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06 Jun 2005
Research & Ideas

Microsoft vs. Open Source: Who Will Win?

superior product, adding to the probability of success. However, OSS has disadvantages too. Most importantly, it comes from behind in terms of market share (installed base). Because the value of an operating system depends critically on... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Technology

12 Dec 2017
First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 12, 2017

countries for the period 2001–2010. We uncover the following stylized facts: In emerging Asia, real depreciations are associated with faster growth of firm-level total factor productivity (TFP), sales and cash-flow, higher probabilities... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

21 Jun 2011
First Look

First Look: June 21

publicized predictions of 50-100 municipal defaults have caused anxiety among municipal bond investors. While there is some chance that negative investor sentiment will lead to further spread widening, the probability of the kind of... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

22 Apr 2014
First Look

First Look: April 22

the probability that an individual declares bankruptcy, experiences a foreclosure, or is delinquent on a loan. Further results and a simple calibration suggest the result is driven by changes in savings or investment behavior, rather than... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne