Publications

2021
Working Paper

Consuming Contests: Outcome Uncertainty and Spectator Demand for Contest-based Entertainment

By: Patrick J. Ferguson and Karim R. Lakhani

Contests that are designed to be consumed for entertainment by non-contestants are a fixture of economic, cultural and political life. In this paper, we examine whether individuals prefer to consume contests that have more uncertain outcomes. We look to... View Details

Keywords: Contest Design; Information Preferences; Consumer Demand; Sports; Entertainment; Games, Gaming, and Gambling; Demand and Consumers; Outcome or Result

SSRN

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December 2007 (Revised January 2008)
Background Note

Evaluating M&A Deals-Announcement Effects, Risk Arbitrage and Event Risk

By: Carliss Y. Baldwin

The announcement of merger or acquisition conveys new information to the capital markets. This note describes how the stock prices of a Buyer and Target behave after the announcement of a deal. First, for an all-stock deal that is certain to go through, the note... View Details

Keywords: Mergers and Acquisitions; Announcements; Capital Markets; Stocks; Price; Risk and Uncertainty

November 2012 (Revised January 2013)
Case

Companion Diagnostics: Uncertainties for Approval and Reimbursement

By: Richard G. Hamermesh, Norman C. Selby and Phillip Andrews

The FDA approvals of novel therapeutics were seen as signs in the personalized medicine community of real progress in the growth of personalized medicine. The FDA's approval of such drugs, along with companion diagnostics, suggested a shift in thinking and regulatory... View Details

Keywords: Models Of Reimbursement; Personalized Medicine; Regulation; Healthcare Reform; Health Care and Treatment; Health Industry; United States

29 Nov 2016
Working Paper Summaries

Fiscal Risk and the Portfolio of Government Programs

Keywords: by Samuel G. Hanson, David S. Scharfstein, and Adi Sunderam

August 1994
Background Note

Derivative Markets: Structure and Risks

Gives a conceptual understanding of derivative products, their applications, and valuation. After a brief treatment of exchange-traded derivatives, explores over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives, emphasizing the market, credit, legal, operational, and other risks... View Details

Keywords: Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Markets

Keywords: Julia Hanna; Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries; Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries; Performing Arts, Spectator Sports, and Related Industries

20 Jun 2008
News

Risk and Reward

Like many horse racing fans, I was disappointed when Big Brown met defeat at the Belmont Stakes on Saturday, June 7. After the bay colt’s impressive wins in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, railbirds were hopeful that he would be the... View Details

November 2016 (Revised December 2016)
Module Note

Strategy Execution Module 13: Identifying Strategic Risk

By: Robert Simons

This module reading begins by describing the three sources of strategic risk—operations risk, asset impairment risk, and competitive risk—and demonstrates how these risks can undermine an entire business. To assist in the identification of these risks, the risk... View Details

Keywords: Management Control Systems; Implementing Strategy; Execution; Risk Assessment; Operational Control; Asset Impairment; Franchise Risk; Fraud; Strategy; Information Management

18 Feb 2016
News

Uncertainty and Confusion: Parsing the FOMC Minutes

21 Mar 2016
Working Paper Summaries

Risk Management―The Revealing Hand

Keywords: by Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes; Financial Services; Banking

Research Summary

Real Options and Financial Decisions Under Uncertainty

Marc L. Bertoneche is developing material relevant to the business world in this field. He is particularly interested in applying the Real Option approach to Brand Valuation. View Details

Article

Excusing Selfishness in Charitable Giving: The Role of Risk

By: Christine L. Exley

Decisions involving charitable giving often occur under the shadow of risk. A common finding is that potential donors give less when there is greater risk that their donation will have less impact. While this behavior could be fully rationalized by standard economic... View Details

Keywords: Charitable Giving; Prosocial Behavior; Altruism; Risk Preferences; Risk and Uncertainty; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Behavior

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25 Jul 2011
News

Five Tips for Coping with Uncertainty — and Finding Opportunity

2017
Book

Managing Risk in Reinsurance: From City Fires to Global Warming

By: Niels Viggo Hauter and Geoffrey Jones

This is the first book to provide a comprehensive history of the reinsurance industry from the nineteenth century to the present day. Reinsurance developed at the fringe of financial services and, for most of its existence, was largely unnoticed outside the expert... View Details

Keywords: Insurance; Risk Management; Business History; Globalization; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Services Industry; Insurance Industry; Africa; Europe; Latin America; North and Central America; Asia

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February 2000 (Revised July 2000)
Case

Honeywell, Inc. and Integrated Risk Management

Honeywell was the first to introduce an integrated risk management program that combined traditionally insured risks with other risks in an insurance contract. This case identifies the benefits of integrating risks and shows how such an approach might be valuable. View Details

Keywords: Integration; Risk Management

20 May 2010
Conference Presentation

Counting Risk and Making Risk Count: Metrological Dramas in Risk Management

By: Anette Mikes

Keywords: Risk Management

25 Mar 2010
Conference Presentation

Counting Risk and Making Risk Count: Metrological Dramas in Risk Management

By: Anette Mikes

Keywords: Risk Management

April 2006
Background Note

Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World: Module 1: Innovation and Uncertainty

By: Alan D. MacCormack

Describes the first module of a Harvard Business School 30-session elective course called Managing Innovation in an Uncertain World. The course helps students understand the challenges that uncertainty implies for innovation and how to overcome these challenges. The... View Details

Keywords: Design; Curriculum and Courses; Innovation and Management; Projects; Opportunities; Perspective