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    • Research  (171)
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  • All HBS Web  (191)
    • News  (16)
    • Research  (171)
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  • Article

Inflation and Taxes in a Growing Economy with Debt and Equity

By: M. Feldstein, Jerry R. Green and Eytan Sheshinski
Our tax system was designed for an economy with little or no inflation. The current paper shows that inflation causes capricious changes in the effective rate of tax on capital income and therefore in the real net rate of return that savers receive. This is not only a... View Details
Keywords: Taxation; Inflation and Deflation; Economy
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Feldstein, M., Jerry R. Green, and Eytan Sheshinski. "Inflation and Taxes in a Growing Economy with Debt and Equity." Special Issue on Research in Taxation. Journal of Political Economy 86, no. 2 pt. 2 (April 1978): S53–S70.
  • Article

Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina

By: Alberto Cavallo, Guillermo Cruces and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
When forming expectations, households may be influenced by perceived bias in the information they receive. In this paper, we study how individuals learn from potentially biased statistics using data from both a natural experiment and a survey experiment during a... View Details
Keywords: Inflation Expectations; Bayesian Estimation; Inflation and Deflation; Information; Household; Behavior; Argentina
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Cavallo, Alberto, Guillermo Cruces, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Learning from Potentially Biased Statistics: Household Inflation Perceptions and Expectations in Argentina." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Spring 2016): 59–108.
  • November 2019
  • Case

Floating the Exchange Rate: In Pursuit of the Chinese Dream

By: Laura Alfaro and Sarah Jeong
In the decades following 2005, China faced significant financial challenges. Inflation spiraled upwards and China’s economy stagnated in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. The country’s leaders took an interventionist approach to weather the storm, controlling... View Details
Keywords: Exchange Rate; Inflation; Debt; Currency Exchange Rate; Inflation and Deflation; Borrowing and Debt; China
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Alfaro, Laura, and Sarah Jeong. "Floating the Exchange Rate: In Pursuit of the Chinese Dream." Harvard Business School Case 320-039, November 2019.
  • December 2024
  • Article

Large Shocks Travel Fast

By: Alberto Cavallo, Francesco Lippi and Ken Miyahara
We document a sizeable increase in the frequency of price adjustments following the large energy shocks of 2022. We use a tractable New Keynesian model, calibrated to the pre-shock data, to interpret such a pattern. The calibration highlights the state-dependence of... View Details
Keywords: System Shocks; Price; Cost; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Institutions
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Cavallo, Alberto, Francesco Lippi, and Ken Miyahara. "Large Shocks Travel Fast." American Economic Review: Insights 6, no. 4 (December 2024): 558–574.
  • June 2003
  • Article

Thinking Real: Key to Financial Analysis in Deflationary Periods

By: David Hawkins
Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Finance; Theory; Inflation and Deflation
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Hawkins, David. "Thinking Real: Key to Financial Analysis in Deflationary Periods." Accounting Bulletin, no. 119 (June 2003).
  • April 2011 (Revised May 2013)
  • Case

South Africa (A): Stuck in the Middle?

By: Richard H. K. Vietor and Diego Comin
Fifteen years after ending apartheid, formal unemployment in South Africa was still at 24%. While the country had grown at 4 to 5% annually during the 2000s, the financial crisis set it back by 1 million more unemployed. Moreover, it seemed as if the nation were stuck... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Policy; Employment; Wages; Competition; South Africa
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Vietor, Richard H. K., and Diego Comin. "South Africa (A): Stuck in the Middle?" Harvard Business School Case 711-084, April 2011. (Revised May 2013.)
  • May 2025
  • Article

Argentina’s Disinflation: An International and Historical Perspective

By: Rafael Di Tella, Franco Nuñez and Pablo Ottonello
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Economy; Argentina
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Di Tella, Rafael, Franco Nuñez, and Pablo Ottonello. "Argentina’s Disinflation: An International and Historical Perspective." Quarterly Review - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 45, no. 1 (May 2025).
  • April 2011 (Revised December 2012)
  • Supplement

South Africa (B): Getting Unstuck?

By: Richard H. K. Vietor and Diego Comin
15 years after ending apartheid, formal unemployment in South Africa was still at 24%. While the country had grown at 4 to 5% annually during the 2000s, the financial crisis set it back by 1 million more unemployed. Moreover, it seemed as if the nation were stuck... View Details
Keywords: Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Policy; Employment; Wages; Competition; South Africa
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Vietor, Richard H. K., and Diego Comin. "South Africa (B): Getting Unstuck?" Harvard Business School Supplement 711-085, April 2011. (Revised December 2012.)
  • 27 Sep 2024
  • Research & Ideas

Charting 'Cheapflation': How Budget Brands Got So Pricey

Surging inflation drove many consumers to cheaper brands or lower-quality products, but new data suggests that switching might not have saved them as much as they might have expected. During the most recent period of high inflation, prices of the least expensive... View Details
Keywords: by Ana Elena Azpúrua
  • 2023
  • Working Paper

Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates

By: Max Miller, James Paron and Jessica Wachter
Sovereign debt yields have declined dramatically over the last half-century. Standard explanations, including aging populations and increases in asset demand from abroad, encounter difficulties when confronted with the full range of evidence. We propose an explanation... View Details
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Interest Rates; Debt Securities
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Miller, Max, James Paron, and Jessica Wachter. "Sovereign Default and the Decline in Interest Rates." Working Paper, June 2023. (Revise and Resubmit, Review of Financial Studies.)
  • June 2010
  • Article

Correspondence Bias in Performance Evaluation: Why Grade Inflation Works

By: D. A. Moore, S. A. Swift, Z. S. Sharek and F. Gino
Keywords: Prejudice and Bias; Performance Evaluation; Inflation and Deflation
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Moore, D. A., S. A. Swift, Z. S. Sharek, and F. Gino. "Correspondence Bias in Performance Evaluation: Why Grade Inflation Works." Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 36, no. 6 (June 2010): 843–852.
  • Article

Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets

By: John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller and Luis M. Viceira
Keywords: Bonds; Markets; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Crisis
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Campbell, John Y., Robert J. Shiller, and Luis M. Viceira. "Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets." Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (Spring 2009): 79–120.
  • 14 Dec 2015
  • Research & Ideas

Deflategate and the Sustained Success of the New England Patriots

human nature and organizations and performance,” Iansiti says. “The case shows that in any kind of environment, you’ve got to know your stuff. So from this perspective you can’t go ahead and accuse somebody of deflating a football without... View Details
Keywords: by Roberta Holland; Sports
  • May 2023
  • Case

Uruguay: South America's Singapore?

By: Richard Vietor
Uruguay, the richest country in Latin America and the only one that has not turned to the left, suffers from slow growth, high inflation and a weak education system. President Lacrolle Pou has two more years in office to reform these problems. View Details
Keywords: Macroeconomics; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Inflation and Deflation; Government Administration; Latin America; Uruguay
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Vietor, Richard. "Uruguay: South America's Singapore?" Harvard Business School Case 723-060, May 2023.
  • 2009
  • Working Paper

Altruistic Dynamic Pricing with Customer Regret

By: Julio J. Rotemberg
A model is considered where firms internalize the regret costs that consumers experience when they see an unexpected price change. Regret costs are assumed to be increasing in the size of price changes and this can explain why the size of price increases is less... View Details
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Price; Marketing; Consumer Behavior; Mathematical Methods
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Rotemberg, Julio J. "Altruistic Dynamic Pricing with Customer Regret." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 14933, April 2009.
  • May 2013
  • Supplement

Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)

By: Laura Alfaro and Hilary White
Assuming office in December 2012, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was determined to revive Japan's stagnating economy through an ambitious plan known as 'Abenomics.' Under the guidance of the newly appointed governor of the central bank, Haruhiko Kuroda, the Bank of Japan... View Details
Keywords: Japan; Inflation Targeting; Inflation; Abenomics; Monetary Policy; Stimulus; Quantitative Easing; Government Bonds; Macroeconomics; Inflation and Deflation; Money; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Japan
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Alfaro, Laura, and Hilary White. "Kinyuseisaku: Monetary Policy in Japan (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 713-086, May 2013.
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy

By: Michael D. Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam
We document that the Fed’s perceived monetary policy response to inflation shifted materially over the post-pandemic period. In forward-looking policy rules estimated from surveys of macroeconomic forecasters, the inflation coefficient rose significantly after liftoff... View Details
Keywords: Policy; Inflation and Deflation; Interest Rates; Perception; Government Administration
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Bauer, Michael D., Carolin Pflueger, and Adi Sunderam. "Changing Perceptions and Post-Pandemic Monetary Policy." Working Paper, September 2024.
  • December 1999 (Revised January 2003)
  • Case

Standard International Inc. (A)

By: David F. Hawkins
The company top management must make a series of accounting decisions that will determine the company's quarterly income. A rewritten version of an earlier case. View Details
Keywords: Financial Reporting; Financial Statements; Inflation and Deflation; International Finance; Research and Development; Accounting Industry
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Hawkins, David F. "Standard International Inc. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 100-064, December 1999. (Revised January 2003.)
  • 29 May 2006
  • What Do You Think?

How Important Is the “Service Sector Effect” on Productivity?

sides can't win, with better service and more satisfied employees." On the other hand, E. Hassen cautioned, that "Before criticizing, we should examine carefully the social sector effects of wage deflation and higher... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett; Service
  • March 2001
  • Article

Preferences over Inflation and Unemployment: Evidence from Surveys of Happiness

By: Rafael Di Tella, Robert MacCulloch and Andrew Oswald
Keywords: Inflation and Deflation; Job Cuts and Outsourcing; Happiness
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Di Tella, Rafael, Robert MacCulloch, and Andrew Oswald. "Preferences over Inflation and Unemployment: Evidence from Surveys of Happiness." American Economic Review 91, no. 1 (March 2001).
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