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- Research Summary
On the Political Economy of Stabilization Programs
By: Laura Alfaro
This paper provides a political economy explanation for temporary exchange-rate-based stabilization programs by focusing on the distributional effects of real exchange-rate appreciation. I propose an economy in which agents are endowed with either tradable or... View Details
- Research Summary
Optimal Reserve Management and Sovereign Debt (with Fabio Kanczuk)
By: Laura Alfaro
Most models currently used to determine optimal foreign reserve holdings take the level of international debt as given. Some of the implications of this analysis, however, may not be generalized once one considers the joint decision to hold debt and reserves by a... View Details
- Research Summary
Overview
By: John Beshears
In his research, Professor Beshears shows how managers can influence the behavior of customers and employees by changing the decision-making environment to call attention to a decision, to use psychological framing to shape assessments of options, or to help... View Details
- Research Summary
Overview
By: Kyle R. Myers
Professor Myers studies the economics of what determines the rate and direction of innovation. He has examined the reallocation of scientists through the use of targeted research grants at the National Institutes of Health, and is working to further understand how... View Details
Keywords: Technology Networks; Commercialization; Science-Based Business; Research and Development; Knowledge Management; Patents; Innovation Strategy; Technological Innovation; Health Care and Treatment; Entrepreneurship; Health; Innovation and Invention; Science; Technology; Knowledge; Intellectual Property; Economics; Microeconomics; Biotechnology Industry; Health Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry; Technology Industry
- Research Summary
Overview
By: Ethan C. Rouen
Relying on empirical archival methodologies—as well as techniques in data science—to develop and structure new sources of data by which to approach questions of looming disclosure changes, Professor Rouen has focused on one of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
Pricing of Climate Risk Insurance: Regulation and Cross-Subsidies
By: Ishita Sen, Ana-Maria Tenekedjieva and Sangmin Oh
We study the pricing of homeowners’ insurance, a $15 trillion market essential for hedging climate-related losses. We show that insurance premiums are subject to starkly different regulations across states, creating persistent cross-subsidies and price distortions. We... View Details
Keywords: Climate Risk; Homeowners' Insurance; Price Controls; Financial Regulation; Cross-subsidization; Climate Change; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Geographic Location; Insurance Industry; United States
Sen, Ishita, Ana-Maria Tenekedjieva, and Sangmin Oh. "Pricing of Climate Risk Insurance: Regulation and Cross-Subsidies." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
- Teaching Interest
Private Equity and Venture Capital (Executive Education)
By: Josh Lerner
As equity markets appear to strengthen, interest rates remain low, and asset values look attractive, private equity firms are uniquely positioned to pursue new opportunities. This
- Forthcoming
- Article
Racial Discrimination and the Social Contract: Evidence from U.S. Army Enlistment During WWII
By: Nancy Qian and Marco Tabellini
This paper documents that the Pearl Harbor attack triggered a sharp increase in volunteer enlistment rates of American men, the magnitude of the increase was smaller for Black men than for white men and the Black-white gap was larger in counties with higher levels of... View Details
Keywords: State Capacity; Institutions; War; History; Race; Prejudice and Bias; Government Administration
Qian, Nancy, and Marco Tabellini. "Racial Discrimination and the Social Contract: Evidence from U.S. Army Enlistment During WWII." Review of Economic Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online May 22, 2025. Available also from KelloggInsight, HBS Working Knowledge, and NBER.)
- Research Summary
Reforming Social Science
By: Max H. Bazerman
Social science research affects all of us. When researchers learned organ donation rates are higher in countries where human organs are automatically available for donation unless you specifically “opt-out” of the system, as opposed to countries like the U.S., where... View Details
- April 2025
- Article
The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates
In this paper I document a striking fact: a narrow window around Fed meetings fully captures the secular decline in U.S. Treasury yields since 1980. By contrast, yield movements outside this window are transitory and wash out over time. This is surprising because the... View Details
Hillenbrand, Sebastian. "The Fed and the Secular Decline in Interest Rates." Review of Financial Studies 38, no. 4 (April 2025). (Editor's Choice.)
- Forthcoming
- Article
The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets
By: Jeremy C. Stein and Jonathan Wallen
We study supply-and-demand effects in the U.S. Treasury bill market by comparing the returns on T-bills to the administered policy rate on the Federal Reserve’s reverse repurchase (RRP) facility. In spite of the arguably more money-like properties of an investment in... View Details
Stein, Jeremy C., and Jonathan Wallen. "The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
- Research Summary
The Politics of Consumer Credit
By: Gunnar Trumbull
A combination of factors has dramatically increased consumer access to and reliance upon credit across the OECD. These factors include financial liberalization and deregulation, improvements in consumer credit information and its analysis, and a growth in debt... View Details
- Research Summary
The Real Exchange Rate, Innovation and Productivity
By: Laura Alfaro
We evaluate manufacturing firms' responses to changes in the real exchange rate (RER) using detailed firm-level data for a large set of countries for the period 2001-2010. We uncover the following stylized facts about regional variation of manufacturing firms'... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking
By: David S. Scharfstein and Antonio Falato
We argue that stock market pressure to generate earnings encourages banks to increase risk. We measure risk using confidential supervisory ratings as well as financial information released in regulatory filings. We document that there is an increase in the risk-taking... View Details
- Forthcoming
- Article
Variable Leases Under ASC 842: Evidence on Properties and Consequences
The new lease standard (ASC 842) allows firms to keep variable leases off-balance-sheet, in part based on the assumption that future expenses are difficult to estimate reliably. We show that variable-lease expenses are both prevalent and substantial, exhibiting... View Details
Heese, Jonas, Albert Shin, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Variable Leases Under ASC 842: Evidence on Properties and Consequences." Review of Accounting Studies (forthcoming).
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