markets in which a select few top players earn extremely high rewards. The search for effective talent strategies in these conditions has led clubs to... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- February 2022 (Revised January 2024)
- Supplement
Winning Business at Russell Reynolds (C)
By: Ethan Bernstein and Cara Mazzucco
In an effort to make compensation drive collaboration, Russell Reynolds Associates’ (RRA) CEO Clarke Murphy sought to re-engineer the bonus system for his executive search consultants in 2016. As his HR analytics guru, Kelly Smith, points out, that risks upsetting—and... View Details
- March 2013
- Article
Misvaluing Innovation
By: Lauren Cohen, Karl Diether and Christopher Malloy
We demonstrate that a firm's ability to innovate is predictable, persistent, and relatively simple to compute, and yet the stock market ignores the implications of past successes when valuing future innovation. We show that two firms that invest the exact same in... View Details
Keywords: Innovation; Return Predictability; R&D; Information; Forecasting and Prediction; Research and Development; Innovation and Invention
Cohen, Lauren, Karl Diether, and Christopher Malloy. "Misvaluing Innovation." Review of Financial Studies 26, no. 3 (March 2013): 635–666.
- 21 Aug 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, August 21, 2018
We implement a variety of machine learning methods to forecast daily sales. We find that using social media information results in statistically significant improvements in the out-of-sample accuracy of the forecasts, with relative... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- June 2012
- Article
Decoding Inside Information
By: Lauren Cohen, Christopher Malloy and Lukasz Pomorski
Using a simple empirical strategy, we decode the information in insider trading. Exploiting the fact that insiders trade for a variety of reasons, we show that there is predictable, identifiable "routine" insider trading that is not informative for the future of firms.... View Details
Keywords: Strategy; Financial Markets; Forecasting and Prediction; Law Enforcement; Opportunities; Geographic Location; Business Earnings
Cohen, Lauren, Christopher Malloy, and Lukasz Pomorski. "Decoding Inside Information." Journal of Finance 67, no. 3 (June 2012): 1009–1043. (Winner of Chicago Quantitative Alliance Academic Paper Competition. First Prize presented by Chicago Quantitative Alliance. Winner of Institute for Quantitative Investment Research (INQUIRE) Grant presented by Institute for Quantitative Investment Research.)