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      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Biased Beliefs About Random Samples: Evidence from Two Integrated Experiments

      By: Daniel J. Benjamin, Don A. Moore and Matthew Rabin
      This paper describes results of a pair of incentivized experiments on biases in judgments about random samples. Consistent with the Law of Small Numbers (LSN), participants exaggerated the likelihood that short sequences and random subsets of coin flips would be... View Details
      Keywords: Probability; Economic Theory; Analysis; Incentives
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      Benjamin, Daniel J., Don A. Moore, and Matthew Rabin. "Biased Beliefs About Random Samples: Evidence from Two Integrated Experiments." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 23927, October 2017.
      • October 2017
      • Article

      The Size of the LGBT Population and the Magnitude of Anti-Gay Sentiment Are Substantially Underestimated

      By: Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Lucas C. Coffman and Keith M. Marzilli Ericson
      We demonstrate that widely used measures of anti-gay sentiment and the size of the LGBT population are misestimated, likely substantially. In a series of online experiments using a large and diverse but non-representative sample, we compare estimates from the standard... View Details
      Keywords: LGBTQ; Social Trends & Culture; Economic Theory; Prejudice; Prejudice and Bias; Diversity; Economics; Demographics
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      Coffman, Katherine Baldiga, Lucas C. Coffman, and Keith M. Marzilli Ericson. "The Size of the LGBT Population and the Magnitude of Anti-Gay Sentiment Are Substantially Underestimated." Management Science 63, no. 10 (October 2017): 3168–3186.
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      Voter Mobilization and Trust in Electoral Institutions: Evidence from Kenya

      By: Benjamin Marx, Vincent Pons and Tavneet Suri
      Voter mobilization campaigns face trade-offs in young democracies. In a large-scale experiment implemented in 2013 with the Kenyan Electoral Commission (IEBC), text messages intended to mobilize voters boosted participation but also decreased trust in electoral... View Details
      Keywords: Political Participation; Electoral Institutions; Field Experiment; Voting; Political Elections; Behavior; Trust; Kenya
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      Marx, Benjamin, Vincent Pons, and Tavneet Suri. "Voter Mobilization and Trust in Electoral Institutions: Evidence from Kenya." Working Paper. (Economic Journal 131, no. 638 (August 2021): 2585-2612.)
      • September 2017 (Revised December 2017)
      • Case

      Hulu: Redefining the Way People Experience TV

      By: Henry W. McGee and Christine Snively
      In May 2017, Hulu CEO Mike Hopkins announced the launch of Hulu Live TV, a new offering that would "change the way people experience TV." The new service would allow consumers to bypass traditional cable and satellite delivery and use the Internet to access live... View Details
      Keywords: Television Industry; Internet; Television Entertainment; Internet and the Web; Disruptive Innovation; Competitive Strategy; Price; Media and Broadcasting Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
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      McGee, Henry W., and Christine Snively. "Hulu: Redefining the Way People Experience TV." Harvard Business School Case 318-002, September 2017. (Revised December 2017.)
      • September 12, 2017
      • Article

      What's the Right Kind of Bonus to Motivate Your Sales Force?

      By: Doug J. Chung and Das Narayandas
      Companies typically compensate their sales force by using some combination of salary, commission, and bonuses, but executives are often unsure which incentives provide the best motivation. Should bonuses be tied to quotas or should they be given unconditionally? Is it... View Details
      Keywords: Compensation and Benefits; Motivation and Incentives; Salesforce Management
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      Chung, Doug J., and Das Narayandas. "What's the Right Kind of Bonus to Motivate Your Sales Force?" Harvard Business Review (website) (September 12, 2017).
      • September 2017 (Revised March 2023)
      • Case

      Careem: Raising a Unicorn

      By: Shikhar Ghosh and Alpana Thapar
      This case follows two ex-McKinsey consultants, Magnus Olsson and Mudassir Sheikha, who in search of their true purpose decide to found Careem, a Dubai-based ride-hailing service. Following its launch in July 2012, Careem experiences rapid growth of 30% per month in the... View Details
      Keywords: Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Information Technology; Organizational Culture; Decision Making; Growth Management; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Transportation Industry; Technology Industry; Middle East; North Africa; United Arab Emirates
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      Ghosh, Shikhar, and Alpana Thapar. "Careem: Raising a Unicorn." Harvard Business School Case 818-022, September 2017. (Revised March 2023.)
      • September 2017 (Revised January 2025)
      • Case

      Dinesh Moorjani and Hatch Labs

      By: Christopher Stanton, Shikhar Ghosh, Allison Ciechanover and Jeff Huizinga
      This case is about Tinder. It discusses different business models and ways of structuring the initial team. With a $6 million investment from IAC/Interactive in 2010, Dinesh Moorjani founded Hatch Labs to build mobile apps. His mission was to attract entrepreneurial... View Details
      Keywords: Returns; Incubator; Mobile App; Venture Capital; Entrepreneurship; Decision Choices and Conditions; Business Model; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Talent and Talent Management; Valuation; Equity; Finance; United States; North America
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      Stanton, Christopher, Shikhar Ghosh, Allison Ciechanover, and Jeff Huizinga. "Dinesh Moorjani and Hatch Labs." Harvard Business School Case 818-026, September 2017. (Revised January 2025.)
      • 2017
      • Article

      Agricultural Insurance and Economic Development

      By: Shawn A. Cole and Wentao Xiong
      This article provides a review of recent research on agricultural insurance (AI) in developing countries. Agricultural producers face a variety of significant risks; historically, only government-subsidized products have achieved widespread adoption. A recent... View Details
      Keywords: Agribusiness; Insurance; Developing Countries and Economies; Adoption; Risk Management; Research; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry
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      Cole, Shawn A., and Wentao Xiong. "Agricultural Insurance and Economic Development." Annual Review of Economics 9 (2017): 235–262.
      • September 2017
      • Article

      The Belief in a Favorable Future

      By: Todd Rogers, Don A. Moore and Michael I. Norton
      People believe that future others’ preferences and beliefs will change to align with their own. People holding a particular view (e.g., support of President Trump) are more likely to believe that future others will share their view than to believe that future others... View Details
      Keywords: Social Cognition; Judgment; Prediction; Forecasting; False Consensus; Donation; Open Data; Open Materials; Preregistered; Forecasting and Prediction; Perception; Values and Beliefs; Behavior
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      Rogers, Todd, Don A. Moore, and Michael I. Norton. "The Belief in a Favorable Future." Psychological Science 28, no. 9 (September 2017): 1290–1301.
      • September 2017
      • Article

      The Real Effects of Capital Controls: Firm-Level Evidence from a Policy Experiment

      By: Laura Alfaro, Anusha Chari and Fabio Kanczuk
      Emerging-market governments adopted capital control taxes to manage the massive surge in foreign capital inflows in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Theory suggests that the imposition of capital controls can drive up the cost of capital and curb... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Controls; Discriminatory Taxation; International Investment Barriers; Exports; Debt; Cost of Capital; Taxation; Investment; Borrowing and Debt; Equity; Brazil
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      Alfaro, Laura, Anusha Chari, and Fabio Kanczuk. "The Real Effects of Capital Controls: Firm-Level Evidence from a Policy Experiment." Journal of International Economics 108 (September 2017): 191–210. (Also see NBER Working Paper 20726. See comment in Brookings Series: The Hutchins Roundup. See also, feature in NBER Digest March 2015 issue. )
      • September–October 2017
      • Article

      The Surprising Power of Online Experiments: Getting the Most Out of A/B and Other Controlled Tests

      By: Ron Kohavi and Stefan Thomke
      In the fast-moving digital world, even experts have a hard time assessing new ideas. Case in point: At Bing, a small headline change an employee proposed was deemed a low priority and shelved for months until one engineer decided to do a quick online controlled... View Details
      Keywords: Experiments; A/B Testing; Research; Consumer Behavior
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      Kohavi, Ron, and Stefan Thomke. "The Surprising Power of Online Experiments: Getting the Most Out of A/B and Other Controlled Tests." Harvard Business Review 95, no. 5 (September–October 2017): 74–82.
      • August 2017 (Revised July 2019)
      • Case

      GROW: Using Artificial Intelligence to Screen Human Intelligence

      By: Ethan Bernstein, Paul McKinnon and Paul Yarabe
      Over 10% of all 2017 university graduates in Japan used GROW, an artificial intelligence platform and mobile app developed by Tokyo-based people analytics startup IGS, to recruit for a job. This case puts participants in the shoes of IGS founder and CEO Masahiro... View Details
      Keywords: Big Data; Artificial Intelligence; Talent and Talent Management; Recruitment; Selection and Staffing; Human Resources; Information Technology; AI and Machine Learning; Analytics and Data Science; Financial Services Industry; Air Transportation Industry; Advertising Industry; Manufacturing Industry; Technology Industry; Japan
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      Bernstein, Ethan, Paul McKinnon, and Paul Yarabe. "GROW: Using Artificial Intelligence to Screen Human Intelligence." Harvard Business School Case 418-020, August 2017. (Revised July 2019.)
      • August 2017 (Revised December 2018)
      • Case

      Tamarin App: Natural Language Processing

      By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
      In this case, students explore the challenges of using sentiment analysis to monitor and understand public perception around a software application, Tamarin SEO App. Technical topics include building a filtering classifier using naive Bayes and sentiment analysis This... View Details
      Keywords: Data Science; Branding; Data Analytics; Analytics and Data Science; Brands and Branding; Analysis; Perception; Planning
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      Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "Tamarin App: Natural Language Processing." Harvard Business School Case 118-015, August 2017. (Revised December 2018.)
      • August 2017
      • Case

      RoboTech: Storming into the U.S. Market

      By: Christopher A. Bartlett, Rachel Gordon and John J. Lafkas
      This case describes the challenges facing the CEO of a small, Singapore-based industrial robotics company that decides to diversify away from its core industrial robot business by leveraging its expertise into the medical-devices industry. It launches an innovative... View Details
      Keywords: Market Entry and Exit; Diversification; Product Launch; Competitive Strategy; Globalized Firms and Management; Medical Devices and Supplies Industry; Technology Industry; Singapore; United States
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      Bartlett, Christopher A., Rachel Gordon, and John J. Lafkas. "RoboTech: Storming into the U.S. Market." Harvard Business School Brief Case 918-501, August 2017.
      • 2017
      • Working Paper

      The Effects of Media Slant on Firm Behavior

      By: Vishal P. Baloria and Jonas Heese
      The media can impose reputational costs on firms because of its important role as an information intermediary and its ability to negatively slant coverage. We exploit a quasi-natural experiment that holds constant the information event across firms, but varies the... View Details
      Keywords: Media Slant; Reputational Capital; Strategic Corporate Decisions
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      Baloria, Vishal P., and Jonas Heese. "The Effects of Media Slant on Firm Behavior." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-015, August 2017.
      • August 2017 (Revised August 2018)
      • Case

      Busbud: Building a Data Company

      By: Srikant M. Datar, Alistair Croll and Caitlin N. Bowler
      The case features the work of LP Maurice (HBS '08) as he decides to take on the fragmented bus travel industry and launch an online business that aggregates and shares bus schedules for routes around the world. His first challenge: finding that the data he needs is... View Details
      Keywords: Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Business Startups; Knowledge Acquisition; Customers; Measurement and Metrics; Transportation Industry
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      Datar, Srikant M., Alistair Croll, and Caitlin N. Bowler. "Busbud: Building a Data Company." Harvard Business School Case 118-011, August 2017. (Revised August 2018.)
      • August 8, 2017
      • Article

      Buying Time Promotes Happiness

      By: A.V. Whillans, Elizabeth W. Dunn, Paul Smeets, Rene Bekkers and Michael I. Norton
      Around the world, increases in wealth have produced an unintended consequence: a rising sense of time scarcity. We provide evidence that using money to buy time can provide a buffer against this time famine, thereby promoting happiness. Using large, diverse samples... View Details
      Keywords: Time; Money Funds; Well-being; Money; Happiness; Satisfaction
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      Whillans, A.V., Elizabeth W. Dunn, Paul Smeets, Rene Bekkers, and Michael I. Norton. "Buying Time Promotes Happiness." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, no. 32 (August 8, 2017): 8523–8527.
      • August 2017 (Revised July 2018)
      • Case

      MannKind Corporation: Take a Deep Breath, This Time Afrezza Will Work

      By: Elie Ofek and Amanda Dai
      In June 2014, MannKind Corporation announced that after years of development and billions of dollars in expenses, the FDA had finally approved its drug, Afrezza. MannKind would thus be the only company with an inhalable insulin on the market. As an alternative to... View Details
      Keywords: Health Care and Treatment; Product Launch; Product Positioning; Marketing Strategy; Adoption; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Ofek, Elie, and Amanda Dai. "MannKind Corporation: Take a Deep Breath, This Time Afrezza Will Work." Harvard Business School Case 518-031, August 2017. (Revised July 2018.)
      • August 2017 (Revised August 2018)
      • Case

      The Oakland Athletics: Strategy & Metrics for a Budget

      By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
      This case considers Oakland Athletics General Manager Billy Beane’s data driven and, in baseball circles unconventional, approach to winning games over the duration of the long Major League Baseball season. Beane’s critical approach to crafting strategy within his... View Details
      Keywords: Data Analysis; Metrics; Data Science; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Measurement and Metrics; Competitive Strategy; Organizational Culture; Sports Industry
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      Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "The Oakland Athletics: Strategy & Metrics for a Budget." Harvard Business School Case 118-010, August 2017. (Revised August 2018.)
      • August 2017
      • Supplement

      CareMore Health System (B)

      By: Robert S. Huckman and Brian W. Powers
      This supplement to “CareMore Health System (A)” discusses the company's early experience introducing its managed Medicaid model in the Des Moines, Iowa, market. It also provides an update on the Memphis program discussed in the (A) case. View Details
      Keywords: Health Care Delivery; Health Insurance; Medicare; Medicaid; Managed Care; Extensivist; Social Determinants Of Health; Health Care and Treatment; Insurance; Business Model; Growth and Development Strategy; Health Industry; United States
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      Huckman, Robert S., and Brian W. Powers. "CareMore Health System (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 618-009, August 2017.
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