probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

04 Dec 2006
Research & Ideas

The Money Connection—Understanding VC Networks

"To put it in social terms, you probably know a lot of people who know one another. For many of us, most of our time is spent within small clusters of people—at the office, in our neighborhoods. But you also have connections to... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna; Financial Services

07 Oct 2024
Research & Ideas

Election 2024: Why Demographics Won't Predict the Next President

would be better off flipping a coin to determine a probable winner. “We find that even guessing at a 50-50 level is just as good, if not actually better, than using some demographic forecasts,” says Vincent Pons, the Byron Wien Professor... View Details

Keywords: by Jay Fitzgerald

17 Jan 2007
Op-Ed

Learning from Private-Equity Boards

today? The answer is yes and no. The no (or probably not) answer reflects the likelihood that executives of private-equity firms do not, on average, possess any more ethical discipline than leaders of public companies. Maintaining ethical... View Details

Keywords: by Malcolm Salter; Financial Services

03 Dec 2001
What Do You Think?

What Happens When the Sumo Master Learns Judo?

the Government) really care whether it could enhance its chances in the post desktop world? Do today's information technology industries really require a different approach to government regulation? What do you think? Original Article It's View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

18 Nov 2021
Op-Ed

5 Principles for Scaling Change from IBM’s High School Innovation

individual students. Oscar Tendilla was a young man, a Mexican immigrant, who gets admitted into P-TECH. His family is under severe financial circumstances, and he's significantly behind in grade eight. He believes he probably won't be... View Details

Keywords: by Kristen Senz

12 Mar 2019
First Look

New Research and Ideas, March 12, 2019

place diminishes wait satisfaction while increasing the probabilities of switching and abandoning queues, with detrimental implications for service capacity. The research suggests that last place aversion can lead to maladaptive customer... View Details

Keywords: Dina Gerdeman

25 Feb 2014
First Look

First Look: February 25

recent firm performance? Purchase this case: http://hbr.org/product/say-on-pay-qualcomm-inc-shareholders-vote-maybe-in-2012/an/114005-PDF-ENG Harvard Business School Case 213-047 Aqua Bounty Valuation of a pre-revenue biotech company at IPO using View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

05 Oct 2009
Research & Ideas

The Vanguard Corporation

as well as something with enormous social value because a lot of food goes to waste. Q: Can you give us other examples of how this works in practice? A: In Brazil, Banco Real has grown in 10 years from a small behind-the-pack bank to the second largest and View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

26 Feb 2007
Research & Ideas

The Power of the Noncompete Clause

everyone is affected identically by noncompetes. Our research shows that those with specialized skills (such as speech recognition engineering) are impacted more than those with more generally applicable skills. For instance, C++ programmers can View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

09 Jan 2006
Research & Ideas

Rebuilding Commercial Real Estate

until recently. "Over the past 24 months, cap rates have dropped probably 200 to 300 basis points," says Furber. "That's a monster change and somewhat unprecedented." Up for debate is whether the structural changes of... View Details

Keywords: by Roger Thompson; Construction; Real Estate

10 Jan 2005
Research & Ideas

How to Put Meaning Back into Leading

reasons why the leadership literature has been recast so that it is solely focused on economic performance, but we believe probably the most important thing is that the obsession with shareholder value beginning in the 1980s led... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace

23 Aug 2004
Research & Ideas

New Challenges for Long-Term Investors

long-term economic growth and inflation. The Fed can affect long-term rates only to the extent that it can influence those expectations. Long-term conservative investors should not probably be in the business of speculating on the... View Details

Keywords: by Ann Cullen

01 Dec 2011
What Do You Think?

Thinking Slow: An Argument for Bureaucracy?

decision. Good leaders know when to think slow. All of us need mechanisms for helping us to know. Some elements of bureaucracy can be included among the devices. But, as Ganesh Ramakrishnan said, " we probably (need) to enrich the... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett

18 May 2009
Research & Ideas

The Unseen Link Between Savings and National Growth

expending is the best way to foster aggregate demand. Q: Given that there are more challenges for entrepreneurs in developing countries, what can they learn from your research to help them seek funding and support for their businesses? A: I think they View Details

Keywords: by Sarah Jane Gilbert

08 May 2006
Research & Ideas

The Cost of Cutting in Line

individuals rejected my request, most of them appeared upset, some angry, a few outright hostile, suggesting that it was probably not safe to continue the experiment. The data clearly show that you are more likely to be able to jump the... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

18 Sep 2000
Research & Ideas

Big Deals: Financing Large-Scale Investments

Pick up most business magazines these days and you'll probably find an article on some venture capital transaction involving millions of dollars. From HBS Associate Professor Benjamin Esty's perspective, however, these deals are small... View Details

Keywords: by Julia Hanna

16 Nov 1999
Lessons from the Classroom

Leading Change and Organizational Renewal

would probably have been mini-computers. Today, their response would be printers and personal computers. An HP spin-off, Agilent is actually in HP's original business space. Ask what business they think the company will be in ten years... View Details

Keywords: by Staff

04 May 2020
Research & Ideas

Predictions, Prophets, and Restarting Your Business

headlines from market-driven data and options. When much of the world economy is shut for weeks and possibly months, cascading bankruptcies and higher debt loads probably mean a tightening of purchasing decisions and capital expenditures... View Details

Keywords: by Frank V. Cespedes

03 Apr 2017
What Do You Think?

How About Investing in Human Infrastructure?

institutions seem to get far behind because they identify a need, then take a lot of time to develop curricula, find teachers, etc.” Aim was even more blunt, saying, “By the end of the year most probably skills acquired will be obsolete.”... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Construction

25 Aug 2015
First Look

First Look Tuesday

stability benefits. Subordinated capital provides MMFs with loss absorption capacity, lowering the probability that an MMF suffers losses large enough to trigger a run and reduces incentives to take excessive risks. Other reform... View Details

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