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- 04 May 2020
- Research & Ideas
Predictions, Prophets, and Restarting Your Business
and make decisions based on assumptions about the future. The problem: Most of these prophecies about what is to come are basically straight-line extrapolations of a few weeks of data or sermons about what that prophet believes should... View Details
Keywords: by Frank V. Cespedes
- 01 Jun 2008
- News
Greed, Gullibility, and Optimism
call “extreme extrapolation comfort,” which is the belief that if something happens for a little while, it will happen forever. There were times when we should have known we were approaching the subprime debacle, but when, exactly, the... View Details
- Web
Building the Road to 'Small Business Utopia' with AI and Fintech | Working Knowledge
small businesses health and prospects. These inputs have the potential to resolve two defining issues that have faced lenders and borrowers in the sector: heterogeneity—the fact that all small businesses are different, making it difficult to View Details
- 05 Dec 2007
- Sharpening Your Skills
Sharpening Your Skills: Managing Marketing
store; simultaneously, new customers are attracted to the direct channels, perhaps due to a branding effect stemming from the publicity surrounding the new store, which makes customers more aware of and more comfortable with the firm's direct channel operations. Use... View Details
- 19 Aug 2008
- First Look
First Look: August 19, 2008
demand implied by the interpolations or extrapolations to be primarily different from the actual demand process. Extrapolations and interpolations being separate activities can, in addition, imply differing... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 30 Aug 2016
- First Look
August 30, 2016
https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50545 A Model of Credit Market Sentiment By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin Abstract—We present a model of credit market sentiment in which investors form beliefs about future creditworthiness by... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
- 14 Oct 2014
- First Look
First Look: October 14
behavior of the banking system (in terms of issuance) and the monetary authority (in terms of open market operations). Consistent with the model, the empirical evidence suggests that the shadow banking system does respond to money demand. An View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 09 Mar 2020
- Research & Ideas
Warring Algorithms Could Be Driving Up Consumer Prices
higher on average and variable profits increased by 9.6 percent, according to the study. The model also predicted that algorithmic competition resulted in a modest decline of .9 percent in quantity purchased over the study period. View Details
- 22 Jan 2018
- News
The First Five Years: ‘30 Under 30’ Edition
ostensibly he taught us about entrepreneurship, Professor Ghosh explored difficult and personal topics with us in his classes, such as depression and failure in the framework of being a leader. He encouraged us to share our stories and View Details
- 22 Jan 2013
- First Look
First Look: Jan. 22
a premium to accommodate expectations shocks from extrapolative traders, but markets are not efficient. Download the paper: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w18686 These Are the Good Old Days: Foreign Entry and the Mexican Banking System... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 17 May 2010
- Research & Ideas
What Brazil Teaches About Investor Protection
Moreover, you have to imagine that talent to run a corporation in Brazil between 1882 and 1930 or so was pretty scarce, so they obviously received high salaries—about 10 times higher than the annual salary of a factory worker. If you View Details
- 01 Jun 2006
- News
Profiles from the Class of 2006
extrapolating how much it was making. I’d say, ‘This bakery is making $4,000 today! Why aren’t we doing that?’ My parents were like, ‘That is ridiculous!’ ” Maybe so. But Karsenti grew up to become an irrepressible entrepreneur who loves... View Details
- 19 Dec 2006
- First Look
First Look: December 19, 2006
these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- 12 Sep 2005
- Research & Ideas
The Broadband Explosion: Thinking About a Truly Interactive World
non-obvious, second-order effects—things we can't see clearly right now. The human tendency in trying to predict what will happen in the future is to extrapolate in a straight line from today. So we imagine doing more of what we do with... View Details
- 17 Apr 2007
- First Look
First Look: April 17, 2007
demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or extrapolations to be different from the actual demand process. We do not... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 03 Mar 2017
- News
Big Blue’s Big Bet
system smart enough to ask humans questions, instead of just providing probabilistic answers. “The technology is absolutely moving in that direction,” says Kenny. “Every day. We’re extrapolating from what we know into what we don’t know.”... View Details
Keywords: Paul Kix; illustrations by Dan Page
- 12 Feb 2019
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, February 12, 2019
lead to price paths exhibiting three phases: initial underreaction, followed by overshooting (the bubble), and finally a crash. With learning from prices, the model generates price extrapolation as a byproduct of fast moving beliefs about... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- 19 Jun 2007
- First Look
First Look: June 19, 2007
using these forecast errors and past demand realizations to predict future demand (extrapolating). Categorizing deviations from optimal inventory policies is possible if we allow the perception about demand implied by the interpolations or View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 28 Apr 2015
- First Look
First Look: April 28
organization (i.e., economic, hierarchical, and power oriented) and institution (i.e., ideological, creative, and collectivist) and cohere around a set of relevant values. Extrapolating from this, we advance a theoretical framework of the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
- Web
Print View - Course Catalog
Objectives The course exists to address a gap in management scholarship between two fundamental stages of corporate development – exploration and exploitation . This model leaves out a critical phase connecting these two stages, which the course calls View Details