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      • Faculty Publications  (1,226)

      Decision-making In Financial MarketsRemove Decision-making In Financial Markets →

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      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns

      By: Robin Greenwood
      Aggregate investment in cash and liquid assets as a share of total corporate investment is negatively related to subsequent U.S. stock market returns between 1947 and 2003. The share of cash in total investment is a more stable predictor of returns than scaled price... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Financial Liquidity; Cash; Investment Return; Corporate Finance
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Aggregate Corporate Liquidity and Stock Returns." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 05-014, April 2005.
      • March 2005 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Buckingham Park

      By: Arthur I Segel and Joshua A. Katzin
      In September, 2004, Stephen Lebowitz, President of CBL, a $6 billion publicly traded shopping mall real estate investment trust (REIT) with over 70 million square feet, is considering acquiring 170 acres for a new retail development at a racetrack site in Southern New... View Details
      Keywords: Buildings and Facilities; Debt Securities; Investment; Real Estate Industry; New Hampshire
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      Segel, Arthur I., and Joshua A. Katzin. "Buckingham Park." Harvard Business School Case 205-085, March 2005. (Revised May 2006.)
      • March 2005 (Revised June 2005)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (B)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      Supplements the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Governance Controls; Financial Crisis; Foreign Direct Investment; Currency Exchange Rate; Inflation and Deflation; Demand and Consumers; Interest Rates; Capital; System; Central Banking; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (B)." Harvard Business School Case 705-032, March 2005. (Revised June 2005.)
      • March 2005 (Revised July 2007)
      • Case

      Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)

      By: Laura Alfaro, Rafael M. Di Tella and Ingrid Vogel
      In 1991, Chile adopted a framework of capital controls focused on reducing the massive flows of foreign investment coming into the country as international interest rates remained low. Capital inflows threatened the Central Bank's ability to manage the exchange rate... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries and Economies; Economic Growth; Financial Crisis; Capital; Governance Controls; Business and Government Relations; Chile
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      Alfaro, Laura, Rafael M. Di Tella, and Ingrid Vogel. "Capital Controls in Chile in the 1990s (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-031, March 2005. (Revised July 2007.)
      • March 2005
      • Article

      Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage

      By: Robin Greenwood
      I develop a framework to analyze demand curves for multiple risky securities at extended horizons in a setting with limits-to-arbitrage. Following an unexpected change in uninformed investor demand for several assets, I predict returns of each security to be... View Details
      Keywords: Limits To Arbitrage; Event Studies; Demand Curves; Portfolio Choice; Framework; Demand and Consumers; Change; Risk and Uncertainty; Debt Securities; Forecasting and Prediction; Stocks; Assets; Investment Portfolio; System Shocks; Price; Japan
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      Greenwood, Robin. "Short- and Long-term Demand Curves for Stocks: Theory and Evidence on the Dynamics of Arbitrage." Journal of Financial Economics 75, no. 3 (March 2005): 607–649.
      • February 2005 (Revised July 2005)
      • Case

      Aluminium Bahrain (Alba): The Pot Line 5 Expansion Project

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Aldo Sesia
      In September 2002, Aluminium Bahrain (Alba) needed to decide how to finance its proposed $1.7 billion pot line. The company's financial adviser, Taylor De-Jongh (TDJ), had recommended Alba employ a multisourced financing strategy using as many as five sources of debt... View Details
      Keywords: Project Finance; Emerging Markets; Financing and Loans; Investment; Capital; Financial Strategy; Manufacturing Industry; Bahrain
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Aldo Sesia. "Aluminium Bahrain (Alba): The Pot Line 5 Expansion Project." Harvard Business School Case 205-027, February 2005. (Revised July 2005.)
      • February 2005
      • Article

      European Integration and Corporate Restructuring: The Strategy of Unilever c1957-c1990

      By: Geoffrey Jones and Peter Miskell
      This article examines the role of the large Anglo-Dutch consumer products company in promoting European integration. It shows that Unilever contributed financially to campaigns to support the creation of the European Union, and its subsequent expansion, despite a... View Details
      Keywords: Horizontal Integration; Organizations; Policy; Expansion; Market Transactions; Geographic Location; Restructuring; Competition; Brands and Branding; Production; Capital Structure; Value; Consumer Products Industry; European Union; United States
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      Jones, Geoffrey, and Peter Miskell. "European Integration and Corporate Restructuring: The Strategy of Unilever c1957-c1990." Economic History Review 58, no. 1 (February 2005): 113–139.
      • February 2005
      • Article

      Managing the Ecosystem

      By: Marco Iansiti
      The days of the corporate lone wolf are over. In our increasingly interconnected world, standing alone is no longer a viable business model. Instead, smart companies rely heavily on networks of partners, suppliers, and customers to achieve market success and sustain... View Details
      Keywords: Integrated Corporate Reporting; Partners and Partnerships; Industry Clusters; Customers; Markets; Situation or Environment; Banks and Banking; Insurance; Software
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      Iansiti, Marco. "Managing the Ecosystem." Optimize 4, no. 2 (February 2005).
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Case

      Private Capital and Public Policy: Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings business. Provides background on the history of credit ratings agencies, the meaning of credit ratings, the expansion of the sovereign ratings business over recent decades, and the market for credit ratings. Also,... View Details
      Keywords: Sovereign Finance; History; Policy; Business and Government Relations; International Finance; Country; Globalized Economies and Regions; Decision Choices and Conditions; Capital Markets; Debates; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Private Capital and Public Policy: Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings." Harvard Business School Case 705-026, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • January 2005 (Revised October 2005)
      • Background Note

      Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal and Christopher Bruner
      Describes Standard & Poor's sovereign credit ratings scales and the credit rating process. In particular, describes the role and function of the rating committee and the analytical categories considered in arriving at a final sovereign credit rating. View Details
      Keywords: Financial Markets; Credit; Bonds; Policy; Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Services Industry
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., and Christopher Bruner. "Standard & Poor's Sovereign Credit Ratings: Scales and Process." Harvard Business School Background Note 705-027, January 2005. (Revised October 2005.)
      • Article

      Consequences of Financial Reporting Failure for Outside Directors: Evidence from Accounting Restatements and Audit Committee Members

      By: Suraj Srinivasan
      I use a sample of 409 companies that restated their earnings from 1997 to 2001 to examine penalties for outside directors, particularly audit committee members, when their companies experience accounting restatements. Penalties from lawsuits and Securities and Exchange... View Details
      Keywords: Outcome or Result; Business Earnings; Financial Statements; Lawsuits and Litigation; Labor; Markets; Financial Reporting; Accounting Audits; Cost; Reputation
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      Srinivasan, Suraj. "Consequences of Financial Reporting Failure for Outside Directors: Evidence from Accounting Restatements and Audit Committee Members." Journal of Accounting Research 43, no. 2 (May 2005): 291–334.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis

      By: Randolph B. Cohen, Christopher Polk and Tuomo Vuolteenaho
      Modigliani and Cohn [1979] hypothesize that the stock market suffers from money illusion, discounting real cash flows at nominal discount rates. While previous research has focused on the pricing of the aggregate stock market relative to Treasury bills, the... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Cash Flow
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      Cohen, Randolph B., Christopher Polk, and Tuomo Vuolteenaho. "Money Illusion in the Stock Market: The Modigliani-Cohn Hypothesis." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 11018, January 2005.
      • 2005
      • Working Paper

      Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions

      By: Malcolm Baker, Ryan Taliaferro and Jeffrey Wurgler
      A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these results may be driven by an aggregate time-series version of Schultz's... View Details
      Keywords: Managerial Roles; Equity; Market Timing; Financial Instruments; Investment Return; Mathematical Methods
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      Baker, Malcolm, Ryan Taliaferro, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 10823, January 2005. (First Draft in 2004.)
      • November 2004 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Martha Stewart (A)

      By: Lynn S. Paine and Christopher Bruner
      Explores Martha Stewart's December 2001 sale of ImClone Systems common stock, the ensuing federal investigations into possible insider trading, and Stewart's criminal prosecution and sentencing. Discusses the impact of publicity on Stewart's company, Martha Stewart... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Markets; Corporate Governance; Financial Markets; Management Teams; Law; Government and Politics
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      Paine, Lynn S., and Christopher Bruner. "Martha Stewart (A)." Harvard Business School Case 305-034, November 2004. (Revised January 2006.)
      • November 2004 (Revised March 2007)
      • Case

      10 Uncommon Values®: Optimizing the Stock-Selection Process

      By: Paul M. Healy and Boris Groysberg
      In 2003, Steve Hash, research director at Lehman Brothers, prepared to initiate the firm's "Ten Uncommon Values" stock-picking process for the year. An investment committee had to pick the 10 best stocks from about 100 stock ideas presented by the firm's analysts. The... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Investment; Financial Strategy; Decision Making; Groups and Teams; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Healy, Paul M., and Boris Groysberg. "10 Uncommon Values®: Optimizing the Stock-Selection Process." Harvard Business School Case 405-022, November 2004. (Revised March 2007.)
      • October 2004
      • Article

      FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Local Financial Markets

      By: Laura Alfaro, Areendam Chanda, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Selin Sayek
      The purpose of this paper is to examine the various links among foreign direct investment, financial markets and growth. We model an economy with a continuum of agents indexed by their level of ability. Agents have two choices: they can work for the foreign company in... View Details
      Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Financial Markets; Economic Growth; Cost; Wealth; Investment Return; Knowledge
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      Alfaro, Laura, Areendam Chanda, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, and Selin Sayek. "FDI and Economic Growth: The Role of Local Financial Markets." Journal of International Economics 64, no. 1 (October 2004): 89–112.
      • September 2004 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Bohemian Crowns: Ceskoslovenska Obchodni Banka (A)

      By: Rawi E. Abdelal, Vincent Dessain and Monika Stachowiak
      Tells the story of the Czech transition from a centrally planned to a free market economy, describing the first economic reforms, the fixed-exchange rate regime, and the voucher privatization. Also explains why, in the middle of the 1990s, the Czech Republic... View Details
      Keywords: History; Currency Exchange Rate; Credit; Government Administration; Decisions; Economic Systems; Expansion; Mergers and Acquisitions; Developing Countries and Economies; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry; Czech Republic
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      Abdelal, Rawi E., Vincent Dessain, and Monika Stachowiak. "Bohemian Crowns: Ceskoslovenska Obchodni Banka (A)." Harvard Business School Case 705-007, September 2004. (Revised May 2006.)
      • August 2004 (Revised July 2005)
      • Case

      Allianz (D1): The Turnaround

      By: Joseph L. Bower, Anders Sjoman and Sonja Ellingson Hout
      Examines the acquisition of Dresdner Bank by Allianz--the deal of the year in 2002. Examines some of the challenges posed by the turnaround of Dresdner as seen by Michael Diekmann, the new CEO of Allianz. In working with Dresdner, Allianz needed to figure out what it... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Financial Institutions; Investment Banking; Brands and Branding; Product Development; Organizational Structure; Problems and Challenges
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      Bower, Joseph L., Anders Sjoman, and Sonja Ellingson Hout. "Allianz (D1): The Turnaround." Harvard Business School Case 305-016, August 2004. (Revised July 2005.)
      • August 2004
      • Article

      Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives

      By: Malcolm Baker and Jeffrey Wurgler
      We document a close link between fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends and catering incentives. First, we use the methodology of Fama and French (J. Finan. Econ. (2001)) to identify a total of four distinct trends in the propensity to pay dividends... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Payout Policy; Catering; Dividend Premium; Investor Sentiment; Investment Return; Motivation and Incentives; Trends; Stocks; Financial Services Industry
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      Baker, Malcolm, and Jeffrey Wurgler. "Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives." Journal of Financial Economics 73, no. 2 (August 2004): 271–288.
      • July 2004 (Revised January 2007)
      • Case

      H&R Block and "Everyday Financial Services"

      By: Peter Tufano and Daniel Schneider
      H&R Block, the U.S. market leader in tax preparation services, must decide whether to offer financial services to its low-income clients. H&R Block is facing increased competition from branded and nonbranded tax preparers, and the number of returns prepared by the... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Management; Income; Taxation; Product Development; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Tufano, Peter, and Daniel Schneider. H&R Block and "Everyday Financial Services". Harvard Business School Case 205-013, July 2004. (Revised January 2007.)
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