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      • Faculty Publications  (99)

      Risk-centric Business CyclesRemove Risk-centric Business Cycles →

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      • January – February 2011
      • Article

      Creating Shared Value

      By: Michael E. Porter and Mark R. Kramer
      The capitalist system is under siege. In recent years business has been criticized as a major cause of social, environmental, and economic problems. Companies are widely thought to be prospering at the expense of their communities. Trust in business has fallen to new... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Value and Value Chain; Economic Growth; Economic Systems; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Environmental Sustainability; Trust; Human Needs; Welfare; Competitive Advantage; Value Creation
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      Porter, Michael E., and Mark R. Kramer. "Creating Shared Value." Harvard Business Review 89, nos. 1-2 (January–February 2011): 62–77.
      • January – February 2011
      • Article

      How to Design a Winning Business Model

      By: Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Joan E. Ricart
      Most executives believe that competing through business models is critical for success, but few have come to grips with how best to do so. One common mistake is enterprises' unwavering focus on creating innovative models and evaluating their efficacy in standalone... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Design; Strength and Weakness; Competitive Strategy; Competitive Advantage
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      Casadesus-Masanell, Ramon, and Joan E. Ricart. "How to Design a Winning Business Model." Harvard Business Review 89, nos. 1-2 (January–February 2011): 100–107.
      • Article

      Values, Purpose, Meaning, and Expectations: Why Culture and Context Matter

      By: Rosabeth M. Kanter
      The "rational person" standard, based on assumptions of economic self-interest, has long prevailed in legal reasoning. But understanding of decision making, behavioral choices, and possibilities for action must be enlarged to include a variety of factors that give... View Details
      Keywords: Standards; Interests; Decision Making; Behavior; Value; Groups and Teams; Performance Expectations; Organizational Culture; Leadership; Business Cycles; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives
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      Kanter, Rosabeth M. "Values, Purpose, Meaning, and Expectations: Why Culture and Context Matter." Alabama Law Review 62, no. 5 (2011).
      • October 2010 (Revised June 2014)
      • Case

      Volkswagen do Brasil: Driving Strategy with the Balanced Scorecard

      By: Robert S. Kaplan and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho
      A new management team at VW do Brazil develops and deploys a strategy map and Balanced Scorecard to accomplish a turnaround and cultural change after eight consecutive years of financial losses and market share declines. The team uses the strategy map to align... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Developing Countries and Economies; Management Teams; Leadership; Balanced Scorecard; Strategic Planning; Balance and Stability; Motivation and Incentives; Communication Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Auto Industry; Brazil; Germany
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      Kaplan, Robert S., and Ricardo Reisen de Pinho. "Volkswagen do Brasil: Driving Strategy with the Balanced Scorecard." Harvard Business School Case 111-049, October 2010. (Revised June 2014.)
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Making the Numbers? 'Short Termism' and the Puzzle of Only Occasional Disaster

      By: Nelson P. Repenning and Rebecca Henderson
      Much recent work in strategy and popular discussion suggests that an excessive focus on "managing the numbers"—delivering quarterly earnings at the expense of longer-term investments—makes it difficult for firms to make the investments necessary to build competitive... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Performance Improvement; Competitive Advantage; Earnings Management; Management Practices and Processes; Revenue; Quality; Competency and Skills; Motivation and Incentives; Auto Industry; United States
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      Repenning, Nelson P., and Rebecca Henderson. "Making the Numbers? 'Short Termism' and the Puzzle of Only Occasional Disaster." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-033, September 2010.
      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm Level Evidence

      By: Bo Becker and Victoria Ivashina
      Theory predicts that there is a close link between bank credit supply and the evolution of the business cycle. Yet fluctuations in bank-loan supply have been hard to quantify in the time-series. While loan issuance falls in recessions, it is not clear if this is due to... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Borrowing and Debt; Credit; Banks and Banking; Bonds; Financial Markets; Financing and Loans; Banking Industry
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      Becker, Bo, and Victoria Ivashina. "Cyclicality of Credit Supply: Firm Level Evidence." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-107, June 2010. (Revised August 2011.)
      • May 2010
      • Article

      Loan Syndication and Credit Cycles

      By: Victoria Ivashina and David Scharfstein
      Cyclicality in the supply of business credit has been the focus of a considerable amount of research. This cyclicality can stem from shocks to borrowers' collateral, which affect firms' ability to raise capital if agency and information problems are significant (Ben S.... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Capital; Credit; Banks and Banking; Financing and Loans; System Shocks; Financial Services Industry
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      Ivashina, Victoria, and David Scharfstein. "Loan Syndication and Credit Cycles." American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 100, no. 2 (May 2010): 57–61.
      • May 2009
      • Article

      The Definitive Guide to Recruiting in Good Times and Bad

      By: Claudio Fernández-Aráoz, Boris Groysberg and Nitin Nohria
      This article includes a one-page preview that quickly summarizes the key ideas and provides an overview of how the concepts work in practice along with suggestions for further reading. Few companies are thinking about hiring right now, but that's a mistake. If history... View Details
      Keywords: Talent and Talent Management; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Recruitment; Selection and Staffing; Management Practices and Processes; Managerial Roles
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      Fernández-Aráoz, Claudio, Boris Groysberg, and Nitin Nohria. "The Definitive Guide to Recruiting in Good Times and Bad." Harvard Business Review 87, no. 5 (May 2009): 74–84.
      • February 2008 (Revised December 2023)
      • Case

      Digital Music: From MP3 to Streaming

      By: Willy Shih
      The emergence of the MP3 file-based music format not only disrupted the market for portable audio players, it also impacted the business models of major record labels. Modularity, and the commoditization spillover enabled by modularity in the personal computer... View Details
      Keywords: Recording; Digital Devices; Digital Media; Digital Music; Digital; Digital Economics; Consumer Electronics; Customer Value and Value Chain; Disruptive Innovation; Technological Innovation; Information Technology; Music Industry; Technology Industry; Electronics Industry; United States
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      Shih, Willy. "Digital Music: From MP3 to Streaming." Harvard Business School Case 608-119, February 2008. (Revised December 2023.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Irving Fisher, Economic Forecasting, and the Myth of the Business Cycle

      By: Walter A. Friedman
      A premier economist of the twentieth century and a founder of neoclassical thought, Irving Fisher was also an active participant in the field of economic forecasting. Fisher made theoretical contributions to the understanding of economic fluctuations, popularized the... View Details
      Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Economics; Business Cycles; Business History; Newspapers; Personal Development and Career
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      Friedman, Walter A. "Irving Fisher, Economic Forecasting, and the Myth of the Business Cycle." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-037, November 2007.
      • September 2006 (Revised December 2006)
      • Case

      Arizona Department of Public Health: The Challenges of Preparing for a Public Health Emergency

      By: Lynda M. Applegate, Ajay Vinze, T. S. Raghu and Minu Ipe
      In the post-9/11 era information technology enablement for emergency preparedness and response have taken on increased significance. Public health organizations like ADHS play a critical role in any statewide preparation for large scale emergencies. With issues like... View Details
      Keywords: Problems and Challenges; Information Technology; Health Care and Treatment; Business Processes; Service Delivery; National Security; Health Industry; Public Administration Industry; Arizona
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      Applegate, Lynda M., Ajay Vinze, T. S. Raghu, and Minu Ipe. "Arizona Department of Public Health: The Challenges of Preparing for a Public Health Emergency." Harvard Business School Case 807-016, September 2006. (Revised December 2006.)
      • August 2006
      • Article

      Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default

      By: Samuel G. Hanson and Til Schuermann
      In this paper we conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD) using several analytical approaches as well as parametric and nonparametric bootstrap methods. We do so for two different PD estimation... View Details
      Keywords: Credit Risk; Bootstrap; Mathematical Methods; Credit; Risk Management
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      Hanson, Samuel G., and Til Schuermann. "Confidence Intervals for Probabilities of Default." Journal of Banking & Finance 30, no. 8 (August 2006).
      • June 2005 (Revised May 2006)
      • Case

      Covisint (A): The Evolution of a B2B Marketplace

      By: Lynda M. Applegate and Elizabeth Collins
      Ford Motor Co., General Motors, and DaimlerChrysler--the three original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) that dominated the automotive industry throughout the 20th century--launched Covisint in February 2000 as an industry supply chain exchange that would drive out cost... View Details
      Keywords: Business Model; Supply Chain Management; Business Startups; Management Teams; Manufacturing Industry; Auto Industry; United States
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      Applegate, Lynda M., and Elizabeth Collins. "Covisint (A): The Evolution of a B2B Marketplace." Harvard Business School Case 805-110, June 2005. (Revised May 2006.)
      • May 2005
      • Article

      Break Free from the Product Life Cycle

      By: Youngme Moon
      Keywords: Product; Business Cycles
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      Moon, Youngme. "Break Free from the Product Life Cycle." Harvard Business Review 83, no. 5 (May 2005).
      • April 2005
      • Article

      Partisan Social Happiness

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Robert MacCulloch
      We use a new approach to study questions in political economy that relies on data on the subjective well-being of a large sample of people living in the OECD over the period 1975-1992. Controlling for the personal characteristics of the respondents, year and country... View Details
      Keywords: Political Partisanship; Political Economy; Society; Happiness
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Robert MacCulloch. "Partisan Social Happiness." Review of Economic Studies 72, no. 2 (April 2005): 367–93.
      • March 2005 (Revised August 2019)
      • Case

      Cisco Systems: Managing the Go-to-Market Evolution

      By: V. Kasturi Rangan
      With the collapse of the dot-com market and related shrinkage in the high-tech industry, Cisco took a dip in its sales and profits in 2001. Coming back from the recession, Cisco had to manage and evolve its go-to-market strategy and design in keeping with its new... View Details
      Keywords: Change Management; Design; Business Cycles; Growth and Development Strategy; Marketing Channels; Marketing Strategy; Market Entry and Exit; Business Strategy
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      Rangan, V. Kasturi. "Cisco Systems: Managing the Go-to-Market Evolution." Harvard Business School Case 505-006, March 2005. (Revised August 2019.)
      • August 2004
      • Article

      Capital Controls, Risk and Liberalization Cycles

      By: Laura Alfaro and Fabio Kanczuk
      The paper presents an overlapping-generations model where agents vote on whether to open or close the economy to international capital flows. Political decisions are shaped by the risk over capital and labor returns. In an open economy, the capitalists (old) completely... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Development Economics; Voting; Risk and Uncertainty; Cash Flow; Saving; Investment; Economy; Wages
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      Alfaro, Laura, and Fabio Kanczuk. "Capital Controls, Risk and Liberalization Cycles." Review of International Economics 12, no. 3 (August 2004): 412–434.
      • March 2003 (Revised January 2006)
      • Case

      Threshold Sports

      By: Richard G. Hamermesh and Todd H Thedinga
      Describes the sales, marketing, and operating issues facing Threshold Sports, a small cycling event management company that produces the Pro Cycling Tour. Examines the issues facing the company as it approaches breakeven and attempts to grow the business substantially.... View Details
      Keywords: Growth Management; Bicycle Transportation; Service Delivery; Sports; Bicycle Industry; Service Industry
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      Hamermesh, Richard G., and Todd H Thedinga. "Threshold Sports." Harvard Business School Case 803-134, March 2003. (Revised January 2006.)
      • 2003
      • Chapter

      Short-Term America Revisited? Boom and Bust in the Venture Capital Industry and the Impact on Innovation

      By: Josh Lerner and Paul A. Gompers
      This chapter seeks to understand the implications of the recent decline in venture activity for innovation. It argues that the situation may not be as grim as it initially appears. While there are many reasons for believing that on average venture capital has a... View Details
      Keywords: Venture Capital; Innovation and Invention; Business Cycles; Financial Services Industry; United States
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      Lerner, Josh, and Paul A. Gompers. "Short-Term America Revisited? Boom and Bust in the Venture Capital Industry and the Impact on Innovation." In Innovation Policy and the Economy, Volume 3, edited by Adam B. Jaffe, Josh Lerner, and Scott Stern, 1–28. MIT Press, 2003.
      • August 2002 (Revised February 2003)
      • Case

      Siebel Systems: Anatomy of a Sale, Part 2

      By: John A. Deighton and Das Narayandas
      How does a $2 million software sale happen? This case traces efforts by Siebel Systems to sell lead management software to discount broker Quick & Reilly. The buying process is mapped out over four years. Covers in detail the last six months--from Siebel's initial... View Details
      Keywords: Business Cycles; Leadership; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Marketing Strategy; Consumer Behavior; Organizational Structure; Behavior; Competition; Applications and Software; Technology Industry
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      Deighton, John A., and Das Narayandas. "Siebel Systems: Anatomy of a Sale, Part 2." Harvard Business School Case 503-022, August 2002. (Revised February 2003.)
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