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- Faculty Publications (966)
- July–August 1995
- Article
The Power of Predictability
By: H. H. Stevenson and M. C. Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Stevenson, H. H., and M. C. Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." Harvard Business Review 73, no. 4 (July–August 1995).
- 1995
- Book
Data Analysis, Regression, and Forecasting
By: A. Schleifer Jr. and D. E. Bell
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
Schleifer, A., Jr., and D. E. Bell. Data Analysis, Regression, and Forecasting. Cambridge, MA: Course Technology Inc. (CTI), 1995.
- January 1995
- Background Note
A Note on Distribution of Venture Investments
By: Josh Lerner
Venture capitalists typically exit investments by distributing shares to investors. These transfers pose challenges for these investors. Predictions and evidence about the behavior of stock prices of firms around the time of these distributions are presented. View Details
Lerner, Josh. "A Note on Distribution of Venture Investments." Harvard Business School Background Note 295-095, January 1995.
- November 1994 (Revised February 1996)
- Case
Toy World, Inc.
By: W. Carl Kester
A shift from seasonal to level production of toys will change the seasonal cycle of Toy World's working capital needs and necessitate new bank credit arrangements. A rewritten version of an earlier case. View Details
Keywords: Working Capital; Business Cycles; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Funds; Financial Statements
Kester, W. Carl. "Toy World, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 295-073, November 1994. (Revised February 1996.)
- October 1994 (Revised January 1997)
- Case
Nestle Refrigerated Foods: Contadina Pasta and Pizza (A)
By: V. Kasturi Rangan and Marie Bell
Nestle Co.'s Refrigerated Foods Division has very successfully launched its Contadina brand pasta and sauces. The new product has achieved nearly $100 million in sales in three years. The division now considers an extension into the pizza line. This case provides a... View Details
Keywords: Business Divisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Product Launch; Sales; Commercialization; Consumer Products Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Rangan, V. Kasturi, and Marie Bell. "Nestle Refrigerated Foods: Contadina Pasta and Pizza (A)." Harvard Business School Case 595-035, October 1994. (Revised January 1997.)
- October 1994 (Revised August 2006)
- Case
Sport Obermeyer Ltd.
By: Janice H. Hammond and Ananth Raman
The case describes operations at a skiwear design and merchandising company and its supply partner. Introduces production planning for short-life-cycle products with uncertain demand and allows students to analyze a reduced version of the company's production planning... View Details
Keywords: Product; Supply Chain; Demand and Consumers; Production; Planning; Globalized Markets and Industries; Forecasting and Prediction; Industry Growth; Apparel and Accessories Industry; Sports Industry; United States; Hong Kong
Hammond, Janice H., and Ananth Raman. "Sport Obermeyer Ltd." Harvard Business School Case 695-022, October 1994. (Revised August 2006.)
- December 1993 (Revised March 1995)
- Case
Medical Products Co.
By: Robert H. Hayes
In early 1990, the company is contemplating changes in its European plant network for producing hypodermic products, including the total production capacity to be provided, the number and location of plants over which to spread this capacity, and which products should... View Details
Keywords: Factories, Labs, and Plants; Decision Making; Forecasting and Prediction; Cost; Production; Performance Capacity; Performance Effectiveness; Strategic Planning; Competitive Strategy; Health Industry; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Europe
Hayes, Robert H. "Medical Products Co." Harvard Business School Case 694-065, December 1993. (Revised March 1995.)
- October 1993 (Revised February 1995)
- Case
Dendrite International
By: Frank V. Cespedes and Marie Bell
Dendrite International is a $23 million (1992 revenues) supplier of sales automation software to pharmaceuticals companies in Europe, Japan, and the United States. The firm's strategy has depended on being a full-service supplier to multinational firms. Impending... View Details
Keywords: Accounting Audits; Cost vs Benefits; Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing Strategy; Risk and Uncertainty; Sales; Competitive Advantage; Information Technology Industry; Japan; Europe; United States
Cespedes, Frank V., and Marie Bell. "Dendrite International." Harvard Business School Case 594-048, October 1993. (Revised February 1995.)
- October 1993 (Revised August 1996)
- Background Note
Forecasting with Regression Analysis
Provides an example of regression in one of its most important roles. Relating probabilistic forecasts based on past data to decision analysis. View Details
Keywords: Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Analytics and Data Science; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Forecasting with Regression Analysis." Harvard Business School Background Note 894-007, October 1993. (Revised August 1996.)
- August 1993 (Revised April 1998)
- Case
Filene's Basement
By: David E. Bell and Dinny Starr
Filene's Basement is in the process of deciding where, and if, to locate two new stores in its new Chicago area of operations. The existing Chicago area stores have been performing well, however, management is concerned with over saturation of the market. At the time... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Growth Management; Marketing Strategy; Market Entry and Exit; Business Processes
Bell, David E., and Dinny Starr. "Filene's Basement." Harvard Business School Case 594-018, August 1993. (Revised April 1998.)
- April 1993 (Revised June 1994)
- Supplement
MathSoft, Inc. (B)
Describes the president's decision regarding MathSoft's marketing channels and communications methods, and the company's sales results during the next five quarters. The (A) case market response model is also updated. View Details
Keywords: Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Curriculum and Courses; Learning; Knowledge Sharing; Growth and Development Strategy; Marketing Channels; Education Industry
Rangan, V. Kasturi. "MathSoft, Inc. (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 593-095, April 1993. (Revised June 1994.)
- March 1993
- Case
Clarion Optical Co.
By: Michael J. Roberts and Howard H. Stevenson
Focuses on two individuals' attempts to purchase Clarion Optical Co. Forces students to consider alternative proposals for financing the purchase; generate pro forma cash flows to assess the feasibility of these proposals; estimate the sources and magnitude of... View Details
Keywords: Leveraged Buyouts; Financing and Loans; Investment Return; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction
Roberts, Michael J., and Howard H. Stevenson. "Clarion Optical Co." Harvard Business School Case 393-116, March 1993.
- October 1992 (Revised September 1993)
- Case
L.L. Bean, Inc.: Item Forecasting and Inventory Management
L.L. Bean must make stocking decisions on thousands of items sold through its catalogs. In many cases, orders must be placed with vendors twelve or more weeks before a catalog lands on a customer's doorstep, and commitments cannot be changed thereafter. As a result,... View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Risk Management; Cost Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Demand and Consumers; Order Taking and Fulfillment; Retail Industry; United States
Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "L.L. Bean, Inc.: Item Forecasting and Inventory Management." Harvard Business School Case 893-003, October 1992. (Revised September 1993.)
- September 1992
- Case
Vintage Directions, Inc.
Focuses on the problem of determining whether to continue with a start-up after the first market test. The company has seen product success but is far from break-even and needs additional financing. Focuses on opportunity analysis and the use of market data to assess... View Details
Keywords: Product Launch; Product Marketing; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Business or Company Management
Stevenson, Howard H. "Vintage Directions, Inc." Harvard Business School Case 393-043, September 1992.
- 1992
- Chapter
Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market
By: J. Frankel and K. A. Froot
Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; International Macroeconomics; Monetary Policy; Currency Controls; Fixed Exchange Rates; Floating Exchange Rates; Currency Bands; Currency Zones; Currency Areas; Rational Expectations; International Finance; Currency Exchange Rate; Asset Pricing; Forecasting and Prediction; Policy
Frankel, J., and K. A. Froot. "Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques, Survey Data, and Implications for the Foreign Exchange Market." In International Business Reader, edited by D. Duta. London: Oxford University Press, 1992. (Revised from IMF Working Paper No. 90/43 and NBER Working Paper No. 3470, October 1990.)
- May 1992
- Supplement
Fabtek (B)
By: Rowland T. Moriarty Jr. and Benson P. Shapiro
Presents an urgent order for repair service from an important customer who had purchased an item from a competitor. The item, which TiFab had bid on, went out at a price that TiFab predicted was below the amount necessary to ensure quality manufacture. Now the customer... View Details
Moriarty, Rowland T., Jr., and Benson P. Shapiro. "Fabtek (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 592-096, May 1992.
- January 1992 (Revised March 1993)
- Case
Maison Bouygues
By: John A. Quelch
The vice president of marketing is reviewing the 1991 marketing plan and budget for Maison Bouygues, the leading builder of new single family homes in France. Due to recession, the company's sales are forecast to be flat and adjustments may need to be made in the... View Details
Keywords: Housing; Marketing Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Brands and Branding; Construction Industry; France
Quelch, John A. "Maison Bouygues." Harvard Business School Case 592-059, January 1992. (Revised March 1993.)
- December 1991 (Revised February 1992)
- Case
Dayton Electric Corp.
Concerns a product redesign decision for one of the company's most successful motor products, its rectified power, medium D-C motor, the RPM. A one-year redesign program has proposed a design that comes close to meeting its stated cost and performance goals, but at the... View Details
Keywords: Product Design; Strategic Planning; Research and Development; Business Divisions; Decisions; Forecasting and Prediction; Product Development; Technological Innovation; Machinery and Machining; Manufacturing Industry; Ohio
Wheelwright, Steven C. "Dayton Electric Corp." Harvard Business School Case 692-071, December 1991. (Revised February 1992.)
- October 1991 (Revised January 2002)
- Case
Butler Lumber Company
By: Thomas R. Piper
The Butler Lumber Co. is faced with a need for increased bank financing due to its rapid sales growth and low profitability. Students must determine the reasons for the rising bank borrowing, estimate the amount of borrowing needed, and assess the attractiveness of the... View Details
Keywords: Commercial Banking; Financial Crisis; Borrowing and Debt; Financial Strategy; Financing and Loans; Capital Structure; Forecasting and Prediction
Piper, Thomas R. "Butler Lumber Company." Harvard Business School Case 292-013, October 1991. (Revised January 2002.)
- June 1991 (Revised December 1997)
- Case
Takeover of the Norton Co., The
By: Thomas R. Piper
After a decade of mediocre performance, the Norton Co. enters 1990 with the prospect of increased sales in the next few years. Yet Norton is pursuing slow growth industries, and a lower than expected earnings announcement at the beginning of 1990 has depressed earnings... View Details
Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Business Conglomerates; Goals and Objectives; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation; Revenue; Bids and Bidding; Business Processes; Ownership Stake
Piper, Thomas R. "Takeover of the Norton Co., The ." Harvard Business School Case 291-002, June 1991. (Revised December 1997.)