Publications

Publications

Filter Results: (1,275) Arrow Down
Filter Results: (1,275) Arrow Down Arrow Up

Show Results For

Show Results For

← Page 38 of 1,275 Results →
  • Web

Introduction - Option Pricing in Theory & Practice: The Nobel Prize Research of Robert C. Merton - Exhibits - Historical Collections

the trading floor. The model offers a methodology to predict the seemingly unpredictable by using the lessons of complex mathematics and probability theory to forecast stock valuations, making it possible to successfully manage risk in... View Details
  • Article

The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential

By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation
Related
  • 01 Jan 1977
  • Conference Presentation

Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data

By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Research; Business and Government Relations; Energy Industry
Related
  • 1989
  • Chapter

The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry

By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
Related
  • July 2005
  • Case

Freemark Abbey Winery (Abridged)

Freemark Abbey must decide whether to harvest in view of the possibility of rain. Rain could damage the crop but delaying the harvest would be risky. On the other hand, rain could be beneficial and greatly increase the value of the resulting wine. This decision is... View Details
Keywords: Plant-Based Agribusiness; Forecasting and Prediction; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Related
  • 01 Dec 1999
  • News

Water, Water Everywhere

course, weather patterns. How those factors played out, she recalled, "determined whether we got to buy our clothes or make our clothes that year." Mark noted that she never expected to find herself again in a business where the bottom line can rise and fall with the... View Details
  • 22 Aug 2006
  • First Look

First Look: August 22, 2006

countries I study, French civil law countries had, on average, stronger creditor rights that common law countries. Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts Authors:Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson Periodical:Foresight:... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 24 Jan 2012
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 24

Abstract We examine the effect of mandatory International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adoption on firms' information environment. We find that after mandatory IFRS adoption, consensus forecast errors decrease for firms that... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 Mar 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 27, 2018

sell-side analysts employed at state-owned brokerages issued relatively optimistic earnings forecasts and stock recommendations during these periods. This relative optimism is particularly pronounced in earnings View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 27 May 2014
  • First Look

First Look: May 27

forecasts of holding period returns strongly predict the cross section of future returns up to three years ahead. We document a highly significant predictive pooled regression slope for future quarterly returns of 0.86, whereas the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 5, 2008

No abstract is available at this time. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-057.pdf Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning Authors:Rogelio... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • Web

Supply Chain Management - Course Catalog

a context of rapid product proliferation, short product life cycles, and global networks of suppliers and customers. Hence, topics not examined in RC TOM such as inventory management, distribution economics, and demand forecasting are... View Details
  • August 2016
  • Article

The Role of (Dis)similarity in (Mis)predicting Others' Preferences

By: Kate Barasz, Tami Kim and Leslie K. John
Consumers readily indicate liking options that appear dissimilar—for example, enjoying both rustic lake vacations and chic city vacations or liking both scholarly documentary films and action-packed thrillers. However, when predicting other consumers’ tastes for the... View Details
Keywords: Perceived Similarity; Prediction Error; Preference Prediction; Self-other Difference; Social Inference; Cognition and Thinking; Perception; Forecasting and Prediction
Related
  • December 2021
  • Article

Entrepreneurial Learning and Strategic Foresight

By: Aticus Peterson and Andy Wu
We study how learning by experience across projects affects an entrepreneur's strategic foresight. In a quantitative study of 314 entrepreneurs across 722 crowdfunded projects supplemented with a program of qualitative interviews, we counterintuitively find that... View Details
Keywords: Crowdfunding; Experience; Prediction; Timeline; Complexity; Entrepreneurship; Learning; Experience and Expertise; Forecasting and Prediction
Related
  • June 2012
  • Article

Consequence-Cause Matching: Looking to the Consequences of Events to Infer Their Causes

By: Robyn A. LeBoeuf and Michael I. Norton
We show that people non-normatively infer event causes from event consequences. For example, people inferred that a product failure (computer crash) had a large cause (widespread computer virus) if it had a large consequence (job loss), but that the identical failure... View Details
Keywords: Causal Inference; Product; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives; Failure
Related
  • April 2010
  • Teaching Note

Four Products (2008): Predicting Diffusion (TN)

By: John T. Gourville
Teaching Note for 508103. View Details
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Marketing; Innovation and Invention; Demand and Consumers
Related
  • Web

Frank Batten | Baker Library

that many people purchased newspapers primarily to read the weather forecast for the day—a fact that had major relevance for his future. In 1979, the family company expanded into cable, buying the first in a series of cable operations. In... View Details
  • 25 Apr 2014
  • News

Tapping into more effective water technologies

demand for fresh and pure water is forecast to exceed supply by 40 percent. "Few businesses are prepared for water scarcity and its impact upon operations and their supply chains," says Shenkar, adding that a small group of leaders is... View Details
  • 09 Dec 2015
  • Research Event

How Do You Predict Demand and Set Prices For Products Never Sold Before?

predictive and prescriptive analytics can be combined to develop a tactical decision-making tool that makes a big impact on the bottom line. For details about the research and the successful machine learning tool, see the paper “Analytics for an Online Retailer: Demand... View Details
Keywords: by Carmen Nobel; Retail; Apparel & Accessories
  • Web

Corporate Finance: Corporate Financial Operations (CFO) - Course Catalog

Measuring and Driving Performance Forecasting Managing Cash and Source of Funding Managing Risk Managing Investment, Divestitures, and Portfolios of Businesses Nearly all class sessions will be case based. We will have numerous guests... View Details