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      • June 1990 (Revised January 1993)
      • Case

      Dynatronics, Inc. (Abridged)

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      Provides an opportunity to evaluate an investment in a new product line in strategic, competitive, organizational, and economic terms. The economic analysis involves an estimation of the relevant cash flows and discounting them at an appropriate hurdle rate. View Details
      Keywords: Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment; Capital Budgeting
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Dynatronics, Inc. (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 290-064, June 1990. (Revised January 1993.)
      • June 7, 1990
      • Article

      New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500

      By: André Perold, Kenneth A. Froot and James F. Gammill Jr.
      Keywords: Institutional Investing; Market Efficiency; Equities; Stock Market; Indexing; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance
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      Perold, André, Kenneth A. Froot, and James F. Gammill Jr. "New Trading Practices and the Short-run Predictability of the S&P 500." Market Volatility and Investor Confidence: Report to the Board of Directors of the New York Stock Exchange, Inc. (June 7, 1990): G1: 1–27.
      • May 1990
      • Background Note

      Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Presents a non-technical description of the conjoint analysis methodology. Discusses the process by which such a study is done and cites areas of application. View Details
      Keywords: Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Dolan, Robert J. "Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-059, May 1990.
      • 1990
      • Thesis

      Parameter Prediction and Visualization to Aid the Decision-Making Process in an Automated Fabrication Environment

      By: Stefan Thomke
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      Thomke, Stefan. "Parameter Prediction and Visualization to Aid the Decision-Making Process in an Automated Fabrication Environment." Thesis, 1990.
      • Article

      Measuring the Effectiveness of Competition in Defense Procurement: A Survey of the Empirical Literature

      By: James J. Anton and Dennis A. Yao
      This article surveys the literature that has attempted to measure competition's effects on defense procurement. The focus is on conceptual underpinnings of models rather than technical aspects of estimation procedures. While providing valuable insight, the models are... View Details
      Keywords: Performance Effectiveness; Competition; Surveys; Value; Economics; Forecasting and Prediction; Programs; Power and Influence; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques
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      Anton, James J., and Dennis A. Yao. "Measuring the Effectiveness of Competition in Defense Procurement: A Survey of the Empirical Literature." Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 9, no. 1 (Winter 1990): 60–79. (Harvard users click here for full text.)
      • November 1989 (Revised March 1992)
      • Background Note

      Concept Testing

      By: Robert J. Dolan
      Describes concept testing products. Presents guidelines for effective design, execution, and interpretation of test procedures. Discusses limitations of these techniques and sets out the situations for which they are appropriate. View Details
      Keywords: Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Dolan, Robert J. "Concept Testing." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-063, November 1989. (Revised March 1992.)
      • July 1989 (Revised April 2001)
      • Case

      Kanthal (A)

      By: Robert S. Kaplan
      Multinational company needs an improved cost system to determine the profitability of individual customer orders. Its strategy is to have significant sales and profitability growth without adding additional administrative and support people. The new cost system... View Details
      Keywords: Cost Accounting; Earnings Management; Cost Management; Financial Management; Multinational Firms and Management; Business or Company Management; Customer Relationship Management; Sales; Business Strategy; Profit; Electronics Industry
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      Kaplan, Robert S. "Kanthal (A)." Harvard Business School Case 190-002, July 1989. (Revised April 2001.)
      • 1989
      • Book

      Forecasting Methods for Management

      By: S. Makridakis and S. C. Wheelwright
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Makridakis, S., and S. C. Wheelwright. Forecasting Methods for Management. 5th ed. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1989.
      • 1989
      • Book

      Future Competition in Telecommunications

      By: Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Competition; Telecommunications Industry
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      Bradley, Stephen P. and Jerry A. Hausman, eds. Future Competition in Telecommunications. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
      • 1989
      • Chapter

      The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry

      By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
      Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
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      Hausman, Jerry A., and Elon Kohlberg. "The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry." In Future Competition in Telecommunications, edited by Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
      • February 1989 (Revised November 1991)
      • Case

      Science Technology Co.--1985

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The CEO of a U.S. electronics firm is assessing the financial forecasts and the financing plan prepared by the chief financial officer. Given the cyclicality of the industry and the volatility of the firm's performance, the CEO is unsure as to the usefulness of... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Change Management; Industry Growth; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Volatility; Electronics Industry
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Science Technology Co.--1985." Harvard Business School Case 289-040, February 1989. (Revised November 1991.)
      • November 1987 (Revised March 1988)
      • Case

      Searching for Trade Remedies: The U.S. Machine Tool Industry--1983

      By: David B. Yoffie
      In 1983 the National Machine Tools Builder Association was predicting a declining market for the United States and rising imports. Machine tool manufacturers had to decide if they should ask the U.S. government for help, and if they did, which administrative channels... View Details
      Keywords: Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Machinery and Machining; Government and Politics; Law; Production; Business and Government Relations; Competition; Manufacturing Industry; Japan; Germany; United States
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      Yoffie, David B. "Searching for Trade Remedies: The U.S. Machine Tool Industry--1983." Harvard Business School Case 388-071, November 1987. (Revised March 1988.)
      • July 1987 (Revised October 2009)
      • Background Note

      A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method"

      By: William A. Sahlman and Daniel R Scherlis
      Describes a method for valuing high-risk, long-term investments such as those confronting venture capitalists. The method entails forecasting a future value (e.g., five years from the present) and discounting that terminal value back to the present by applying a high... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Investment; Risk Management; Valuation
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      Sahlman, William A., and Daniel R Scherlis. A Method For Valuing High-Risk, Long-Term Investments: The "Venture Capital Method". Harvard Business School Background Note 288-006, July 1987. (Revised October 2009.)
      • May 1987 (Revised February 2000)
      • Case

      Codman & Shurtleff, Inc.: Planning and Control System

      By: Robert L. Simons
      Detailed description of the planning and control systems in use at Johnson & Johnson. Focuses on the actions of managers in one subsidiary in revising budget targets. Illustrates intensive strategic planning and financial planning process in a large, decentralized... View Details
      Keywords: Strategic Planning; Planning; Forecasting and Prediction; Accounting Audits; Budgets and Budgeting; Business Strategy; Financial Management; Business or Company Management; Management Systems; Public Administration Industry; Financial Services Industry
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      Simons, Robert L. "Codman & Shurtleff, Inc.: Planning and Control System." Harvard Business School Case 187-081, May 1987. (Revised February 2000.)
      • May 1987 (Revised October 1996)
      • Case

      Murray Ohio Manufacturing Co.

      By: Krishna G. Palepu
      After a record year in 1983, Murray Ohio's earnings declined in 1984. The company was faced with competition from cheap imports and was experiencing declining margins. Students are asked to analyze the company's 1984 financial statements and predict whether there is... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Statements; Financial Reporting; Business Divisions; Cost Management; Spending; Decision Making; Change Management; Problems and Challenges; Management Systems; Manufacturing Industry
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      Palepu, Krishna G. "Murray Ohio Manufacturing Co." Harvard Business School Case 187-178, May 1987. (Revised October 1996.)
      • July 1986 (Revised August 1987)
      • Background Note

      Note on Comparative Advantage

      By: David B. Yoffie and John J. Coleman
      Discusses David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage and the refinement of his model developed by Eli Heckscher and Bertil Ohlin. Presents several criticisms of the Heckscher-Ohlin theory, including Wassily Leontief's empirical demonstration that the nature of... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Forecasting and Prediction; Macroeconomics; Trade; Theory
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      Yoffie, David B., and John J. Coleman. "Note on Comparative Advantage." Harvard Business School Background Note 387-023, July 1986. (Revised August 1987.)
      • May 1986 (Revised February 1991)
      • Case

      Wilson Lumber Co.

      By: Thomas R. Piper
      The Wilson Lumber Co. is faced with a need for increased bank financing due to its rapid sales growth and low profitability. Students must determine the reasons for the rising bank borrowing, estimate the amount of borrowing needed, and assess the attractiveness of the... View Details
      Keywords: Borrowing and Debt; Financing and Loans; Banks and Banking; Forecasting and Prediction; Sales; Financial Strategy
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      Piper, Thomas R. "Wilson Lumber Co." Harvard Business School Case 286-122, May 1986. (Revised February 1991.)
      • January 1986 (Revised April 1987)
      • Background Note

      Models for Updating Demand Forecasts

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Models for Updating Demand Forecasts." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-180, January 1986. (Revised April 1987.)
      • July 1985
      • Background Note

      Measuring Forecast Accuracy

      By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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      Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Measuring Forecast Accuracy." Harvard Business School Background Note 186-027, July 1985.
      • Article

      Political Forecasting as a Management Tool

      By: James E. Austin and David Yoffie
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Government and Politics; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques
      Citation
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      Austin, James E., and David Yoffie. "Political Forecasting as a Management Tool." Journal of Forecasting 3, no. 4 (October–December 1984).
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