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Publications

Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (1,272)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,049)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (799)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (1,272)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,049)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (799)
← Page 38 of 1,272 Results →
  • Article

The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis

By: S. N. Kaplan and R. S. Ruback
Keywords: Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Theory
Citation
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Kaplan, S. N., and R. S. Ruback. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis." Journal of Finance 50, no. 4 (September 1995).
  • Web

Business Analysis and Valuation Using Financial Statements - Course Catalog

accounting distortions. Performance analysis and valuation: assessing current performance and its future sustainability; making forecasts of future profitability and risk; and valuing businesses using earnings and book value data. The... View Details
  • 01 Apr 1998
  • News

Short Takes

Be Flexible In today's competitive and volatile business environment, depending on forecasting as the basis for planning and strategy has become a particularly risky way to operate. Especially vulnerable are manufacturing projects that... View Details
Keywords: Garry Emmons and Caroline Chauncey
  • 22 Dec 2022
  • Blog Post

Climate Stories Episode #13: Democratizing Climate Returns - Nisha Desai (HBS 1997), Founder and CEO of Invest With Intention

supporting the growth of climate investing is stacking up: On December 5th, the International Energy Agency revised its renewable power forecast markedly. The agency now sees renewables surpassing coal as the largest source of global... View Details
  • Web

Fabrizio Serafini | MBA

efficiency and improve output through technological advancements was a revelation. Later, as an analyst in the energy commodities industry, I delved into the world of predictive modeling. This experience taught me the importance of utilizing technological tools to... View Details
  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Supplement

LendingClub (C): Gradient Boosting & Payoff Matrix

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case builds directly on the LendingClub (A) and (B) cases. In this case students follow Emily Figel as she builds an even more sophisticated model using the gradient boosted tree method to predict, with some probability, whether a borrower would repay or default... View Details
Keywords: Data Analytics; Data Science; Investment; Financing and Loans; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction
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Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "LendingClub (C): Gradient Boosting & Payoff Matrix." Harvard Business School Supplement 119-022, August 2018. (Revised September 2018.)
  • August 2018 (Revised September 2018)
  • Supplement

LendingClub (B): Decision Trees & Random Forests

By: Srikant M. Datar and Caitlin N. Bowler
This case builds directly on the LendingClub (A) case. In this case students follow Emily Figel as she builds two tree-based models using historical LendingClub data to predict, with some probability, whether borrower will repay or default on his loan.
... View Details
Keywords: Data Science; Data Analytics; Decision Trees; Investment; Financing and Loans; Analytics and Data Science; Analysis; Forecasting and Prediction
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Datar, Srikant M., and Caitlin N. Bowler. "LendingClub (B): Decision Trees & Random Forests." Harvard Business School Supplement 119-021, August 2018. (Revised September 2018.)
  • 2008
  • Book

Predictable Surprises

By: Max Bazerman and Michael D. Watkins
Most events that catch us by surprise are both predictable and preventable, but we consistently miss (or ignore) the warning signs. This book shows why such "predictable surprises" put us all at risk, and shows how we can understand, anticipate, and prevent them before... View Details
Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Forecasting and Prediction; Leadership; Risk and Uncertainty; Behavior
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Bazerman, Max, and Michael D. Watkins. Predictable Surprises. Paperback ed. Harvard Business School Press, 2008.
  • 08 Jun 2009
  • Research & Ideas

The Return of the Salesman

in an economy like this, such as car dealerships, for instance, which have closed across the country. And, of course, customers are likely to negotiate for better terms. Q: What are you working on now? A: I'm writing a history of the beginnings of the economic View Details
Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Retail
  • 2017
  • Working Paper

Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers

By: Elisabeth Kempf, Alberto Manconi and Oliver Spalt
Learning by doing matters for professional investors. We develop a new methodology to show that mutual fund managers outperform in industries where they have obtained experience on the job. The key to our identification strategy is that we look "inside" funds and... View Details
Keywords: Fund Managers; Experience and Expertise; Performance; Forecasting and Prediction
Citation
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Kempf, Elisabeth, Alberto Manconi, and Oliver Spalt. "Learning by Doing: The Value of Experience and the Origins of Skill for Mutual Fund Managers." SSRN Working Paper Series, No. 2124896, May 2017.
  • 01 Dec 2020
  • What Do You Think?

How Can We Get Companies to Invest More in Low-Wage Workers?

inequality in job training. And yet the latter may account for much of the former. The MIT study forecasts a continuing mismatch between skills needed on the job and training opportunities for those who could provide them. Don’t overlook... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 07 Jun 2019
  • Working Paper Summaries

Reflexivity in Credit Markets

Keywords: by Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin
  • 23 Sep 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

Nowcasting the Local Economy: Using Yelp Data to Measure Economic Activity at Scale

Keywords: by Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca
  • 20 Mar 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

Bubbles for Fama

Keywords: by Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You
  • September 2007
  • Case

Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man

By: Randolph B. Cohen
Describes the efforts made by the Boston Red Sox to sign superstar Japanese pitcher Daisuke (Dice-K) Matsuzaka within the context of the team's attempts to keep pace with longtime rival, the New York Yankees. In late 2006, Dice-K is viewed as the prize of the free... View Details
Keywords: Negotiation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Sports Industry
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Cohen, Randolph B., Michael Barry, and F. Mark D'Annolfo. "Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man." Harvard Business School Case 208-043, September 2007.
  • January 2007 (Revised April 2008)
  • Case

The Case of the Unidentified Industries - 2006

By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
Helps students to understand how the characteristics of a business are reflected in its financial statements. View Details
Keywords: Financial Statements; Business Ventures; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Management
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Fruhan, William E., Jr. "The Case of the Unidentified Industries - 2006." Harvard Business School Case 207-096, January 2007. (Revised April 2008.)
  • 17 Apr 2007
  • First Look

First Look: April 17, 2007

of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting with Auto-regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) time series models... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Mar 2012
  • News

Social Investing Pioneers

rising to a maximum of 13.3 percent, but only if the reoffending rate is reduced by at least 7.5 percent. Even at the highest rate, the government is forecast to pay out only about a third of its cost savings. Fifteen months into the... View Details
Keywords: Roger Thompson; Funds, Trusts, and Other Financial Vehicles; Finance; Social Assistance; Health, Social Assistance
  • February 1994 (Revised May 1995)
  • Case

Metallgesellschaft AG

By: David F. Hawkins and Guy J. Weyns
Metallgesellschaft AG is a commodity and engineering conglomerate based in Frankfurt am Main, Germany. Metallgesellschaft Corp., a New York based subsidiary of the group, has made oil trading and hedging errors that could drive the group into insolvency. The impact of... View Details
Keywords: Accounting Audits; Business Conglomerates; Forecasting and Prediction; Trade; Non-Renewable Energy
Citation
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Hawkins, David F., and Guy J. Weyns. "Metallgesellschaft AG." Harvard Business School Case 194-097, February 1994. (Revised May 1995.)
  • Article

Valuation Waves and Merger Activity: The Empirical Evidence

By: Matthew Rhodes-Kropf, David Robinson and S. Viswanathan
To test recent theories suggesting that valuation errors affect merger activity, we develop a decomposition that breaks the market-to-book ratio (M/B) into three components: the firm-specific pricing deviation from short-run industry pricing; sector-wide, short-run... View Details
Keywords: Valuation; Mergers and Acquisitions; Forecasting and Prediction; Price; Theory; Behavior
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Rhodes-Kropf, Matthew, David Robinson, and S. Viswanathan. "Valuation Waves and Merger Activity: The Empirical Evidence." Journal of Financial Economics 77, no. 3 (September 2005): 561–603.
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