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Publications

Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (1,154)
      • Faculty Publications  (134)

      Observational StudiesRemove Observational Studies →

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      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Black Out-Migration and Southern Political Realignment

      By: Leah Boustan and Marco Tabellini
      Can emigration from less democratic and economically less developed areas induce political and economic change? We study this question in the context of the second Great Migration of African Americans (1940–1970), when more than 4 million blacks left the U.S. South and... View Details
      Keywords: Great Migration; Immigration; Race; Government and Politics; Economics; United States
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      Boustan, Leah, and Marco Tabellini. "Black Out-Migration and Southern Political Realignment." Working Paper, 2018.
      • July 2018
      • Article

      Global Collaborative Patents

      By: Sari Pekkala Kerr and William R. Kerr
      We study the prevalence and traits of global collaborative patents for U.S. public companies, where the inventor team is located both within and outside of the United States. Collaborative patents are frequently observed when a corporation is entering into a new... View Details
      Keywords: Innovation; Ethnic Networks; Migration; Technology Transfer; Mobility; Information Technology; Globalized Firms and Management; Diasporas; Patents; Ethnicity; Entrepreneurship; Research and Development; Foreign Direct Investment; Innovation and Invention; Globalization; United States
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      Kerr, Sari Pekkala, and William R. Kerr. "Global Collaborative Patents." Economic Journal 128, no. 612 (July 2018): F235–F272.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Channeled Attention and Stable Errors -- Previous Working Version

      By: Tristan Gagnon-Bartsch, Matthew Rabin and Joshua Schwartzstein
      A common critique of models of mistaken beliefs is that people should recognize their error after observations they thought were unlikely. This paper develops a framework for assessing when a given error is likely to be discovered, in the sense that the error-maker... View Details
      Keywords: Perception; Behavior; Theory; Situation or Environment
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      Gagnon-Bartsch, Tristan, Matthew Rabin, and Joshua Schwartzstein. "Channeled Attention and Stable Errors -- Previous Working Version." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-108, June 2018.
      • January–February 2018
      • Article

      Some Customers Would Rather Leave Without Saying Goodbye

      By: Eva Ascarza, Oded Netzer and Bruce G.S. Hardie
      We investigate the increasingly common business setting in which companies face the possibility of both observed and unobserved customer attrition (i.e., “overt” and “silent” churn) in the same pool of customers. This is the case for many online-based services where... View Details
      Keywords: Churn; Retention; Attrition; Customer Base Analysis; Hidden Markov Models; Latent Variable Models; Customer Relationship Management; Consumer Behavior
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      Ascarza, Eva, Oded Netzer, and Bruce G.S. Hardie. "Some Customers Would Rather Leave Without Saying Goodbye." Marketing Science 37, no. 1 (January–February 2018): 54–77.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Trust and Democracy: Leader Turnover during Economic Crises

      By: Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian and Jaya Y. Wen
      We study the relationship between interpersonal trust and political stability in democratic countries. Using a six-decade-long annual country-level panel dataset, we find that recessions are more likely to cause political turnover in countries with lower levels of... View Details
      Keywords: Interpersonal Trust; Recessions; Leader Turnover; Political Instability; Culture; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Trust; Political Elections
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      Nunn, Nathan, Nancy Qian, and Jaya Y. Wen. "Trust and Democracy: Leader Turnover during Economic Crises." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 24187, January 2018. (Revised February 2023. Available also from VOX and in Kellogg Insight.)
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Intermediation in the Supply of Agricultural Products in Developing Economies

      By: Kris J. Ferreira, Joel Goh and Ehsan Valavi
      Problem Definition: Farmers face several challenges in agricultural supply chains in emerging economies that contribute to extreme levels of poverty. One common challenge is that farmers only have access to one channel, often an auction, for which to sell their crops.... View Details
      Keywords: Developing Countries; Agricultural Supply Chain; Intermediation; Multiple Cahnels; Walrasian Auction; Developing Countries and Economies; Supply Chain; Distribution Channels; Profit; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry
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      Ferreira, Kris J., Joel Goh, and Ehsan Valavi. "Intermediation in the Supply of Agricultural Products in Developing Economies." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-033, October 2017.
      • Article

      Describing Wait Time Bottlenecks for ED Patients Undergoing Head CT

      By: Jonathan G. Rogg, Robert S. Huckman, Michael Lev, Ali Raja, Yuchiao Chang and Benjamin White
      Study objectives: Facing increased utilization and subsequent capacity and budget constraints, EDs must better understand bottlenecks and their effect on process flow to improve process efficiency. The primary objective of this study was to identify bottlenecks in... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care; Bottleneck; Health Care and Treatment; Operations; Health Industry; United States
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      Rogg, Jonathan G., Robert S. Huckman, Michael Lev, Ali Raja, Yuchiao Chang, and Benjamin White. "Describing Wait Time Bottlenecks for ED Patients Undergoing Head CT." American Journal of Emergency Medicine 35, no. 10 (October 2017): 1510–1513.
      • Article

      Channel Integration, Sales Dispersion, and Inventory Management

      By: Santiago Gallino, Antonio Moreno and Ioannis Stamatopoulos
      We study the effects of the introduction of cross-channel functionalities on the overall sales dispersion of retailers and the implications of these effects for inventory management. To do that, we analyze data from a leading U.S. retailer who introduced a... View Details
      Keywords: Retail Operations; Online Retail; Channel Integration; Sales Dispersion; Long Tail; Empirical Operations; Inventory Management; Omnichannel Retail; Marketing Channels; Integration; Sales; Logistics; Operations; Management; Retail Industry
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      Gallino, Santiago, Antonio Moreno, and Ioannis Stamatopoulos. "Channel Integration, Sales Dispersion, and Inventory Management." Management Science 63, no. 9 (September 2017): 2813–2831.
      • 2017
      • Article

      Computer Vision Uncovers Predictors of Physical Urban Change

      By: Nikhil Naik, Scott Duke Kominers, Ramesh Raskar, Edward L. Glaeser and César A. Hidalgo
      Which neighborhoods experience physical improvements? In this paper, we introduce a computer vision method to measure changes in the physical appearances of neighborhoods from time-series street-level imagery. We connect changes in the physical appearance of five U.S.... View Details
      Keywords: Urban Economics; Gentrification; Urban Studies; Computer Vision; Nieghborhood Effects; Urban Development; Situation or Environment; Demographics; Economics; Change
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      Naik, Nikhil, Scott Duke Kominers, Ramesh Raskar, Edward L. Glaeser, and César A. Hidalgo. "Computer Vision Uncovers Predictors of Physical Urban Change." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, no. 29 (July 18, 2017).
      • June 2017
      • Article

      Creating Reciprocal Value Through Operational Transparency

      By: Ryan W. Buell, Tami Kim and Chia-Jung Tsay
      We investigate whether organizations can create value by introducing visual transparency between consumers and producers. Although operational transparency has been shown to improve consumer perceptions of service value, existing theory posits that increased contact... View Details
      Keywords: Operational Transparency; Service Management; Production Management; Organizational Performance; Behavioral Operations; Service Operations; Service Delivery; Consumer Behavior; Labor; Organizational Design; Operations; Service Industry; United States; Kenya
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      Buell, Ryan W., Tami Kim, and Chia-Jung Tsay. "Creating Reciprocal Value Through Operational Transparency." Management Science 63, no. 6 (June 2017): 1673–1695.
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Homophily in Entrepreneurial Team Formation

      By: Paul A. Gompers, Kevin Huang and Sophie Q. Wang
      We study the role of homophily in group formation. Using a unique dataset of MBA students, we observe homophily in ethnicity and gender increases the probability of forming teams by 25%. Homophily in education and past working experience increases the probability of... View Details
      Keywords: Groups and Teams; Diversity; Familiarity; Entrepreneurship; Venture Capital; Performance
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      Gompers, Paul A., Kevin Huang, and Sophie Q. Wang. "Homophily in Entrepreneurial Team Formation." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 17-104, May 2017.
      • May 2017
      • Article

      Behavioral Processes in Long-Lag Interventions

      By: Dale T. Miller, Jennifer E. Dannals and Julian Zlatev
      We argue that psychologists who conduct experiments with long lags between the manipulation and the outcome measure should pay more attention to behavioral processes that intervene between the manipulation and the outcome measure. Neglect of such processes, we contend,... View Details
      Keywords: Field Experiments; Interventions; Behavioral Mediation; Theories Of Change; Longitudinal Studies; Behavior; Research; Change; Theory
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      Miller, Dale T., Jennifer E. Dannals, and Julian Zlatev. "Behavioral Processes in Long-Lag Interventions." Perspectives on Psychological Science 12, no. 3 (May 2017): 454–467.
      • April–May 2017
      • Article

      Career Concerns of Banking Analysts

      By: Joanne Horton, George Serafeim and Shan Wu
      We study how career concerns influence banking analysts' forecasts and how their forecasting behavior benefits both them and bank managers. We show that banking analysts issue early in the year relatively more optimistic and later in the year more pessimistic forecasts... View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Analyst Forecasts; Analysts; Investment Recommendations; Career Advancement; Career Management; Labor Mobility; Labor Market; Prejudice and Bias; Personal Development and Career; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Banking
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      Horton, Joanne, George Serafeim, and Shan Wu. "Career Concerns of Banking Analysts." Journal of Accounting & Economics 63, nos. 2-3 (April–May 2017): 231–252.
      • Article

      Managing Perceptions of Distress at Work: Reframing Emotion as Passion

      By: Elizabeth Baily Wolf, Jooa Julia Lee, Sunita Sah and Alison Wood Brooks
      Expressing distress at work can have negative consequences for employees: observers perceive employees who express distress as less competent than employees who do not. Across five experiments, we explore how reframing a socially inappropriate emotional expression... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Making; Emotions; Perception
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      Wolf, Elizabeth Baily, Jooa Julia Lee, Sunita Sah, and Alison Wood Brooks. "Managing Perceptions of Distress at Work: Reframing Emotion as Passion." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 137 (November 2016): 1–12.
      • 2016
      • Book

      Strategy Beyond Markets

      By: John de Figueiredo, Michael Lenox, Felix Oberholzer-Gee and Rick Vanden Bergh
      Strategy beyond markets has been an active area of research inquiry since the early 1990s. Since its inception, the scholarship emanating from this research stream has grown substantially in quantity, quality, and breadth. Likewise, firms across the world have... View Details
      Keywords: Strategy
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      Figueiredo, John de, Michael Lenox, Felix Oberholzer-Gee and Rick Vanden Bergh, eds. Strategy Beyond Markets. Vol. 34, Advances in Strategic Management. Emerald Group Publishing, 2016.
      • March 2016
      • Article

      Environmental Demands and the Emergence of Social Structure: Technological Dynamism and Interorganizational Network Forms

      By: Adam Tatarynowicz, Maxim Sytch and Ranjay Gulati
      This study investigates the origins of variation in the structures of interorganizational networks across industries. We combine empirical analyses of existing interorganizational networks in six industries with an agent-based simulation model of network emergence.... View Details
      Keywords: Interorganizatonal Relationships; Social Networks; Network Emergence; Interorganizational Networks; Information Technology; Networks; Organizational Structure; Social and Collaborative Networks; Social Media
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      Tatarynowicz, Adam, Maxim Sytch, and Ranjay Gulati. "Environmental Demands and the Emergence of Social Structure: Technological Dynamism and Interorganizational Network Forms." Administrative Science Quarterly 61, no. 1 (March 2016): 52–86.
      • 2015
      • Working Paper

      Staggered Boards and Shareholder Value: A Reply to Amihud and Stoyanov

      By: Alma Cohen and Charles C.Y. Wang
      In a paper published in the Journal of Financial Economics in 2013, we provided evidence that market participants perceive staggered boards to be on average value-reducing. In a recent response paper, Amihud and Stoyanov (2015) “contest” our results. They... View Details
      Keywords: Staggered Boards; Takeover Defense; Antitakeover Provision; Firm Value; Agency Costs; Delaware; Chancery Court; Airgas; Governing and Advisory Boards; Acquisition; Corporate Governance; Business and Shareholder Relations; Delaware
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      Cohen, Alma, and Charles C.Y. Wang. "Staggered Boards and Shareholder Value: A Reply to Amihud and Stoyanov." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 16-097, February 2016.
      • Article

      Tracking the Changing Feature of a Moving Object

      By: Julian De Freitas, Nicholas E. Myers and Anna C. Nobre
      The mind can track not only the changing locations of moving objects, but also their changing features, which are often meaningful for guiding action. How does the mind track such features? Using a task in which observers tracked the changing orientation of a rolling... View Details
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      De Freitas, Julian, Nicholas E. Myers, and Anna C. Nobre. "Tracking the Changing Feature of a Moving Object." Journal of Vision 16, no. 3 (February 2016): 1–21.
      • 2015
      • Article

      Beliefs About the True Self Explain Asymmetries Based on Moral Judgment

      By: George E. Newman, Julian De Freitas and Joshua Knobe
      Past research has identified a number of asymmetries based on moral judgments. Beliefs about (a) what a person values, (b) whether a person is happy, (c) whether a person has shown weakness of will, and (d) whether a person deserves praise or blame seem to depend... View Details
      Keywords: Concepts; Social Cognition; Moral Reasoning; True Self; Values; Weakness Of Will; Blame; Values and Beliefs; Identity; Moral Sensibility; Happiness
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      Newman, George E., Julian De Freitas, and Joshua Knobe. "Beliefs About the True Self Explain Asymmetries Based on Moral Judgment." Cognitive Science 39, no. 1 (2015): 96–125.
      • Article

      How Beliefs about Self-creation Inflate Value in the Human Brain

      By: Raphael Koster, Tali Sharot, Rachel Yuan, Benedetto De Martino, Michael I. Norton and Raymond J. Dolan
      Humans have a tendency to overvalue their own ideas and creations. Understanding how these errors in judgement emerge is important for explaining suboptimal decisions, as when individuals and groups choose self-created alternatives over superior or equal ones. We show... View Details
      Keywords: fMRI; Amygdala; Hippocampus; Medial Temporal Lobe; Caudate Nucleus; Values and Beliefs
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      Koster, Raphael, Tali Sharot, Rachel Yuan, Benedetto De Martino, Michael I. Norton, and Raymond J. Dolan. "How Beliefs about Self-creation Inflate Value in the Human Brain." Art. 473. Frontiers in Human Neuroscience 9 (September 2015): 1–10.
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