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Publications

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      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Vertical Integration of Healthcare Providers Increases Self-Referrals and Can Reduce Downstream Competition: The Case of Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities

      By: David Cutler, Leemore S. Dafny, David Grabowski, Steven S. Lee and Christopher Ody
      The landscape of the U.S. healthcare industry is changing dramatically as healthcare providers expand both within and across markets. While federal antitrust agencies have mounted several challenges to same-market combinations, they have not challenged any... View Details
      Keywords: Antitrust; Health Care and Treatment; Vertical Integration; Organizational Structure; Competition; Health Industry; United States
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      Cutler, David, Leemore S. Dafny, David Grabowski, Steven S. Lee, and Christopher Ody. "Vertical Integration of Healthcare Providers Increases Self-Referrals and Can Reduce Downstream Competition: The Case of Hospital-Owned Skilled Nursing Facilities." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 28305, December 2020.
      • 2020
      • Working Paper

      Targeting for Long-Term Outcomes

      By: Jeremy Yang, Dean Eckles, Paramveer Dhillon and Sinan Aral
      Decision makers often want to target interventions so as to maximize an outcome that is observed only in the long term. This typically requires delaying decisions until the outcome is observed or relying on simple short-term proxies for the long-term outcome. Here we... View Details
      Keywords: Targeted Marketing; Optimization; Churn Management; Marketing; Customer Relationship Management; Policy; Learning; Outcome or Result
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      Yang, Jeremy, Dean Eckles, Paramveer Dhillon, and Sinan Aral. "Targeting for Long-Term Outcomes." Working Paper, October 2020.
      • 2023
      • Working Paper

      When Should Public Programs Be Privately Administered? Theory and Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program

      By: Alexander Bartik, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher Stanton and Adi Sunderam
      What happens when public resources are allocated by private companies whose objectives may be imperfectly aligned with policy goals? We study this question in the context of the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), which relied on private banks to disburse aid to small... View Details
      Keywords: Paycheck Protection Program; Targeting; Impact; Entrepreneurship; Health Pandemics; Small Business; Financing and Loans; Outcome or Result; United States
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      Bartik, Alexander, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca, Christopher Stanton, and Adi Sunderam. "When Should Public Programs Be Privately Administered? Theory and Evidence from the Paycheck Protection Program." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 21-021, August 2020. (Revised July 2023. Accepted at The Review of Economics and Statistics.)
      • Article

      The Importance of Being Causal

      By: Iavor I Bojinov, Albert Chen and Min Liu
      Causal inference is the study of how actions, interventions, or treatments affect outcomes of interest. The methods that have received the lion’s share of attention in the data science literature for establishing causation are variations of randomized experiments.... View Details
      Keywords: Causal Inference; Observational Studies; Cross-sectional Studies; Panel Studies; Interrupted Time-series; Instrumental Variables
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      Bojinov, Iavor I., Albert Chen, and Min Liu. "The Importance of Being Causal." Harvard Data Science Review 2.3 (July 30, 2020).
      • Article

      Assessing the Value of Pediatric Aerodigestive Care

      By: Robert S. Kaplan, Chris Hartnick, Mahek Shah, Steven M. Coppess, Alisa Yamasaki, Kaalan E. Johnson, Jeremy Prager, Christopher T. Wootten, Thomas Gallagher and Evan Propst
      Leaders at six hospitals conducted a research study to assess and compare the health outcomes and costs of pediatric aerodigestive care. Four of the hospitals delivered care with an integrated practice unit (IPU) while two delivered care traditionally, with isolated... View Details
      Keywords: Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing; Value-based Health Care; Integrated Practice Unit; Health Care and Treatment; Cost Management; Performance Improvement
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      Kaplan, Robert S., Chris Hartnick, Mahek Shah, Steven M. Coppess, Alisa Yamasaki, Kaalan E. Johnson, Jeremy Prager, Christopher T. Wootten, Thomas Gallagher, and Evan Propst. "Assessing the Value of Pediatric Aerodigestive Care." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 1, no. 4 (July–August 2020).
      • June 2020
      • Article

      Overcoming Barriers to Early Disease Intervention

      By: H. Hugo Caicedo, Daniel A. Hashimoto, Julio C. Caicedo, Alex Pentland and Gary P. Pisano
      It is widely acknowledged that earlier intervention in many disease processes leads to better patient outcomes and lower treatment costs. To date, most efforts at early disease intervention have focused on "primary prevention" which focuses on preventing diseases in... View Details
      Keywords: Secondary Prevention; Barriers To Response; Health Disorders; Health Care and Treatment
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      Caicedo, H. Hugo, Daniel A. Hashimoto, Julio C. Caicedo, Alex Pentland, and Gary P. Pisano. "Overcoming Barriers to Early Disease Intervention." Nature Biotechnology 38, no. 6 (June 2020).
      • May 21, 2020
      • Editorial

      Primary Care Is Hurting: Why Aren't Private Insurers Pitching In?

      By: Leemore S. Dafny and J. Michael McWilliams
      Primary care clinicians are the front line for patients with suspected infection. We rely on them to diagnose, triage, and manage patients with potential or confirmed COVID infections. They are also responsible for keeping non-COVID medical conditions under control... View Details
      Keywords: COVID-19; Primary Care; Health Pandemics; Health Care and Treatment; Financial Condition; Insurance
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      Dafny, Leemore S., and J. Michael McWilliams. "Primary Care Is Hurting: Why Aren't Private Insurers Pitching In?" Health Affairs Blog (May 21, 2020).
      • May 2020
      • Article

      Negotiating a Better Future: How Interpersonal Skills Facilitate Inter-Generational Investment

      By: Nava Ashraf, Natalie Bau, Corinne Low and Kathleen McGinn
      Using a randomized control trial, we examine whether offering adolescent girls nonmaterial resources—specifically, negotiation skills—can improve educational outcomes in a low-income country. In so doing, we provide the first evidence on the effects of an intervention... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation; Competency and Skills; Training; Age; Gender; Education; Investment; Outcome or Result; Developing Countries and Economies
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      Ashraf, Nava, Natalie Bau, Corinne Low, and Kathleen McGinn. "Negotiating a Better Future: How Interpersonal Skills Facilitate Inter-Generational Investment." Quarterly Journal of Economics 135, no. 2 (May 2020): 1095–1151.
      • May–June 2020
      • Article

      The Agenda for the Next Generation of Health Care Information Technology

      By: Thomas W. Feeley, Zachary Landman and Michael E. Porter
      As the diffusion of value-based health care efforts accelerates globally, the need for interoperable information technology systems that support value-based care is essential. Such systems are needed to facilitate dramatic improvements in patient outcomes and... View Details
      Keywords: Value-based Health Care; Health Care and Treatment; Information Technology; Integration; Performance Improvement; Performance Efficiency
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      Feeley, Thomas W., Zachary Landman, and Michael E. Porter. "The Agenda for the Next Generation of Health Care Information Technology." NEJM Catalyst Innovations in Care Delivery 1, no. 3 (May–June 2020).
      • 2020
      • Chapter

      Health Care Markets a Decade After the ACA: Bigger, but Probably Not Better

      By: Leemore S. Dafny
      Love it or hate it, the Affordable Care Act (ACA) embraced and extended the role of private markets in financing and delivering health care in the United States. Ten years after the ACA’s passage, it is unclear whether health care markets are better (along a range of... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care and Treatment; Markets; Laws and Statutes; Outcome or Result; Health Industry; United States
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      Dafny, Leemore S. "Health Care Markets a Decade After the ACA: Bigger, but Probably Not Better." Chap. 15 in The Trillion Dollar Revolution: How the Affordable Care Act Transformed Politics, Law, and Health Care in America, edited by Ezekiel J. Emanuel and Abbe R. Gluck. New York: PublicAffairs, 2020.
      • November 2019 (Revised December 2019)
      • Case

      Martini Klinik: Prostate Cancer Care 2019

      By: Michael E. Porter, Jens Deerberg-Wittram and Thomas W. Feeley
      Since its establishment in 2005, Hamburg’s Martini Klinik had single mindedly focused on prostate cancer care with a commitment to measure long-term health outcomes for every patient. A wholly owned subsidiary of the University Hospital Hamburg, Martini Klinik was a... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care; Michael Porter; Jens Deerberg-Wittram; Clifford Marks; Prostate Cancer; Health Care Policy; Value Agenda; Integrated Practice Units; Outcomes Measurement; Health Care and Treatment; Value; Health Disorders; Insurance; Medical Specialties; Outcome or Result; Measurement and Metrics; Business Processes; Insurance Industry; Health Industry; Germany
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      Porter, Michael E., Jens Deerberg-Wittram, and Thomas W. Feeley. "Martini Klinik: Prostate Cancer Care 2019." Harvard Business School Case 720-359, November 2019. (Revised December 2019.)
      • November 9, 2019
      • Article

      Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial

      By: Leslie K. John, George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder and Michael Callaham
      Objective: To assess the impact of disclosing authors’ conflict of interest declarations to peer reviewers at a medical journal.
      Design: Randomised controlled trial.

      Setting: The study was conducted within the manuscript review process at the... View Details
      Keywords: Conflicts Of Interest; Peer Review; Randomized Controlled Trial; Scientific Publication; Conflict of Interests; Journals and Magazines; Science
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      John, Leslie K., George Loewenstein, Andrew Marder, and Michael Callaham. "Effect of Revealing Authors' Conflicts of Interests in Peer Review: Randomized Controlled Trial." BMJ: British Medical Journal 367, no. 8221 (November 9, 2019).
      • Article

      Mandate Outcomes Reporting

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Michael E. Porter
      Currently, few health care providers measure and report their patient outcomes, which leads to several problems. Attempts to introduce price transparency without outcomes transparency could trigger a “race to the bottom.” Should Medicare coverage be expanded to... View Details
      Keywords: Outcomes Reporting; Outcomes Measurement; Medicare; Medicaid; Health Care and Treatment; Outcome or Result; Measurement and Metrics
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Michael E. Porter. "Mandate Outcomes Reporting." Health Management, Policy and Innovation 4, no. 3 (December 2019).
      • Article

      Achieving Value in Highly Complex Acute Care: Lessons from the Delivery of Extra Corporeal Life Support

      By: Michael Nurok, Jonathan Warsh, Erik Dong, Jeffrey Lopez, Mayumi Kharabi and Robert S. Kaplan
      We applied a value (outcomes and cost) analysis to extracorporeal life support (ECLS), a relatively rare but very expensive ICU therapy with highly variable outcomes. To address the outcome component of the value approach, we created guidelines for ECLS delivery; to... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care and Treatment; Cost Management; Value; Analysis
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      Nurok, Michael, Jonathan Warsh, Erik Dong, Jeffrey Lopez, Mayumi Kharabi, and Robert S. Kaplan. "Achieving Value in Highly Complex Acute Care: Lessons from the Delivery of Extra Corporeal Life Support." NEJM Catalyst (October 31, 2019).
      • Article

      Navy Medicine Introduces Value-Based Health Care

      By: Alee Hernandez, Robert S. Kaplan, Mary L. Witkowski, C. Forrest Faison III and Michael E. Porter
      In 2016 the newly appointed surgeon general of the Navy launched a value-based health care pilot project at Naval Hospital Jacksonville to explore whether multidisciplinary care teams (known as integrated practice units, or IPUs) and measurement of outcomes could... View Details
      Keywords: Military Health System; Health Care and Treatment; Cost Management; Projects
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      Hernandez, Alee, Robert S. Kaplan, Mary L. Witkowski, C. Forrest Faison III, and Michael E. Porter. "Navy Medicine Introduces Value-Based Health Care." Health Affairs 38, no. 8 (August 2019): 1393–1400.
      • July 2019
      • Article

      Evaluation of Economic and Clinical Outcomes Under Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Mandatory Bundled Payments for Joint Replacements

      By: Derek A. Haas, Xiaoran Zhang, Robert S. Kaplan and Zirui Song
      In 2016, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) launched its first mandatory bundled payment program, the Comprehensive Care for Joint Replacement (CJR) model, by randomizing metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) into the payment model. The paper analyzed... View Details
      Keywords: Medicare; Medicaid; Bundled Payments; Health Care and Treatment; Cost Management; Performance Evaluation; Outcome or Result
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      Haas, Derek A., Xiaoran Zhang, Robert S. Kaplan, and Zirui Song. "Evaluation of Economic and Clinical Outcomes Under Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Mandatory Bundled Payments for Joint Replacements." JAMA Internal Medicine 179, no. 7 (July 2019): 924–931.
      • Article

      Europe's Alternative to Medicare for All: Swiss and Dutch Private Insurance Provide Better Coverage Than Canada's Single-Payer System

      By: Regina E. Herzlinger and Bacchus Barua
      An analysis of Canada’s single-payer healthcare system shows the dangers of the proposed Medicare for All model. In fact, the Canadian healthcare system is costly and drives poor outcomes when compared to objective performance measures. Alternatively, the Swiss and... View Details
      Keywords: Healthcare Systems; Universal Health Coverage; Health Care and Treatment; Insurance; Canada; Switzerland; Netherlands
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      Herzlinger, Regina E., and Bacchus Barua. "Europe's Alternative to Medicare for All: Swiss and Dutch Private Insurance Provide Better Coverage Than Canada's Single-Payer System." Wall Street Journal (April 17, 2019).
      • Article

      Populism and the Return of the 'Paranoid Style': Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Julio J. Rotemberg
      We present a simple model of populism as the rejection of “disloyal” leaders. We show that adding the assumption that people are worse off when they experience low income as a result of leader betrayal (than when it is the result of bad luck) to a simple voter choice... View Details
      Keywords: Populism; Corruption; Betrayal; Incompetence; Voting; Attitudes
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Julio J. Rotemberg. "Populism and the Return of the 'Paranoid Style': Some Evidence and a Simple Model of Demand for Incompetence as Insurance against Elite Betrayal." Journal of Comparative Economics 46, no. 4 (December 2018): 988–1005.
      • Article

      Defining, Measuring, and Improving Value in Spine Care

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Derek Haas
      This chapter discusses how to measure and improve spine care outcomes and costs. Today’s commonly used outcome metrics, such as readmission and complication rates, are actually process and quality metrics. They are not the outcomes, such as improvement in pain and... View Details
      Keywords: Spine Care; Outcomes Measurement; Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing; Health Care and Treatment; Cost; Measurement and Metrics; Performance Improvement; Value
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Derek Haas. "Defining, Measuring, and Improving Value in Spine Care." Seminars in Spine Surgery 30, no. 2 (June 2018): 80–83.
      • Article

      Performance Effects of Setting a High Reference Point for Peer‐Performance Comparison

      By: Henry Eyring and V.G. Narayanan
      We conduct a field experiment, based on a registered report accepted by the Journal of Accounting Research, to test performance effects of setting a high reference point for peer‐performance comparison. Relative to providing the median as a reference point for... View Details
      Keywords: Relative Performance Evaluation; Reference Points; Social Comparison; Field Experiment; Performance; Performance Evaluation; Education
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      Eyring, Henry, and V.G. Narayanan. "Performance Effects of Setting a High Reference Point for Peer‐Performance Comparison." Journal of Accounting Research 56, no. 2 (May 2018): 581–615.
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