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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,721)
- People (1)
- News (164)
- Research (1,435)
- Events (5)
- Multimedia (9)
- Faculty Publications (1,108)
- 2020
- Working Paper
Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty
By: J. Peter Scoblic
This paper proposes to treat strategic foresight as a dynamic capability, providing a new theoretical lens on managerial judgment. Formulating strategy under uncertainty is a central challenge facing the modern firm. Analogy is thought to help managers make sense of... View Details
Keywords: Foresight; Dynamic Capabilities; Managerial Judgment; Risk and Uncertainty; Management; Strategy
Scoblic, J. Peter. "Strategic Foresight as Dynamic Capability: A New Lens on Knightian Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 20-093, March 2020.
- July 1995
- Article
A Contextual Uncertainty Condition for Behavior under Risk
By: David E. Bell
Bell, David E. "A Contextual Uncertainty Condition for Behavior under Risk." Management Science 41, no. 7 (July 1995): 1145–1150.
- Article
The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential
By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Kupor, Daniella, Zakary L. Tormala, and Michael I. Norton. "The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 55 (November 2014): 210–216.
- March–April 2013
- Article
Vaporware, Suddenware and Trueware: New Product Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty
By: Elie Ofek and Ozge Turut
A firm may want to preannounce its plans to develop a new product in order to stimulate future demand. But given that such communications can affect rivals' incentives to develop the same new product, a firm may decide to preannounce untruthfully in order to deter... View Details
Ofek, Elie, and Ozge Turut. "Vaporware, Suddenware and Trueware: New Product Preannouncements under Market Uncertainty." Marketing Science 32, no. 2 (March–April 2013): 342–355.
- June 2024
- Case
Virya Therapeutics: The Certain Uncertainties of Preclinical Development
By: Satish Tadikonda, William Marks and Shardule Shah
- 16 Dec 2014
- News
H-1B work visa full of uncertainties for immigrants
- September 2021
- Supplement
The Boston Beer Company (B): Growth and Uncertainty
By: Christina R. Wing and John Masko
The first three years of CEO Dave Burwick’s tenure were tumultuous for the Boston Beer Company. The company’s hard seltzer products continued to grow unexpectedly quickly, eclipsing the company’s legacy Samuel Adams beer products. Meanwhile, a polarizing political... View Details
- 05 Jul 2006
- Working Paper Summaries
A Survey-Based Procedure for Measuring Uncertainty or Heterogeneous Preferences in Markets
- 13 Jan 2013
- News
On the Job: Don't let uncertainty cloud your thinking
- 05 Jun 2009
- Research Event
Business Summit: Niall Ferguson and the Certainty of Uncertainty
Editor's Note: This is a summary of an HBS Business Summit presentation. View a full summary and video of the event on the HBS Centennial Web site linked below. Date of Event: October 13, 2008 Speakers: Niall Ferguson, HBS facultyJohn Quelch, HBS faculty After an... View Details
Keywords: Re: John A. Quelch
- Research Summary
Self-environment relationship and its effect on decisions under risk and uncertainty
My research seek to better understand the main cognitive and social abilities that guide our judgments, and the ways they interact with aspects of the situation to shape humans' decisions. It is currently comprised of three related... View Details
- 19 Nov 2009
- News
HBS professor says that uncertainty and inflation scare investors
- 2021
- Working Paper
Renewing Knightian Uncertainty: A Pragmatic Prospectus and Demonstration
By: Amar Bhidé
Frank Knight distinguished between 'uncertainty' and 'risk' to specify the true nature of 'profit’, but his specification never caught on and I do not see realistic possibilities for renewing research in this direction. Using uncertainty to analyze the organization and... View Details
Bhidé, Amar. "Renewing Knightian Uncertainty: A Pragmatic Prospectus and Demonstration." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-129, June 2021.
- May – June 2010
- Article
Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty
By: Leslie K. John and Baruch Fischhoff
John, Leslie K., and Baruch Fischhoff. "Changes of Heart: The Switch-Value Method for Assessing Value Uncertainty." Medical Decision Making 30, no. 3 (May–June 2010): 388–397.
- 2011
- Article
Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China
By: Christopher Marquis, Jianjun Zhang and Yanhua Zhou
We develop a framework to analyze the closing gap between regulation and enforcement of environmental protection in China and present a number of resulting implications for doing business there. We identify three major dimensions that characterize change in regulatory... View Details
Keywords: Framework; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Law Enforcement; Growth and Development Strategy; Emerging Markets; Business Ventures; Alignment; Risk and Uncertainty; Natural Environment; Motivation and Incentives; Management Practices and Processes; Competitive Strategy; China
Marquis, Christopher, Jianjun Zhang, and Yanhua Zhou. "Regulatory Uncertainty and Corporate Responses to Environmental Protection in China." California Management Review 54, no. 1 (Fall 2011): 39–63.
- 2010
- Other Unpublished Work
Hunkering Down and Venturing Out: Network Activation in Response to the Uncertainty of Organizational Restructuring
Uncertain times in organizational life are often accompanied by shifts in resources and power and can trigger a desire for people to affiliate with others. Yet little is understood about which network ties people activate when they feel uncertain about their standing... View Details
- April 2024 (Revised August 2024)
- Case
The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty
By: Shai Bernstein, Sabrina Howell and Josh Lerner
Bernstein, Shai, Sabrina Howell, and Josh Lerner. "The Israeli Innovation Authority: Decision-making in a Time of Uncertainty." Harvard Business School Case 824-198, April 2024. (Revised August 2024.)
- June 2020
- Case
Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A)
By: Laura Huang, Elizabeth Jiang and Brandon Yu
Career Karma is a startup focused on helping individuals looking to transition careers into computer engineering roles or similar fields by preparing them for formal technical training programs, or “coding bootcamps,” that would lead to a successful career pivot upon... View Details
Keywords: Business Ventures; Business Growth and Maturation; Business Plan; Business Startups; Education; Training; Entrepreneurship; Corporate Entrepreneurship; Social Entrepreneurship; Management; Goals and Objectives; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Marketing Strategy; Organizations; Mission and Purpose; Personal Development and Career; Health Pandemics; Technology Industry; Education Industry; Employment Industry
Huang, Laura, Elizabeth Jiang, and Brandon Yu. "Career Karma: Growth in a Time of Global Uncertainty (A)." Harvard Business School Case 420-121, June 2020.