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    • All HBS Web  (936)
      • Faculty Publications  (85)

      Expected ReturnsRemove Expected Returns →

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      • October 2007
      • Article

      The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies?

      By: Anita Elberse
      Is the involvement of star actors critical to the success of motion pictures? Film studios, which they regularly pay multimillion-dollar fees to star actors, seem driven by that belief. I shed light on the returns on this investment using an event study that considers... View Details
      Keywords: Talent and Talent Management; Film Entertainment; Investment Return; Revenue; Compensation and Benefits; Resource Allocation; Success; Motion Pictures and Video Industry
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      Elberse, Anita. "The Power of Stars: Do Star Actors Drive the Success of Movies?" Journal of Marketing 71, no. 4 (October 2007): 102–120. (Featured in HBS Working Knowledge.)
      • September 2007
      • Case

      Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man

      By: Randolph B. Cohen
      Describes the efforts made by the Boston Red Sox to sign superstar Japanese pitcher Daisuke (Dice-K) Matsuzaka within the context of the team's attempts to keep pace with longtime rival, the New York Yankees. In late 2006, Dice-K is viewed as the prize of the free... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Sports Industry
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      Cohen, Randolph B., Michael Barry, and F. Mark D'Annolfo. "Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man." Harvard Business School Case 208-043, September 2007.
      • July 2007
      • Article

      Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage

      By: Daniel Cohen, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys and Shyam Sunder
      We examine the factors underlying the presence of earnings announcement premia. We find that the premia persist beyond the sample period examined in prior studies (ending in 1988), although they decline in magnitude after 1988. Further, premia are lower on the expected... View Details
      Keywords: Business Earnings; Announcements; Corporate Disclosure
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      Cohen, Daniel, Aiyesha Dey, Thomas Lys, and Shyam Sunder. "Earnings Announcement Premia and Limits to Arbitrage." Journal of Accounting & Economics 43, nos. 2-3 (July 2007): 153–180.
      • June 2005
      • Article

      Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows

      By: K. A. Froot and T. Ramadorai
      Keywords: Currencies; Exchange Rates; Purchasing Power Parity; Real Exchange Rate; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Asset Pricing; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., and T. Ramadorai. "Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional Investor Flows." Journal of Finance 60, no. 3 (June 2005): 1535–1566. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9101, August 2002 and Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 04-036, December 2003.)
      • September 2004
      • Article

      Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows

      By: Kenneth A. Froot and J. Tjornhom Donohue
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, Kenneth A., and J. Tjornhom Donohue. "Decomposing the Persistence of International Equity Flows." Finance Research Letters 1, no. 3 (September 2004): 154–170. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9079, July 2002, Harvard Business School Working Paper no. 03-005, July 2002.)
      • December 2002
      • Article

      The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows

      By: K. A. Froot and J. Donohue
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., and J. Donohue. "The Persistence of Emerging Market Equity Flows." Emerging Markets Review 3, no. 4 (December 2002): 338–364. (Revised from NBER Working Paper no. 9241, HBS Working Paper no. 03-035, September 2002.)
      • October 2002 (Revised May 2003)
      • Case

      Dynatrol Corporation: Andover Assembly Division

      By: H. Kent Bowen, Janice H. Hammond and Ramchandran Jaikumar
      While grappling with glitches in the design and operation of its production system, Andover Assembly must also launch a new sensor product line to meet ultimatums issued by frustrated Signatron vice presidents. The financial returns of the division are not meeting... View Details
      Keywords: Production; Product Development; Product; Performance Productivity; Problems and Challenges; Factories, Labs, and Plants; Manufacturing Industry; United States
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      Bowen, H. Kent, Janice H. Hammond, and Ramchandran Jaikumar. "Dynatrol Corporation: Andover Assembly Division." Harvard Business School Case 603-050, October 2002. (Revised May 2003.)
      • July 2002 (Revised August 2003)
      • Case

      Unilever Superannuation Fund vs. Merrill Lynch, The

      By: Andre F. Perold and Joshua Musher
      In 2001, the Unilever Superannuation Fund sued Merrill Lynch for damages of 130 million British pounds. Over the period 1977 to 1998, the Unilever Fund had significantly underperformed the benchmark, and its trustees contended that the poor returns resulted from... View Details
      Keywords: Investment; Lawsuits and Litigation; Performance Evaluation; Agreements and Arrangements; Customer Relationship Management; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Management; Risk Management; Legal Liability; Financial Services Industry; United Kingdom
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      Perold, Andre F., and Joshua Musher. "Unilever Superannuation Fund vs. Merrill Lynch, The." Harvard Business School Case 203-034, July 2002. (Revised August 2003.)
      • August 2001 (Revised April 2002)
      • Case

      Strategic Capital Management, LLC (A)

      By: Mark L. Mitchell, Erik Stafford and Todd Pulvino
      Strategic Capital Management, LLC, is a hedge fund that is planning to make financial investments in Creative Computers and Ubid. Creative Computers recently sold approximately 20% of its Internet auction subsidiary, Ubid, to the public at $15 per share. Ubid's stock... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Business Subsidiaries; Internet and the Web; Investment Funds; Price; Performance Efficiency; Capital Markets; Auctions; Investment Return; Equity; Planning; Financial Services Industry
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      Mitchell, Mark L., Erik Stafford, and Todd Pulvino. "Strategic Capital Management, LLC (A)." Harvard Business School Case 202-024, August 2001. (Revised April 2002.)
      • February 2001
      • Article

      The Portfolio Flows of International Investors

      By: K. A. Froot, P. O'Connell and M. Seasholes
      Keywords: Asset Pricing; Equity Investment; Forecasting and Prediction; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Performance Expectations; Personal Characteristics; Financial Services Industry
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      Froot, K. A., P. O'Connell, and M. Seasholes. "The Portfolio Flows of International Investors." Journal of Financial Economics 59, no. 2 (February 2001): 151–193. (Revised from NBER Working Paper No. 6687 and HBS Working No. Paper 99-006, July 1998. Summarized in the NBER Reporter, 2000. Reprinted in International Capital Markets, R. Stulz and A. Karolyi, eds. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2003.)
      • November 1999
      • Case

      Long-Term Capital Management, L.P. (A)

      By: Andre F. Perold
      Long-Term Capital Management, L.P. (LTCM) was in the business of engaging in trading strategies to exploit market pricing discrepancies. Because the firm employed strategies designed to make money over long horizons--from six months to two years or more--it adopted a... View Details
      Keywords: Fluctuation; Capital; Financial Liquidity; Financing and Loans; Investment Funds; Investment Portfolio; Corporate Governance; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Management; Risk Management; Marketing; Motivation and Incentives; Financial Services Industry
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      Perold, Andre F. "Long-Term Capital Management, L.P. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 200-007, November 1999.
      • Article

      Consumption and Portfolio Decisions When Expected Returns Are Time Varying

      By: Luis M. Viceira and John Y. Campbell
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      Viceira, Luis M., and John Y. Campbell. "Consumption and Portfolio Decisions When Expected Returns Are Time Varying." Quarterly Journal of Economics 114, no. 2 (May 1999): 433–495. (This note, "Consumption and Portfolio Decisions When Expected Returns Are Time Varying: Erratum," corrects an error in the May 1999 paper.)
      • September 1992 (Revised October 1992)
      • Case

      Acid Rain: The Southern Co. (B)

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt
      In addition to the issues of expected cost minimization elucidated in Acid Rain: The Southern Co. (A), problems involving regulatory uncertainty are critical to the firm's Clean Air Act compliance strategy. The regulatory uncertainty affects, and is affected by, the... View Details
      Keywords: Energy Generation; Business Strategy; Environmental Sustainability; Cost vs Benefits; Risk and Uncertainty; Strategic Planning; Investment Return; Government Legislation; Wastes and Waste Processing; Business and Government Relations; Utilities Industry; Energy Industry; United States
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      Reinhardt, Forest L. "Acid Rain: The Southern Co. (B)." Harvard Business School Case 793-040, September 1992. (Revised October 1992.)
      • February 1992 (Revised March 1993)
      • Case

      Intel Corp.--1992

      By: Kenneth A. Froot
      Intel Corp., the world's dominant designer and manufacturer of microprocessors (the "brains" of the personal computer), has accumulated a large amount of cash (net of debt). Furthermore, it expects to continue to accumulate cash at an unprecedented rate. Has the... View Details
      Keywords: Dividends; Financial Management; Competition; Multinational Firms and Management; Cash; Technological Innovation; Capital Structure; Investment Return; Equity; Financial Strategy; Corporate Finance; Semiconductor Industry; United States
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      Froot, Kenneth A. "Intel Corp.--1992." Harvard Business School Case 292-106, February 1992. (Revised March 1993.)
      • February 1992 (Revised April 1993)
      • Case

      Acid Rain: The Southern Co. (A)

      By: Forest L. Reinhardt
      The Southern Co., an electric utility, is planning its compliance with the 1990 amendments to the Clean Air Act. The Act established a system of tradeable permits for sulfur dioxide emissions. The company must decide whether to install pollution control equipment and... View Details
      Keywords: Energy Generation; Business Strategy; Environmental Sustainability; Cost vs Benefits; Financial Management; Strategic Planning; Investment Return; Government Legislation; Wastes and Waste Processing; Utilities Industry; Energy Industry; United States
      Citation
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      Reinhardt, Forest L. "Acid Rain: The Southern Co. (A)." Harvard Business School Case 792-060, February 1992. (Revised April 1993.)
      • 1990
      • Working Paper

      Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns

      By: K. A. Froot
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; Risk and Uncertainty; International Finance; Asset Pricing; Behavioral Finance
      Citation
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      Froot, K. A. "Short Rates and Expected Asset Returns." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 3247, May 1990.
      • 1987
      • Working Paper

      Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets

      By: K. A. Froot
      Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over... View Details
      Keywords: Risk Aversion; Risk; International Investing; International Finance; Risk and Uncertainty; Asset Pricing; Financial Markets; Investment; Behavioral Finance; Volatility
      Citation
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      Froot, K. A. "Tests of Excess Forecast Volatility in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 2362, August 1987.
      • Article

      On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Markets
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      Merton, Robert C. "On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation." Journal of Financial Economics 8, no. 4 (December 1980): 1–39.
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Equity Valuation

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      Professor Wang’s research utilizes valuation theory to explain how firm fundamentals are related to the expected rates of equity returns and their term structures. His research provides strong evidence that valuation-based proxies of expected returns outperform the... View Details

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