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- All HBS Web (112)
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- All HBS Web (112)
- Faculty Publications (25)
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- 19 Jul 2016
- First Look
July 19, 2016
Abstract—We estimate the causal effect of sovereign default on the equity returns of Argentine firms. We identify this effect by exploiting changes in the probability of Argentine sovereign default induced by legal rulings in the case of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 22 Apr 2020
- Research Event
How Investors Are Sizing Up Climate Change’s Risks—and Opportunities
the US Midwest and one from the US South, Cromwell demonstrated the analytical impact of overlaying the heat index forecast on these two locations. The bonds have nearly identical credit ratings and yields, even though the Southern... View Details
- 15 Apr 2008
- First Look
First Look: April 15, 2008
important determinant of delegation and the provision of incentives. Using a sample of convenience store chains, we show that market-type dispersion is related to the degree of franchising at the chain level as well as the probability of... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Dec 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, December 11, 2018
cities between 1910 and 1930. Instrumenting immigrants’ location decision by interacting national changes in migration flows across ethnic groups with pre-existing immigrants’ enclaves across U.S. cities, we find that immigration raised marriage rates and the View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 02 Mar 2015
- Research & Ideas
‘Retail Revolution’ Excerpt: The Scale of the Ecommerce Threat
day, 7 days a week and is available from one's own home without a trip. While Amazon has been compared to Walmart, it's probably most apt to compare Amazon to category killers. Amazon's sales are only a fraction of Walmart's, but like... View Details
- 16 Oct 2013
- Op-Ed
Response to Readers: Combating Climate Change with Nuclear Power and Fracking
With more than 7,500 views and 180-plus tweets, I want to thank everyone for taking the time to read the original HBS Working Knowledge piece, The Case for Combating Climate Change with Nuclear Power and Fracking, and, in particular, for sharing your thoughts with one... View Details
- 02 Oct 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, October 2, 2018
Our logistic regression models indicate that (1) realized post-purchase price drops lead to a higher probability of return, and (2) anticipated price drops after purchase lead to a higher probability of... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 06 Jun 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research and Ideas: June 6, 2017
observe homophily in ethnicity and gender increases the probability of forming teams by 25%. Homophily in education and past working experience increases the probability of forming teams by 17% and 11 %... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 22 Apr 2002
- Lessons from the Classroom
Entrepreneurship: It Can Be Taught
interviewing techniques, term sheets—the kinds of things that people who start companies have to do.— Paul Marshall The second is forecasting cash flows, which is obviously not unique to entrepreneurs. We try to get students to recognize... View Details
Keywords: by Staff
- 10 Jan 2012
- First Look
First Look: January 10
forecasted probability of future funding by funding more innovative ideas. We propose that extremely novel technologies may need 'hot' financial markets to get through the initial period of discovery or... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 25 Feb 2014
- First Look
First Look: February 25
assess them optimistically. Furthermore, we find that more experienced analysts and higher-status brokerage houses are the first to shift the relation between CSR ratings and investment recommendation optimism. We find no significant link between firms' CSR ratings and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 29 May 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, May 29, 2018
associated with a 0.5% increase in housing prices. Moreover, Yelp measures of local business activity provide leading indicators for housing price changes and help to forecast which neighborhoods are gentrifying. Publisher's link:... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 05 Sep 2007
- First Look
First Look: September 5, 2007
quality of the search service offered to consumers is more likely to be degraded (i.e. the probability that consumers find their favorite store in the first round of search is less than 1) when the intermediary derives higher revenues... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 12 Jun 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, June 12, 2018
verdicts, increasing the probability of a favorable outcome. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=54560 Motivated Errors By: Exley, Christine L., and Judd B. Kessler Abstract—Behavioral biases that cause... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 14 Nov 2017
- First Look
New Research and Ideas: November 14, 2017
probability of a crash; (3) attributes of the price run-up, including volatility, turnover, issuance, and the price path of the run-up, can all help forecast an eventual crash and future returns; and (4)... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 14 Mar 2017
- First Look
First Look at New Research, March 14
1926–2014 and international sector returns 1985–2014, we present four findings: (1) Fama is correct in that a sharp price increase of an industry portfolio does not, on average, predict unusually low returns going forward; (2) such sharp price increases predict a... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 21 Dec 2010
- First Look
First Look: December 21
unable to tell whether each child was honest or not, we speculate about the proportion of reported white outcomes. Children report the prize-winning outcome at rates statistically above 50% but below 100%. Moreover, the probability of... View Details
- 19 Feb 2019
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, February 19, 2019
witnessed relentless growth and one year later, its revenue was on track to exceed the forecast by 300 percent. BlackBuck had operations in 200 locations across India and a team of over 1,000 people. The company had raised two rounds of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne