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  • All HBS Web  (1,823)
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    • News  (168)
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  • 2021
  • Working Paper

Renewing Knightian Uncertainty: A Pragmatic Prospectus and Demonstration

By: Amar Bhidé
Frank Knight distinguished between 'uncertainty' and 'risk' to specify the true nature of 'profit’, but his specification never caught on and I do not see realistic possibilities for renewing research in this direction. Using uncertainty to analyze the organization and... View Details
Keywords: Knightian Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Profit; Theory; Research
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Bhidé, Amar. "Renewing Knightian Uncertainty: A Pragmatic Prospectus and Demonstration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-129, June 2021.
  • May – June 2010
  • Article

Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty

By: Leslie K. John and Baruch Fischhoff
Keywords: Value; Risk and Uncertainty
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John, Leslie K., and Baruch Fischhoff. "Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty." Medical Decision Making 30, no. 3 (May–June 2010): 388–397.
  • April 2024 (Revised August 2024)
  • Case

The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty

By: Shai Bernstein, Sabrina Howell and Josh Lerner
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Bernstein, Shai, Sabrina Howell, and Josh Lerner. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Case 824-198, April 2024. (Revised August 2024.)
  • June 2020
  • Case

Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A)

By: Laura Huang, Elizabeth Jiang and Brandon Yu
Career Karma is a startup focused on helping individuals looking to transition careers into computer engineering roles or similar fields by preparing them for formal technical training programs, or “coding bootcamps,” that would lead to a successful career pivot upon... View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Plan; Business Startups; Education; Training; Entrepreneurship; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Social Entrepreneurship; Management; Goals and Objectives; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Marketing Strategy; Organizations; Mission and Purpose; Personal Development and Career; Health Pandemics; Technology Industry; Education Industry; Employment Industry
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Huang, Laura, Elizabeth Jiang, and Brandon Yu. "Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A)." Harvard Business School Case 420-121, June 2020.
  • 2010
  • Other Unpublished Work

Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring

Uncertain times in organizational life are often accompanied by shifts in resources and power and can trigger a desire for people to affiliate with others. Yet little is understood about which network ties people activate when they feel uncertain about their standing... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Restructuring; Interpersonal Communication; Organizational Structure
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Srivastava, Sameer B. "Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring." November 2010.
  • January 2008
  • Article

Prudence in Bargaining: The Effect of Uncertainty on Bargaining Outcomes

By: Lucy White
Keywords: Negotiation; Risk and Uncertainty; Outcome or Result
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White, Lucy. "Prudence in Bargaining: The Effect of Uncertainty on Bargaining Outcomes." Games and Economic Behavior 62, no. 1 (January 2008): 211–231.
  • 2011
  • Article

Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China

By: Christopher Marquis, Jianjun Zhang and Yanhua Zhou
We develop a framework to analyze the closing gap between regulation and enforcement of environmental protection in China and present a number of resulting implications for doing business there. We identify three major dimensions that characterize change in regulatory... View Details
Keywords: Framework; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Law Enforcement; Growth and Development Strategy; Emerging Markets; Business Ventures; Alignment; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Environment; Motivation and Incentives; Management Practices and Processes; Competitive Strategy; China
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Marquis, Christopher, Jianjun Zhang, and Yanhua Zhou. "Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China." California Management Review 54, no. 1 (Fall 2011): 39–63.
  • June 2020
  • Supplement

Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (B)

By: Laura Huang and Elizabeth Jiang
This (B) case expands upon the journey of Career Karma’s three founders by presenting a fictionalized Investor Meeting scenario. View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Plan; Business Startups; Education; Training; Entrepreneurship; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Social Entrepreneurship; Management; Goals and Objectives; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Marketing Strategy; Organizations; Mission and Purpose; Personal Development and Career; Technology Industry; Education Industry; Employment Industry
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Huang, Laura, and Elizabeth Jiang. "Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 420-125, June 2020.
  • July 2024
  • Teaching Note

The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty

By: Shai Bernstein, Josh Lerner and Sabrina T. Howell
Teaching Note for HBS Case No. 824-198. View Details
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Bernstein, Shai, Josh Lerner, and Sabrina T. Howell. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-Making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 825-052, July 2024.
  • Article

Configuring a Supply Chain to Reduce the Cost of Demand Uncertainty

By: A. Raman, M. Fisher, J. Hammond and W. Obermeyer
Keywords: Supply Chain; Cost; Risk and Uncertainty
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Raman, A., M. Fisher, J. Hammond, and W. Obermeyer. "Configuring a Supply Chain to Reduce the Cost of Demand Uncertainty." Production and Operations Management 6, no. 3 (Fall 1997): 211–225.
  • September 2023
  • Article

Consuming Contests: The Effect of Outcome Uncertainty on Spectator Attendance in the Australian Football League

By: Patrick Ferguson and Karim R. Lakhani
Contests that non-contestants consume for entertainment are a fixture of economic, cultural and political life. We exploit injury-induced changes to teams' line-ups in a professional sports setting to examine whether individuals prefer to consume contests that have... View Details
Keywords: Sports; Entertainment; Consumer Behavior
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Ferguson, Patrick, and Karim R. Lakhani. "Consuming Contests: The Effect of Outcome Uncertainty on Spectator Attendance in the Australian Football League." Economic Record 99, no. 326 (September 2023): 410–435.
  • 1998
  • Chapter

Configuring a Supply Chain to Reduce the Cost of Demand Uncertainty

By: J. H. Hammond, Marshall L. Fisher, Walter Obermeyer and A. Raman
Keywords: Supply Chain Management; Cost Management; Demand and Consumers; Risk Management; Risk and Uncertainty
Citation
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Hammond, J. H., Marshall L. Fisher, Walter Obermeyer, and A. Raman. "Configuring a Supply Chain to Reduce the Cost of Demand Uncertainty." In Global Supply Chain and Technology Management. Vol. 1, edited by Hau Lee and Shu Ming Ng, 76–90. POMS Series in Technology and Operations Management. Miami: Production and Operations Management Society (POMS), 1998.
  • 2007
  • Other Unpublished Work

A Private Sector without Prerequisites: Ordered Uncertainty in Vietnam and China

By: Regina M. Abrami
Keywords: Private Sector; Developing Countries and Economies; Risk and Uncertainty; China
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Abrami, Regina M. "A Private Sector without Prerequisites: Ordered Uncertainty in Vietnam and China." MIT Sloan School of Management, December 2007.
  • March 2006 (Revised August 2006)
  • Supplement

Kevin McCarthy and Westlake Chemical Corporation (B): More Uncertainty on the Horizon

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Riedl, Edward J. "Kevin McCarthy and Westlake Chemical Corporation (B): More Uncertainty on the Horizon." Harvard Business School Supplement 106-064, March 2006. (Revised August 2006.)
  • January 2005
  • Article

Agency Costs in a Supply Chain with Demand Uncertainty and Price Competition

By: V.G. Narayanan, Ananth Raman and J. Singh
Keywords: Cost; Supply Chain; Risk and Uncertainty; Price; Competition
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Narayanan, V.G., Ananth Raman, and J. Singh. "Agency Costs in a Supply Chain with Demand Uncertainty and Price Competition." Management Science 51, no. 1 (January 2005).
  • spring 1973
  • Article

Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty

By: D. B. Crane and Stephen P. Bradley
Keywords: Management; Banks and Banking; Government and Politics; Investment; Risk and Uncertainty
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Crane, D. B., and Stephen P. Bradley. "Management of Commercial Bank Government Security Portfolios: An Optimization Approach Under Uncertainty." Journal of Bank Research 4, no. 1 (spring 1973).
  • January 1996
  • Article

Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty through Accurate Response to Early Sales

By: A. Raman and M. Fisher
Keywords: Cost; Risk and Uncertainty; Sales
Citation
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Raman, A., and M. Fisher. "Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty through Accurate Response to Early Sales." Operations Research 44, no. 4 (January 1996): 87–99.
  • June 2020
  • Teaching Note

Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A) and (B)

By: Laura Huang and Elizabeth Jiang
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Huang, Laura, and Elizabeth Jiang. "Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A) and (B)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 420-127, June 2020.
  • 1997
  • Conference Presentation

The Architecture of Cooperation: Managing Coordination Uncertainty and Interdependence in Strategic Alliances

By: Ranjay Gulati
Citation
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Gulati, Ranjay. "The Architecture of Cooperation: Managing Coordination Uncertainty and Interdependence in Strategic Alliances." Paper presented at the Academy of Management Annual Meeting, Boston, 1997.
  • October–December 2022
  • Article

How Psychological Safety and Feeling Heard Relate to Burnout and Adaptation Amid Uncertainty

By: Michaela J. Kerrissey, Tuna Cem Hayirli, Aditi Bhanja, Nicholas Stark, James Hardy and Christopher Peabody
Background: Psychological safety—the belief that it is safe to speak up—is vital amid uncertainty, but its relationship to feeling heard is not well understood.
Purpose: The aims of this study were (a) to measure feeling heard and (b) to assess... View Details
Keywords: Burnout; Crisis; Psychological Safety; Feeling Heard; Process Adaptation; Interpersonal Communication; Well-being; Health Care and Treatment; Adaptation
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Kerrissey, Michaela J., Tuna Cem Hayirli, Aditi Bhanja, Nicholas Stark, James Hardy, and Christopher Peabody. "How Psychological Safety and Feeling Heard Relate to Burnout and Adaptation Amid Uncertainty." Health Care Management Review 47, no. 4 (October–December 2022): 308–316.
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