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  • 05 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 5

earns an average risk-adjusted return of 4.68% per year. Firms with central boards also experience higher future growth in return-on-assets (ROA) with analysts failing to fully reflect this information in their earnings forecasts. Return prediction, growth in ROA, and... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 11 Mar 2008
  • First Look

First Look: March 11, 2008

at Columbia University, which they had covered together, as all were alumni. They were commiserating about having to submit revised forecasts to their division heads by the end of the week. Alec Hastings, head of Global Institutional... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 15 Jul 2008
  • First Look

First Look: July 15, 2008

Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice Authors:Robin Greenwood, Jeremy C. Stein, and Samuel Hanson Abstract We argue that time-series variation in the maturity of aggregate corporate debt issues arises because firms behave as macro... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 14 Dec 2011
  • Research & Ideas

The New Measures for Improving Nonprofit Performance

worked in our favor was that we had developed multiyear financial forecast models. We were dealing with bank workout teams, which is very rugged. But because we had that information, we stunned them. They didn't expect that coming from a... View Details
Keywords: by Julia Hanna
  • 08 May 2007
  • First Look

First Look: May 8, 2007

exogenous variation in foreign aid. We investigate how aid is spent by tracking its short-run effect on aggregate demand, prices, the national accounts, savings, and the balance of payments. We find that aid is mostly consumed, primarily... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 19 Oct 2010
  • First Look

First Look: October 19, 2010

different organizational contexts, i.e., summer field training and during academic semesters. Leader performance was measured with leadership grades (supervisor ratings) aggregated over four years at West Point. Findings-After controlling... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 09 Mar 2016
  • Lessons from the Classroom

In This Classroom, Beer Can Improve Your Grade

harder for breweries to fall into bailout loans, which happened to many teams last year, Casadesus-Masanell says. Enhanced graphics include waterfall charts for just about every metric imaginable on a team’s own brewery and its competitors. Teams can drill down via a... View Details
Keywords: by Roberta Holland; Education; Food & Beverage
  • 15 Apr 2008
  • First Look

First Look: April 15, 2008

that, at the aggregate level, is similar to the one sector neoclassical growth model, while, at the disaggregate level, has implications for the path of observable measures of technology adoption. We estimate our model using data on the... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 04 Dec 2012
  • First Look

First Look: December 4

follow advice without understanding why the advice is correct: the average respondent does not demonstrate improved agricultural knowledge, though there is some evidence educated farmers learn from the service. Download the paper: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2179008... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 28 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 28

  Publications August 2013 Princeton University Press Fortune Tellers: The Story of America's First Economic Forecasters By: Friedman, Walter A. Abstract—The period leading up to the Great Depression witnessed the rise of the economic... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 17 Mar 2011
  • Research & Ideas

Harvard Business School Faculty Comment on Crisis in Japan

times the $132 billion that the 1995 Kobe earthquake did, making it one of the Japan's most costly natural disasters. Transportation disruptions and the closing of many factories throughout Japan will shrink Japanese aggregate demand and... View Details
Keywords: Re: Multiple Faculty
  • 02 Mar 2015
  • Research & Ideas

‘Retail Revolution’ Excerpt: The Scale of the Ecommerce Threat

take their place and the need for stocking or tidying up merchandise at store level doesn't exist. Without a store network, real estate costs are confined to a handful of distribution centers. Inventory aggregation at a few key points of... View Details
Keywords: Re: Rajiv Lal; Retail
  • 25 Jan 2011
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 25

adoption. The "extensive" margin refers to the timing of a country's adoption of a new technology; the "intensive" margin refers to how many units are adopted (for a given size economy). At the aggregate level, our... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 Dec 2010
  • First Look

First Look: December 21

When producing a unit of output, the content of the knowledge gained can vary dramatically from one unit to the next. This suggests that while aggregate experience in learning-by-doing is generally valuable, not all prior experience has... View Details
  • 19 Feb 2019
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, February 19, 2019

Individuals' voting preferences are modeled using a random-coefficient aggregate discrete-choice model, in which we incorporate both observed and unobserved individual heterogeneity. We find that different campaign activities have... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

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