Expectations - Publications - Faculty & Research

May 2014
Article

Information and Two-Sided Platform Profits

By: Andrei Hagiu and Hanna Halaburda

We study the effect of different levels of information on two-sided platform profits under monopoly and competition. One side (developers) is always informed about all prices and therefore forms responsive expectations. In contrast, we allow the other side (users) to... View Details

Keywords: Responsive Expectations; Passive Expectations; Wary Expectations; Information; Performance Expectations; Two-Sided Platforms; Monopoly

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The Impact of COVID-19 on Small Business Outcomes and Expectations

By: Alexander Bartik, Marianne Bertrand, Zoë B. Cullen, Edward L. Glaeser, Michael Luca and Christopher Stanton

To explore the impact of COVID on small businesses, we conducted a survey of more than 5,800 small businesses between March 28 and April 4, 2020. Several themes emerged. First, mass layoffs and closures had already occurred—just a few weeks into the crisis. Second, the... View Details

Keywords: COVID-19; Stimulus; CARES Act; Health Pandemics; Small Business; Surveys

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24 Jun 2015
Working Paper Summaries

Accounting Data, Market Values, and the Cross Section of Expected Returns World

Keywords: by Charles C.Y. Wang; Accounting

Article

Variance-Minimizing Monetary Policies with Lagged Price Adjustment and Rational Expectations

By: Jerry R. Green and Seppo Honkapohja

This paper considers a macroeconomic model with rational expectations in which prices are incompletely flexible. Markets therefore fail to clear. In such a model monetary policy is not neutral. The variance of real and nominal quantities and interest rates is sensitive... View Details

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11 Jun 2013
Working Paper Summaries

Measurement Errors of Expected Returns Proxies and the Implied Cost of Capital

Keywords: by Charles C.Y. Wang

Article

Don't Expect Much from the R&D Tax Credit

By: Amar Bhidé

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01 Jun 2016
News

Research Brief: The High Cost of Election Expectations

IEBC than those who didn’t. Trust was even lower among those who voted for the losing coalition. Why the mismatch? Pons and his colleagues dug deep and discovered that part of the problem might have been due to the high expectations that... View Details

Keywords: Erin Peterson

10 Feb 2011
News

Fannie, Freddie Changes Not Expected To Happen Fast

20 Jun 2021
News

After the Pandemic, Expect More Work for Freelancers

06 Aug 2014
News

Boards can get better at expecting the unexpected

28 Oct 2001
What Do You Think?

What Can We Expect in the Other War?

In light of the outset of the war on terrorism, how does this affect what has been called the war for talent? A book by the same name 1 has recently characterized this as an "endless journey" to address the enduring challenge to provide winning employees... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

March–April 2013
Article

Expected Firm Altruism, Quality Provision, and Brand Extensions

By: Julio J. Rotemberg

A setting is considered where consumers keep track of the extent to which brands care about them, which is modeled as altruism of brands towards their target consumers. Consumers who purchase an experience good of high quality reasonably deduce that the supplier of... View Details

Keywords: Customers; Quality; Consumer Behavior; Attitudes; Brands and Branding

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June 1983
Article

Expectations and Reputations in Bargaining: An Experimental Study

By: A. E. Roth and F. Schoumaker

Keywords: Negotiation; Reputation

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21 Oct 2022
Research & Ideas

People Trust Business, But Expect CEOs to Drive Social Change

Public trust in business remains relatively unshaken amid economic turbulence and a lingering pandemic, even as faith in the media and government falters, but leaders could do more to address social issues, a new global opinion survey shows. However, not everyone... View Details

Keywords: by Scott Van Voorhis

23 Apr 2021
News

Expect high product prices amid pandemic, trade disruptions

Web

Measuring Sentiment & Expectations - Behavioral Finance & Financial Stability

Data Measuring Sentiment & Expectations Download Data Set in Excel Credit Market Sentiment: High Yield Share Greenwood and Hanson developed the High Yield Share as a measure of credit market sentiment . The measure takes on high values... View Details