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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(2,176)
- People (1)
- News (435)
- Research (1,500)
- Events (49)
- Multimedia (13)
- Faculty Publications (929)
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- Article
Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA's Office of National Estimates
By: J. Peter Scoblic
Would-be forecasters have increasingly extolled the predictive potential of Big Data and artificial intelligence. This essay reviews the career of Sherman Kent, the Yale historian who directed the CIA’s Office of National Estimates from 1952 to 1967, with an eye toward... View Details
Keywords: National Security; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction; History
Scoblic, J. Peter. "Beacon and Warning: Sherman Kent, Scientific Hubris, and the CIA's Office of National Estimates." Texas National Security Review 1, no. 4 (August 2018).
- Article
Distance and Political Boundaries: Estimating Border Effects under Inequality Constraints
By: Fernando Borraz, Alberto Cavallo, Roberto Rigobon and Leandro Zipitria
The border effects literature finds that political boundaries have a large impact on relative prices across locations. In this paper we show that the standard empirical specification suffers from selection bias, and propose a new methodology based on binned-quantile... View Details
Borraz, Fernando, Alberto Cavallo, Roberto Rigobon, and Leandro Zipitria. "Distance and Political Boundaries: Estimating Border Effects under Inequality Constraints." International Journal of Finance & Economics 21, no. 1 (January 2016): 3–35.
- Article
Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument
Large shareholders may play an important role for firm performance and policies, but identifying this empirically presents a challenge due to the endogeneity of ownership structures. We develop and test an empirical framework, which allows us to separate selection from... View Details
Keywords: Business and Shareholder Relations; Performance; Policy; Ownership; Selection and Staffing; Business Headquarters; Geography; Framework
Becker, Bo, Henrik Cronqvist, and Rudiger Fahlenbrach. "Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument ." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 46, no. 4 (August 2011): 907–942.
- 2023
- Working Paper
Estimating Productivity in the Presence of Spillovers: Firm-Level Evidence from the U.S. Production Network
By: Ebehi Iyoha
This paper examines the extent to which productivity gains are transmitted across U.S. firms through buyer-supplier relationships. Many empirical studies measure firm-to-firm spillovers using firm-level productivity estimates derived from control function approaches.... View Details
Iyoha, Ebehi. "Estimating Productivity in the Presence of Spillovers: Firm-Level Evidence from the U.S. Production Network." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-033, December 2023. (Winner of the Young Economists' Essay Award at the 2021 Annual Conference of the European Association for Research in Industrial Economics (EARIE))
- 2009
- Working Paper
Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument
By: Bo Becker, Henrik Cronqvist and Rudiger Fahlenbrach
Large shareholders may play an important role for firm performance and policies, but identifying this empirically presents a challenge due to the endogeneity of ownership structures. We develop and test an empirical framework which allows us to separate selection from... View Details
Keywords: Business Headquarters; Geographic Location; Corporate Governance; Governance Controls; Performance Effectiveness; Business and Shareholder Relations; Mathematical Methods
Becker, Bo, Henrik Cronqvist, and Rudiger Fahlenbrach. "Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 10-028, October 2009. (Revised February 2010.)
- 1999
- Chapter
Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model
By: Julio J. Rotemberg and Michael Woodford
Rotemberg, Julio J., and Michael Woodford. "Interest Rate Rules in an Estimated Sticky Price Model." In Monetary Policy Rules, edited by John B. Taylor. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1999.
- February 2015
- Teaching Note
Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium
By: Samuel Hanson
- October 2012 (Revised June 2015)
- Case
Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium
Hanson, Samuel, Erik Stafford, and Luis Viceira. "Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium." Harvard Business School Case 213-051, October 2012. (Revised June 2015.)
- 01 Jun 2020
- Working Paper Summaries
Spreading the Health: Americans' Estimated and Ideal Distributions of Death and Health(care)
- November 2008
- Article
Are They Really That Happy? Exploring Scale Recalibration in Estimates of Well-being
By: H. Lacey, A. Fagerlin, G. Loewenstein, D. Smith, J. Riis and P. Ubel
Keywords: Happiness
Lacey, H., A. Fagerlin, G. Loewenstein, D. Smith, J. Riis, and P. Ubel. "Are They Really That Happy? Exploring Scale Recalibration in Estimates of Well-being." Health Psychology 27, no. 6 (November 2008): 669–675.
- 2007
- Other Unpublished Work
A Strategic Model and Estimation Procedure for Lobbying on Accounting Standard Setting
By: Karthik Ramanna
- 29 Oct 2009
- Working Paper Summaries
Estimating the Effects of Large Shareholders Using a Geographic Instrument
- Article
Estimation of the Number of Components in Nonparametric Multivariate Finite Mixture Models
By: Caleb Kwon and Eric Mbakop
Kwon, Caleb, and Eric Mbakop. "Estimation of the Number of Components in Nonparametric Multivariate Finite Mixture Models." Annals of Statistics 49, no. 4 (August 2021).
- Article
Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates
By: Peter R. Joos, Joseph D. Piotroski and Suraj Srinivasan
We use a dataset of sell-side analysts' scenario-based valuation estimates to examine whether analysts reliably assess the risk surrounding a firm's fundamental value. We find that the spread in analysts' state-side contingent valuations captures the riskiness of... View Details
Keywords: Analyst Forecasts; Scenarios; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty; Valuation; Forecasting and Prediction
Joos, Peter R., Joseph D. Piotroski, and Suraj Srinivasan. "Can Analysts Assess Fundamental Risk and Valuation Uncertainty? An Empirical Analysis of Scenario-Based Value Estimates." Journal of Financial Economics 121, no. 3 (September 2016): 645–663.
- October 1994
- Article
Issues in the Estimation and Application of Latent Structure Models of Choice
By: Ulf Bockenholt, Melinda S. de Borrero, Ham Bozdogan, Wayne DeSarbo, William R. Dillon, Sunil Gupta, Wagner Kamakura, Ajith Kumar, V. Ramaswamy and Michael Zenor
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions
Bockenholt, Ulf, Melinda S. de Borrero, Ham Bozdogan, Wayne DeSarbo, William R. Dillon, Sunil Gupta, Wagner Kamakura, Ajith Kumar, V. Ramaswamy, and Michael Zenor. "Issues in the Estimation and Application of Latent Structure Models of Choice." Marketing Letters 5, no. 4 (October 1994): 323–334.
- 19 Oct 2010
- Working Paper Summaries
The Impact of Supply Learning on Customer Demand: Model and Estimation Methodology
- February 2013 (Revised January 2015)
- Supplement
Grantham, Mayo, and Van Otterloo, 2012: Estimating the Equity Risk Premium (CW)
- 2001
- Working Paper
Using a Terrorist Attack to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime
By: Rafael Di Tella and Ernesto Schargrodsky
- Article
Estimation and Identification of Merger Effects: An Application to Hospital Mergers
By: Leemore S. Dafny
Dafny, Leemore S. "Estimation and Identification of Merger Effects: An Application to Hospital Mergers." Journal of Law & Economics 52, no. 3 (August 2009): 523–550.
- Article
Best Practices in Estimating the Cost of Capital: Survey and Synthesis
By: Robert Bruner, Kenneth M. Eades, Robert S. Harris and Robert F. Higgins
This paper presents the results of a cost-of-capital survey of 27 highly regarded corporations, ten leading financial advisers, and seven best selling textbooks and trade books. The results show close alignment among all these groups on the use of common theoretical... View Details
Keywords: Cost of Capital
Bruner, Robert, Kenneth M. Eades, Robert S. Harris, and Robert F. Higgins. "Best Practices in Estimating the Cost of Capital: Survey and Synthesis." Financial Practice and Education 8, no. 1 (Spring–Summer 1998): 13–28.