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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,262)
- News (116)
- Research (1,041)
- Events (2)
- Multimedia (5)
- Faculty Publications (791)
- 07 Jul 2014
- Research & Ideas
Banning Big-box Stores Can Hurt Local Retailers
have been increasing their footprint of small urban stores. In February, Walmart announced plans to add 270 to 300 small stores during the fiscal year, adding to the existing stable of 346 Neighborhood Markets and 20 WalMart Express stores. The February announcement... View Details
- 19 May 2008
- Research & Ideas
Connecting School Ties and Stock Recommendations
placed on information acquisition and synthesis. Certain agents play key roles in revealing information into equity markets. A large part of an equity analyst's job is to research, produce, and then disclose reports forecasting aspects of... View Details
- 01 Jan 2002
- News
Orin C. Smith (MBA '67)
Wall Street has left the caffeinated powerhouse virtually untouched. The price of Starbucks stock has climbed steadily over the past ten years, gaining approximately 2,200 percent on the ten-year anniversary of the company's 1992 IPO. Net revenues for fiscal 2002 are... View Details
- June 2005
- Article
Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows
By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rate; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Asset Pricing; Financial Services Industry
Froot, K. A., and T. Ramadorai. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows." Journal of Finance 60, no. 3 (June 2005): 1535–1566. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9101, August 2002 and Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 04-036, December 2003.)
- September 2004
- Article
Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows
By: Kenneth A. Froot and J. Tjornhom Donohue
- 2009
- Article
Compelled to Help: Effects of Direct and Indirect Exchange on Perceived Obligation in Professional Networks
By: Roy Y.J. Chua, Billian Sullivan and Michael W. Morris
This research examines felt obligation to help others in employees' and managers' professional networks using a social exchange perspective. We hypothesize that obligation toward others would follow the norms of both direct and indirect reciprocity. Direct reciprocity... View Details
Keywords: Perspective; Conflict of Interests; Research; Surveys; Networks; Forecasting and Prediction; Social Issues
Chua, Roy Y.J., Billian Sullivan, and Michael W. Morris. "Compelled to Help: Effects of Direct and Indirect Exchange on Perceived Obligation in Professional Networks." Academy of Management Annual Meeting Proceedings (2009).
- August 2006
- Article
Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns
By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly subjective and are difficult to arbitrage. We test this prediction by... View Details
Keywords: Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Risk and Uncertainty; Volatility
Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross Section of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance 61, no. 4 (August 2006): 1645–1680.
- January 2010
- Journal Article
A Choice Prediction Competition: Choices from Experience and from Description
By: Ido Erev, Eyal Ert, Alvin E. Roth, Ernan E. Haruvy, Stefan Herzog, Robin Hau, Ralph Hertwig, Terrence Steward, Robert West and Christian Lebiere
Erev, Ert, and Roth organized three choice prediction competitions focused on three related choice tasks: one-shot decisions from description (decisions under risk), one-shot decisions from experience, and repeated decisions from experience. Each competition was based... View Details
Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; Competition
Erev, Ido, Eyal Ert, Alvin E. Roth, Ernan E. Haruvy, Stefan Herzog, Robin Hau, Ralph Hertwig, Terrence Steward, Robert West, and Christian Lebiere. "A Choice Prediction Competition: Choices from Experience and from Description." Special Issue on Decisions from Experience. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 23, no. 1 (January 2010).
- 24 Jan 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research: January 24, 2017
earnings patterns. Firms with historically larger earnings in one quarter of the year (“positive seasonality quarters”) have higher returns when those earnings are usually announced. Analysts have more positive forecast errors in positive... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 05 Mar 2013
- First Look
First Look: March 5
issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the financing costs faced... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- January 2010
- Article
The Role of Experience in the Gambler's Fallacy
By: Greg Barron and Stephen Leider
Recent papers have demonstrated that the way people acquire information about a decision problem, by experience or by abstract description, can affect their behavior. We examined the role of experience over time in the emergence of the Gambler's Fallacy in binary... View Details
Keywords: Experience and Expertise; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction; Knowledge Acquisition; Outcome or Result; Game Theory; Prejudice and Bias
Barron, Greg, and Stephen Leider. "The Role of Experience in the Gambler's Fallacy." Special Issue on Decisions from Experience. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 23, no. 1 (January 2010).
- 16 Jun 2015
- First Look
First Look: June 16, 2015
importance of return on equity in forecasting future stock returns depends on the quality of the accounting information. This extension also reconciles our model with alternative characteristic-based forecasters. These findings suggest... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 25 Jun 2013
- First Look
First Look: June 25
by GBS, Alan Torres, vice president of North America Fabric Care, must finalize the forecast for P&G's laundry detergent sales. Results for the two months since introducing concentrated powder laundry detergent in select retailers saw... View Details
Keywords: Anna Secino
- Article
Competition for Scarce Resources
By: Peter Eso, Volker Nocke and Lucy White
We model a downstream industry where firms compete to buy capacity in an upstream market that allocates capacity efficiently. Although downstream firms have symmetric production technologies, we show that industry structure is symmetric only if capacity is sufficiently... View Details
Keywords: Competitive Strategy; Natural Environment; Technology; Production; Business Cycles; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost; Demand and Consumers; Industry Structures; Performance Capacity
Eso, Peter, Volker Nocke, and Lucy White. "Competition for Scarce Resources." RAND Journal of Economics 41, no. 3 (Fall 2010): 524–548.
- June 2009
- Article
Highbrow Films Gather Dust: Time-inconsistent Preferences and Online DVD Rentals
By: Katherine L. Milkman, Todd Rogers and Max H. Bazerman
We report on a field study demonstrating systematic differences between the preferences people anticipate they will have over a series of options in the future and their subsequent revealed preferences over those options. Using a novel panel data set, we analyze the... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Film Entertainment; Demand and Consumers; Renting or Rental; Power and Influence; Prejudice and Bias; Online Technology; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
Milkman, Katherine L., Todd Rogers, and Max H. Bazerman. "Highbrow Films Gather Dust: Time-inconsistent Preferences and Online DVD Rentals." Management Science 55, no. 6 (June 2009): 1047–1059.
- 20 Mar 2020
- Research & Ideas
How Small Businesses Can Survive the Coronavirus Outbreak
businesses often have less than 20 days’ worth. While forecasts vary, many public health experts don’t expect the coronavirus outbreak to subside for at least eight weeks, assuming that social distancing and other mitigation efforts can... View Details
- 09 Mar 2016
- Lessons from the Classroom
In This Classroom, Beer Can Improve Your Grade
harder for breweries to fall into bailout loans, which happened to many teams last year, Casadesus-Masanell says. Enhanced graphics include waterfall charts for just about every metric imaginable on a team’s own brewery and its competitors. Teams can drill down via a... View Details
- 06 Mar 2013
- What Do You Think?
Who Should Manage Our Work Time?
laid the blame at the foot of "an engineer who had difficulty forecasting simple activities and (the) time to accomplish them." Joseph Mello commented that " part of the problem comes from the view of an organization as a... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
- 21 Mar 2024
- Blog Post
IFC India: Renewable Energy - CleanMax
India is continuing to deploy new fossil fuel power generation, largely because of (a) the tremendous energy demand forecasts of the country and (b) inadequacies in grid infrastructure and energy storage. After the office presentation, we... View Details
- April 1998 (Revised November 1999)
- Case
Hamilton Financial Investments: A Franchise Built on Trust
By: Robert L. Simons and Antonio Davila
Provides a vehicle for students to evaluate risk management in the fast-paced mutual funds industry. A new risk manager has been hired to install new management controls and procedures. A series of decisions will determine how much business and franchise risk the... View Details
Keywords: Risk Management; Management Teams; Managerial Roles; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Funds; Performance Evaluation; Corporate Strategy; Change Management; Financial Services Industry; Banking Industry
Simons, Robert L., and Antonio Davila. "Hamilton Financial Investments: A Franchise Built on Trust." Harvard Business School Case 198-089, April 1998. (Revised November 1999.)