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    • All HBS Web  (1,824)
      • Faculty Publications  (800)

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      • Article

      Risk and the Value Line Contest

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Roman L. Weil
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Value
      Citation
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Roman L. Weil. "Risk and the Value Line Contest." Financial Analysts Journal (July–August 1973): 48–53.
      • spring 1973
      • Article

      Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty

      By: D. B. Crane and Stephen P. Bradley
      Keywords: Management; Banks and Banking; Government and Politics; Investment; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Crane, D. B., and Stephen P. Bradley. "Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty." Journal of Bank Research 4, no. 1 (spring 1973).
      • January 1973 (Revised September 1990)
      • Case

      Carrefour S.A.

      By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
      Involves a very rapidly growing retail chain that is financing itself in an unusual (and at first glance) risky fashion. View Details
      Keywords: Growth and Development Strategy; Financing and Loans; Risk and Uncertainty; Retail Industry
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      Fruhan, William E., Jr. "Carrefour S.A." Harvard Business School Case 273-099, January 1973. (Revised September 1990.)
      • Article

      Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Investment
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case." Review of Economics and Statistics 51, no. 3 (August 1969): 247–257. (Chapter II of Ph.D. dissertation; Chapter 4 in Continuous-Time Finance.)
      • March 1968 (Revised July 2010)
      • Case

      Basic Industries

      By: Joseph L. Bower and John W. Rosenblum
      Policy problems, mainly organizational issues, face a young middle manager in the context of capital budgeting in a highly technological conglomerate firm with high market uncertainty. View Details
      Keywords: Business Conglomerates; Capital Budgeting; Policy; Managerial Roles; Risk and Uncertainty
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      Bower, Joseph L., and John W. Rosenblum. "Basic Industries." Harvard Business School Case 313-121, March 1968. (Revised July 2010.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath

      By: Antonio Falato, Giovanni Favara and David Scharfstein
      We present evidence that pressure to maximize short-term stock prices and earnings leads banks to increase risk. We start by showing that banks increase risk when they transition from private to public ownership through a public listing or an acquisition. The increase... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Type; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Transition; Price
      Citation
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      Falato, Antonio, Giovanni Favara, and David Scharfstein. "Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Come Together: Firm Boundaries and Delegation

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We develop an incomplete-contracts model to jointly study firm boundaries and the allocation of decision rights within them. Integration has an option value: it gives firm owners authority to delegate or centralize decision rights, depending on who can best solve... View Details
      • Teaching Interest

      Decision Making Under Uncertainty

      By: David E. Bell

      Many of the decisions we face are made complicated by having uncertain consequences: how should I set my inventory when I don’t know what demand will be, should I refinance my mortgage when rates might go lower, how big a bet shall I make in a new business, and so... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Disclosure Standards and Communication Norms: Evidence of Voluntary Sustainability Standards as a Coordinating Device for Capital Markets

      By: Khrystyna Bochkay, Jeffrey Hales and George Serafeim
      In this paper, we examine how the development of voluntary sustainability standards has affected the nature of information covered in conference calls. Using industry-specific dictionaries of sustainability terms contained in the disclosure standards developed by the... View Details
      Keywords: Voluntary Disclosure; Accounting Standards; Sustainability Reporting; Sustainability Standards; ESG; ESG Disclosure; Accounting; Corporate Disclosure; Environmental Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Standards; United States
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      Bochkay, Khrystyna, Jeffrey Hales, and George Serafeim. "Disclosure Standards and Communication Norms: Evidence of Voluntary Sustainability Standards as a Coordinating Device for Capital Markets." Review of Accounting Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 17, 2025.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks

      By: Esther Shears, Jonas Meckling and Jared Finnegan
      Central banks have begun to examine and manage climate risks, including both transition risks of moving from fossil fuels to clean energy and physical climate risks. Here we provide a systematic assessment of how and why central banks address climate risks on the basis... View Details
      Keywords: Banks and Banking; Risk and Uncertainty; Climate Change; Transition; Risk Management
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      Shears, Esther, Jonas Meckling, and Jared Finnegan. "How Central Banks Manage Climate and Energy Transition Risks." Nature Energy (forthcoming). (Pre-published online February 28, 2025.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs

      By: Pedro Bordalo, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
      How do people form beliefs about novel risks, with which they have little or no experience? Motivated by survey data on beliefs about Covid we collected in 2020, we build a model based on the psychology of selective memory. When a person thinks about an event,... View Details
      Keywords: Expectations; Memory; COVID-19 Pandemic; Risk and Uncertainty; Cognition and Thinking
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      Bordalo, Pedro, Giovanni Burro, Katherine B. Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer. "Imagining the Future: Memory, Simulation and Beliefs." Review of Economic Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online June 27, 2024.)
      • Research Summary

      Lean Startup Management Practices

      By: Thomas R. Eisenmann

      Many information technology startups have embraced "lean startup" management practices. Lean startups confront high levels of uncertainty about both customer problems and product solutions: the strength of demand for new... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity

      By: Anke Becker
      This paper studies the origins and function of customs and norms that intend to keep women from being promiscuous. Using large-scale survey data from more than 100 countries, I test the anthropological theory that a particular form of preindustrial... View Details
      Keywords: Infibulation; Female Sexuality; Paternity Uncertainty; Concern About Women's Chastity; Pastoralism; Economic Anthropology; History; Gender; Social Issues; Culture
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      Becker, Anke. "On the Economic Origins of Concerns Over Women’s Chastity." Review of Economic Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online August 26, 2024.)
      • Teaching Interest

      Overview

      By: Lynda M. Applegate
      I currently teach a module in the HBS Owner President Management (OPM) program that is entitled Innovation @Work. The module is designed to provide a general manager perspective on how to lead innovation and transform organizations, industries, and society. The role... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation & Entrepreneurship; General Management; Technological Innovation; Entrepreneurship; Information; Innovation and Invention; Leadership; Organizations; Risk and Uncertainty; Social Enterprise; Strategy; Technology; Computer Industry; Energy Industry; Information Industry; Technology Industry; Web Services Industry; Africa; Asia; Latin America; Middle East; North and Central America; Europe
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Shikhar Ghosh
      I am focused on exploring the human side of developing early stage entrepreneurial ventures. These enterprises are characterized by the pursuit of opportunity, shortage of resources to pursue their goals and uncertainty at every step of the journey. Some of the... View Details
      Keywords: Scale; Exit; Founders' Agreements; Success Measures; Entrepreneurial Risk; Founding Teams; Entrepreneurship; Failure; Europe; Middle East; Asia
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Vincent Pons
      Professor Pons studies questions in political economy and development with the goal of understanding how democratic systems function, and how they can be improved.

      He decomposes the electoral cycle into four essential steps: the factors affecting voter... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Pricing of Climate Risk Insurance: Regulation and Cross-Subsidies

      By: Ishita Sen, Ana-Maria Tenekedjieva and Sangmin Oh
      We study the pricing of homeowners’ insurance, a $15 trillion market essential for hedging climate-related losses. We show that insurance premiums are subject to starkly different regulations across states, creating persistent cross-subsidies and price distortions. We... View Details
      Keywords: Climate Risk; Homeowners' Insurance; Price Controls; Financial Regulation; Cross-subsidization; Climate Change; Price; Risk and Uncertainty; Geographic Location; Insurance Industry; United States
      Citation
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      Sen, Ishita, Ana-Maria Tenekedjieva, and Sangmin Oh. "Pricing of Climate Risk Insurance: Regulation and Cross-Subsidies." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Teaching Interest

      Strategy Execution

      By: Dennis Campbell

      This course takes strategy as given and teaches what students need to know to execute and win in highly competitive markets. Using fundamental building blocks based on accountability systems and structures, this course is divided into seven modules:

      1.... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets

      By: Jeremy C. Stein and Jonathan Wallen
      We study supply-and-demand effects in the U.S. Treasury bill market by comparing the returns on T-bills to the administered policy rate on the Federal Reserve’s reverse repurchase (RRP) facility. In spite of the arguably more money-like properties of an investment in... View Details
      Keywords: Debt Securities; Demand and Consumers; Price
      Citation
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      Stein, Jeremy C., and Jonathan Wallen. "The Imperfect Intermediation of Money-Like Assets." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking

      By: David S. Scharfstein and Antonio Falato
      We argue that stock market pressure to generate earnings encourages banks to increase risk. We measure risk using confidential supervisory ratings as well as financial information released in regulatory filings. We document that there is an increase in the risk-taking... View Details
      Keywords: Stock Market; Financial Markets; Business Earnings; Banks and Banking; Risk and Uncertainty
      Citation
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      Scharfstein, David S., and Antonio Falato. "The Stock Market and Bank Risk-Taking." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).
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