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      • Faculty Publications  (124)

      by Luis M. ViceiraRemove by Luis M. Viceira →

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      • October 2014
      • Supplement

      Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium (Abridged) Spreadsheet Supplement

      By: Samuel Gregory Hanson, Erik Stafford and Luis M. Viceira
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      Hanson, Samuel Gregory, Erik Stafford, and Luis M. Viceira. "Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium (Abridged) Spreadsheet Supplement." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 215-704, October 2014.
      • February 2014 (Revised November 2015)
      • Case

      APG Group: Managing Pensions for the Future

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Elena Corsi
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Elena Corsi. "APG Group: Managing Pensions for the Future." Harvard Business School Case 214-087, February 2014. (Revised November 2015.)
      • November 2013 (Revised May 2023)
      • Case

      Valuing Yahoo! in 2013

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Atul Khosla
      In late July 2013, Danielle Engle, Managing Director of Clairemont Capital, was contemplating what to do about a large investment her fund had in the stock of Yahoo! Inc. In mid-2012, Clairemont had invested nearly $75M in Yahoo! after the tech company settled a highly... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Decision Making; Investment Activism; Business Model; Growth and Development Strategy; Valuation
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Atul Khosla. "Valuing Yahoo! in 2013." Harvard Business School Case 214-048, November 2013. (Revised May 2023.)
      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Appendix to 'Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity'

      By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
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      Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Appendix to 'Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity'." Working Paper, September 2013.
      • August 2013 (Revised November 2015)
      • Case

      Prudential Financial - General Motors Pension Risk Transfer: Back to the Future?

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Emily A. Chien

      In November 2012, Prudential Financial and General Motors closed on a $25.1B pension risk transfer (PRT) transaction, the largest of its kind to date by an order of magnitude both in the U.S. market and globally. In exchange for an in-kind transfer of $25.1B in... View Details

      Keywords: Risk Management; Asset Management; Insurance; Retirement; Financial Services Industry; Insurance Industry
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Emily A. Chien. "Prudential Financial - General Motors Pension Risk Transfer: Back to the Future?" Harvard Business School Case 213-126, August 2013. (Revised November 2015.)
      • June 2013 (Revised July 2013)
      • Case

      Blackstone Alternative Asset Management

      By: Robin Greenwood, Luis M. Viceira and Jared Dourdeville
      This case explores reasons for Blackstone Alternative Asset Management's (BAAM's) growth from 2007-2013, a time when the overall fund of hedge funds industry contracted substantially. Additionally, the case analyzes evolving business models and value propositions... View Details
      Keywords: Hedge Fund; Fund Of Hedge Funds; Hedge Fund Industry Growth; Fund Of Hedge Funds Industry Growth; Evolving Business Models; Value Propositions In The Fund Of Hege Funds Industry; Business Model; Investment Funds; Growth and Development Strategy; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Greenwood, Robin, Luis M. Viceira, and Jared Dourdeville. "Blackstone Alternative Asset Management." Harvard Business School Case 213-129, June 2013. (Revised July 2013.)
      • February 2013 (Revised January 2015)
      • Supplement

      Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium (CW)

      By: Samuel Gregory Hanson, Erik Stafford and Luis M. Viceira
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      Hanson, Samuel Gregory, Erik Stafford, and Luis M. Viceira. "Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium (CW)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 213-717, February 2013. (Revised January 2015.)
      • January 2013 (Revised March 2016)
      • Case

      The Private Company Council

      By: Karthik Ramanna and Luis M. Viceira
      Financial Accounting Foundation chairman Jack Brennan is under pressure from private-company interests to set up a new body—the Private Company Council—to determine separate GAAP for private companies. PCC advocates—including the US Chamber of Commerce—argue that... View Details
      Keywords: FASB; Lobbying; Political Economy; Accounting; Government and Politics; Leadership; Financial Markets; Accounting Industry; Financial Services Industry; Public Administration Industry
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      Ramanna, Karthik, and Luis M. Viceira. "The Private Company Council." Harvard Business School Case 113-045, January 2013. (Revised March 2016.)
      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Internet Appendix for "Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds"

      By: Adi Sunderam, Luis M. Viceira and John Y. Campbell
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      Sunderam, Adi, Luis M. Viceira, and John Y. Campbell. Internet Appendix for "Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds". Working Paper, 2013.
      • January – March 2012
      • Article

      Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

      By: Luis M. Viceira
      This paper explores time variation in bond risk, as measured by the covariation of bond returns with stock returns and with consumption growth, and in the volatility of bond returns. A robust stylized fact in empirical finance is that the spread between the yield on... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Volatility; Forecasting and Prediction; Interest Rates; Inflation and Deflation; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; Currency Exchange Rate; Cash Flow; Stocks
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Bond Risk, Bond Return Volatility, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates." International Journal of Forecasting 28, no. 1 (January–March 2012): 97–117.
      • 2012
      • Article

      The Excess Burden of Government Indecision

      By: Francisco J. Gomes, Laurence J. Kotlikoff and Luis M. Viceira
      Governments are known for procrastinating when it comes to resolving painful policy problems. Whatever the political motives for waiting to decide, procrastination distorts economic decisions relative to what would arise with early policy resolution. In so doing, it... View Details
      Keywords: Saving; Risk and Uncertainty; Investment Portfolio; Decision Choices and Conditions; Retirement; Policy; Government and Politics
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      Gomes, Francisco J., Laurence J. Kotlikoff, and Luis M. Viceira. "The Excess Burden of Government Indecision." Tax Policy and the Economy 26 (2012): 125–163.
      • Article

      Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis

      By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
      This paper empirically analyzes the Expectations Hypothesis (EH) in inflation-indexed (or real) bonds and in nominal bonds in the U.S. and in the U.K. We strongly reject the EH in inflation-indexed bonds and also confirm and update the existing evidence rejecting the... View Details
      Keywords: TIPS; Breakeven Inflation; Return Predictability; Bond Risk Premia; Risk Management; Bonds; Financial Liquidity; Inflation and Deflation; United Kingdom; United States
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      Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Inflation-Indexed Bonds and the Expectations Hypothesis." Annual Review of Financial Economics 3 (2011): 139–158.
      • 2013
      • Working Paper

      Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity

      By: Carolin E. Pflueger and Luis M. Viceira
      Estimating the liquidity differential between inflation-indexed and nominal bond yields, we separately test for time-varying real rate risk premia, inflation risk premia, and liquidity premia in U.S. and U.K. bond markets. We find strong, model independent evidence... View Details
      Keywords: Expectations Hypothesis; Term Structure; Real Interest Rate Risk; Inflation Risk; Inflation-Indexed Bonds; Financial Crisis; Inflation and Deflation; Financial Liquidity; Bonds; Investment Return; Risk and Uncertainty; United Kingdom; United States
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      Pflueger, Carolin E., and Luis M. Viceira. "Return Predictability in the Treasury Market: Real Rates, Inflation, and Liquidity." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-094, March 2011. (Revised September 2013.)
      • January 2011 (Revised June 2012)
      • Teaching Note

      Martingale Asset Management LP in 2008, 130/30 Funds, and a Low-Volatility Strategy (TN)

      By: Robin Greenwood and Luis M. Viceira
      Teaching Note for 209-047. View Details
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Luis M. Viceira. "Martingale Asset Management LP in 2008, 130/30 Funds, and a Low-Volatility Strategy (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 211-079, January 2011. (Revised June 2012.)
      • Article

      Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios

      By: Jakub W. Jurek and Luis M. Viceira
      We develop an analytical solution to the dynamic portfolio choice problem of an investor with power utility defined over wealth at a finite horizon, who faces a time-varying investment opportunity set, parameterized using a flexible vector autoregression. We apply this... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Private Equity; Investment; Investment Portfolio; Asset Pricing; Value
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      Jurek, Jakub W., and Luis M. Viceira. "Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios." Review of Finance 15, no. 1 (January 2011): 29–74.
      • September 2010 (Revised May 2012)
      • Case

      Windward Investment Management

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Ricardo Alberto De Armas
      Windward Investment Management has experienced rapid growth in assets under management in just ten years, from under $30 million at year-end 1999 to $3.6 billion in 2010. Windward is one of the leading firms in the Registered Investment Advisor (RIA) industry that... View Details
      Keywords: Asset Management; Valuation; Investment; Growth and Development Strategy; Financial Services Industry
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Ricardo Alberto De Armas. "Windward Investment Management." Harvard Business School Case 211-005, September 2010. (Revised May 2012.)
      • July 2010 (Revised March 2016)
      • Case

      MacroMarkets LLC

      By: Robin Greenwood and Luis M. Viceira
      MacroMarkets co-founder and CEO Samuel Masucci III is meeting with a strategic partner for his firm. Co-founded with Yale University Professor Robert Shiller, MacroMarkets' main innovation is the "MacroShare," which allows investors to take long or short, levered or... View Details
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Instruments; Financial Markets; Investment Funds; Investment Portfolio; Innovation and Invention; Risk Management; Product Positioning; Demand and Consumers; Financial Services Industry
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      Greenwood, Robin, and Luis M. Viceira. "MacroMarkets LLC." Harvard Business School Case 211-006, July 2010. (Revised March 2016.)
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors

      By: Luis M. Viceira and Ricardo Gimeno
      This article explores the demand for the euro for risk management purposes and the evidence of stock market integration in the euro area. We define a reserve currency as one that investors demand either because it helps them hedge real interest risk and inflation risk,... View Details
      Keywords: Volatility; Inflation and Deflation; Capital Markets; Currency; Stocks; Financial Markets; Financing and Loans; Investment Return; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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      Viceira, Luis M., and Ricardo Gimeno. "The Euro as a Reserve Currency for Global Investors." Chap. 4 in Spain and the Euro. The First Ten Years, 149–178. Madrid, Spain: Banco de España, 2010.
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      Pension Fund Design in Developing Economies

      By: Luis M. Viceira
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      Viceira, Luis M. "Pension Fund Design in Developing Economies." In Evaluating the Financial Performance of Pension Funds, edited by Richard Hinz, Heinz P. Rudolph, Pablo Antolin, and Juan Yermo. World Bank, 2010.
      • February 2010
      • Article

      Global Currency Hedging

      By: John Y. Campbell, Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros and Luis M. Viceira
      Over the period 1975 to 2005, the US dollar (particularly in relation to the Canadian dollar) and the euro and Swiss franc (particularly in the second half of the period) have moved against world equity markets. Thus these currencies should be attractive to... View Details
      Keywords: Currency; Equity; Financial Markets; International Finance; Investment Return; Globalized Markets and Industries; Risk Management
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      Campbell, John Y., Karine Serfaty-de Medeiros, and Luis M. Viceira. "Global Currency Hedging." Journal of Finance 65, no. 1 (February 2010): 87–121.
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