Forecasting And Prediction - Publications - Faculty & Research

04 Dec 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, December 4, 2018

certification programs are understandable and largely predictable if the ideas, interests, and power of key actors are accurately assessed. When alignment View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

20 Nov 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, November 20, 2018

the relevance of adjustments increases with issuers' default risk, as evidenced by adjustments being more predictive of issuer default and offering yields and an increased... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

09 Nov 2016
News

Blindsided by Trump’s Victory? Behavioral Science Explains

December 2023
Other Article

Introduction to the Special Section on Business and Climate Change

By: Rajesh Chandy, Glen Dowell, Colin Mayer, Erica Plambeck, George Serafeim, Michael W. Toffel, L. Beril Toktay and Elke Weber

Keywords: Climate Change; Adaptation; Policy; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Innovation and Invention; Forecasting and Prediction

Siyu Zhang is a second-year doctoral student at HBS. Zhang joined Harvard Business School in 2020 as a Research Associate and has been working on macroeconomic forecasting projects. Prior to joining HBS, he was a Data Scientist at John Hancock, where he utilized... View Details

12 Feb 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019

Aknin, Colin Ross, Lihan Chen, and Frances Chen Abstract— Who benefits most from helping others? Previous research suggests that common polymorphisms of the oxytocin receptor gene (OXTR) predict whether... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

14 Nov 2017
First Look

New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017

1926–2014 and international sector returns 1985–2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

12 Jun 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018

technology, but these results are driven almost entirely by heterogeneous effects by those with and without computer science and engineering (CS&E) backgrounds. Specifically, tests of underlying... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

25 Sep 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, September 25, 2018

between tax brackets within a state-year cell and which absorb heterogeneity and contemporaneous changes in economic conditions; ii) an instrumental variable approach, which View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

March 2018
Article

In Pursuit of Enhanced Customer Retention Management: Review, Key Issues, and Future Directions

By: Eva Ascarza, Scott A. Neslin, Oded Netzer, Zachery Anderson, Peter S. Fader, Sunil Gupta, Bruce Hardie, Aurelie Lemmens, Barak Libai, David T. Neal, Foster Provost and Rom Schrift

In today’s turbulent business environment, customer retention presents a significant challenge for many service companies. Academics have generated a large body of research that addresses part of that challenge—with a particular focus on predicting customer churn.... View Details

Keywords: Customer Retention; Churn; Customer Relationship Management; Measurement and Metrics

Citation

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04 Dec 2008
Working Paper Summaries

Local Industrial Conditions and Entrepreneurship: How Much of the Spatial Distribution Can We Explain?

Keywords: by Edward L. Glaeser & William R. Kerr; Manufacturing

15 May 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 15, 2018

suppliers? Which potential customers will be most responsive to a particular marketing campaign? Which job candidates should I employ? Machine learning, data science, big data, and predictive analytics all... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

30 Apr 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, April 30, 2019

engagement? To answer these questions, we utilized self-determination theory to examine whether reward satisfaction predicted employee well-being, job satisfaction, intrinsic motivation, and affective... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

01 Mar 2010
Op-Ed

A Golden Opportunity for Ford and GM

Mulally showcased his new model range. Car experts and reviewers alike agreed the new models revitalized Ford. Whitacre also unveiled a new line of cars, admittedly trailing Ford, particularly in hybrids. He boldly View Details

Keywords: by Bill George; Auto

16 May 2018
News

ALUMNI NVC Finals and Regional Roundup

(HBSAHK) recently held its Sixth Annual Signature Conference, attracting more than 350 participants to network, explore and discuss business trends and forecasts both... View Details

Keywords: Margie Kelley

15 Jan 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 15, 2019

exchanges. Shareholder protection strongly predicted exchange success, even in countries with high levels of venture capital activity, patenting, and financial market development. Second-tier exchanges in... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

29 Jan 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, January 29, 2019

and elicit posterior beliefs. Gender stereotypes have significant predictive power for posterior beliefs, both through their influence on prior beliefs (as predicted by a... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

2010
Other Unpublished Work

Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring

Uncertain times in organizational life are often accompanied by shifts in resources and power and can trigger a desire for people to affiliate with others. Yet little is understood about which network ties people activate when they feel uncertain about their standing... View Details

Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Restructuring; Interpersonal Communication; Organizational Structure

Citation

29 May 2018
First Look

New Research and Ideas, May 29, 2018

associated with a 0.5% increase in housing prices. Moreover, Yelp measures of local business activity provide leading indicators for housing price changes and help to forecast which neighborhoods are... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

March 2017 (Revised February 2025)
Case

Edwin Land: The Art and Science of Innovation

By: Tom Nicholas, Christopher T. Stanton and Matthew G. Preble

Throughout the second half of the 20th century, Polaroid first invented—and then continuously reinvented—the field of instant photography. Under the leadership of its mercurial founder Edwin Land, the company regularly released new instant cameras and films, often... View Details