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  • November 2023
  • Article

A Quantity-Driven Theory of Term Premia and Exchange Rates

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam
We develop a model in which specialized bond investors must absorb shocks to the supply and demand for long-term bonds in two currencies. Since long-term bonds and foreign exchange are both exposed to unexpected movements in short-term interest rates, a shift in the... View Details
Keywords: Term Premium; Exchange Rate; Currency Exchange Rate; Bonds
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  • 01 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 1

Jeremy C. Stein Abstract—We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • August 2015
  • Article

Dollar Funding and the Lending Behavior of Global Banks

By: Victoria Ivashina, David S. Scharfstein and Jeremy C. Stein
A large share of dollar-denominated lending is done by non-U.S. banks, particularly European banks. We present a model in which such banks cut dollar lending more than euro lending in response to a shock to their credit quality. Because these banks rely on wholesale... View Details
Keywords: Banks; Global Banks; Credit Supply; Dollar Funding; International Finance; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry
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  • September 2015
  • Article

Banks as Patient Fixed-Income Investors

By: Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer, Jeremy C. Stein and Robert W. Vishny
We examine the business model of traditional commercial banks when they compete with shadow banks. While both types of intermediaries create safe "money-like" claims, they go about this in different ways. Traditional banks create money-like claims by holding illiquid... View Details
Keywords: Shadow Banking; Safe Money-like Claims; Commercial Banking
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  • Web

Finance Awards & Honors - Faculty & Research

on insurance. Robin Greenwood : Awarded a 2015 Brattle Prize for Distinguished Paper in Corporate Finance for “A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity” with Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy View Details
  • Web

Events - Business History

Events Events Upcoming Events Business History Seminar The Fall 2025 Business History Seminar, co-organized by Geoffrey Jones and Christina Lubinski, explores the theme "Rethinking Entrepreneurial History." The Seminar meets via Zoom on... View Details
  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

economic conflicts behind the arguments put forward by the different parties. We also identify several key open questions. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50676 Credit-Market Sentiment and the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 07 Mar 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 7

of Kansas City) The Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet as a Financial-Stability Tool By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson, and Jeremy C. Stein Abstract—We argue that the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • February 1996
  • Case

USX Corporation

By: Stuart C. Gilson and Jeremy Cott
A large diversified steel and energy firm is pressured by a corporate raider to spin off its steel business in order to increase its stock price. As an alternative to the spinoff, management proposes replacing the company's common stock with two new classes of... View Details
Keywords: Restructuring; Stocks; Valuation; Financial Institutions; Cash Flow
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  • 2008
  • Mimeo

Do Hedge Funds Profit from Mutual-Fund Distress?

By: Joseph Chen, Samuel G. Hanson, Harrison Hong and Jeremy C. Stein
This paper explores the question of whether hedge funds engage in frontrunning strategies that exploit the predictable trades of others. One potential opportunity for front-running arises when distressed mutual funds—those suffering large outflows of assets under... View Details
Keywords: Investment Funds; Profit; Strategy; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Opportunities; Asset Management; Sales
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  • August 2015
  • Article

A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein
We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting where the government is the only issuer of such riskless paper, it trades off the monetary premium associated with... View Details
Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Debt Securities
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  • 2016
  • Working Paper

Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle

By: David Lopez-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein and Egon Zakrajsek
Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2013, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t – 2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t and t + 1. Underlying this result is the existence of predictable mean reversion in credit-market conditions.... View Details
Keywords: Investment; Credit; Macroeconomics
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  • 20 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 20

Simmons (E) Amy C. Edmondson and Susan ThyneHarvard Business School Supplement 610-061 This case updates the "Leading Change at Simmons" series by examining Simmons' increasing debt under the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 17 Mar 2015
  • First Look

First Look: March 17

  Publications March 2015 Journal of Financial Economics Banks as Patient Fixed-Income Investors By: Hanson, Samuel G., Andrei Shleifer, Jeremy C. Stein, and Robert W. Vishny Abstract—We examine the business... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • March 1995
  • Case

Donald Salter Communications, Inc.

By: Stuart C. Gilson and Jeremy Cott
A new CEO is hired to manage the turnaround of a family-owned newspaper publisher. In a departure from previous management, he implements a new compensation scheme that explicitly ties executive pay to market-value-based measures of firm performance. Because the... View Details
Keywords: Family Business; Transformation; Asset Management; Wages; Balanced Scorecard; Family Ownership; Motivation and Incentives; Valuation; Journalism and News Industry
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  • Fall 2020
  • Article

Business Credit Programs in the Pandemic Era

By: Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, Adi Sunderam and Eric Zwick
We develop a pair of models that speak to the goals and design of the sort of business-lending and corporate-bond purchase programs that have been introduced by governments in response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. An overarching theme is that, in contrast to the... View Details
Keywords: COVID-19; Business Lending; Government Intervention; Econometric Models; Health Pandemics; Credit; Governance; Policy
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  • 11 Aug 2009
  • First Look

First Look: August 11, 2009

dangerous. Overall, they offer wise suggestions for making CBA more effective, rather than eliminating CBA as a decision-making tool. A Gap-Filling Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice Authors:Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, and View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Sep 2007
  • News

Faculty Research Online

rationally? HBS professors Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval, and Harvard University professor Jeremy Stein don’t think humans are such cold calculators. One proof: Individual and even institutional investors... View Details
Keywords: Colleges, Universities, and Professional Schools; Educational Services
  • 22 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 22

control over the use of remittances. In partnership with a Salvadoran bank, we offered U.S.-based migrants from El Salvador bank accounts in their home country into which they could send remittances. We randomly varied migrant control over El Salvador-based savings... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 Sep 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, September 19

Capital Regulation By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, and Adi Sunderam Abstract—We propose three core principles that should inform the design of bank capital regulation. First,... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne