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      • 2025
      • Working Paper

      Government-Brokerage Analysts and Market Stabilization: Evidence from China

      By: Sheng Cao, Xianjie He, Charles C.Y. Wang and Huifang Yin
      We show analysts at government-controlled brokerage firms serve as a market stabilization tool in China. Using earnings forecasts from 2005–2019, we find government-brokerage analysts issue relatively more optimistic—yet less accurate and timely—forecasts during... View Details
      Keywords: Sell-side Analysts; Forecast Optimism; Forecast Accuracy; Government Incentives; Market Stabilization; Government Ownership; Coordinated Economies; Stocks; Forecasting and Prediction; Business and Government Relations; Emerging Markets
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      Cao, Sheng, Xianjie He, Charles C.Y. Wang, and Huifang Yin. "Government-Brokerage Analysts and Market Stabilization: Evidence from China." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 18-095, March 2018. (Revised March 2025.)
      • March 2018
      • Case

      GiveDirectly

      By: John Beshears, Joshua Schwartzstein, Tiffany Y. Chang and Brian J. Hall
      How should nonprofits design compensation systems to attract and retain talent? GiveDirectly is a respected charitable organization with an unconventional approach. Instead of spending on traditional aid programs in areas such as health care and food access in... View Details
      Keywords: Nonprofits; Charity; Effective Altruism; International Aid; Compensation; Goals; Bonuses; Incentives; GiveDirectly; Compensation and Benefits; Motivation and Incentives; Goals and Objectives; Recruitment; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving
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      Beshears, John, Joshua Schwartzstein, Tiffany Y. Chang, and Brian J. Hall. "GiveDirectly." Harvard Business School Case 918-036, March 2018.
      • 2018
      • Chapter

      Britain: Global Legacy and Domestic Persistence

      By: Geoffrey Jones
      This chapter explores the British experience in a volume which examines the historical evolution of business groups in developed Western economies. The chapter argues that during the nineteenth century British merchant houses established business groups with... View Details
      Keywords: Business Groups; Conglomerates; Globalization; Entrepreneurship; Business History; Organizations; Business Conglomerates; United Kingdom
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      Jones, Geoffrey. "Britain: Global Legacy and Domestic Persistence." Chap. 5 in Business Groups in the West: Origins, Evolution, and Resilience, edited by Asli M. Colpan and Takashi Hikino, 123–146. New York: Oxford University Press, 2018.
      • 2018
      • Chapter

      How Geography Shapes—and Is Shaped by—the Internet

      By: Shane Greenstein, Avi Goldfarb and Chris Forman
      Book Abstract: The first 15 years of the 21st century have thrown into sharp relief the challenges of growth, equity, stability, and sustainability facing the world economy. In addition, they have exposed the inadequacies of mainstream economics in providing answers to... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Geographic Location; Internet
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      Greenstein, Shane, Avi Goldfarb, and Chris Forman. "How Geography Shapes—and Is Shaped by—the Internet." In The New Oxford Handbook of Economic Geography, edited by Gordon Clark, Maryann Feldman, Meric Gertler, and Dariusz Wojcik, 269–285. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2018.
      • February 2018
      • Teaching Plan

      Hulu: Redefining the Way People Experience TV

      By: Henry W. McGee and Christine Snively
      Teaching Plan for HBS No. 318-002. View Details
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      McGee, Henry W., and Christine Snively. "Hulu: Redefining the Way People Experience TV." Harvard Business School Teaching Plan 318-074, February 2018.
      • February 2018
      • Article

      Laboratory Evidence on the Effects of Sponsorship on the Competitive Preferences of Men and Women

      By: Nancy R. Baldiga and Katherine Baldiga Coffman
      Sponsorship programs have been proposed as one way to promote female advancement in competitive career fields. A sponsor is someone who advocates for a protégé, and in doing so, takes a stake in her success. We use a laboratory experiment to explore two channels... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Behavior And Behavioral Decision Making; Laboratory Experiment; Competition; Organizations; Gender; Behavior
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      Baldiga, Nancy R., and Katherine Baldiga Coffman. "Laboratory Evidence on the Effects of Sponsorship on the Competitive Preferences of Men and Women." Management Science 64, no. 2 (February 2018): 888–901.
      • 2018
      • Article

      Overcoming Barriers to Time-Saving: Reminders of Future Busyness Encourage Consumers to Buy Time

      By: A. V. Whillans, Elizabeth W. Dunn and Michael I. Norton
      Spending money on time-saving purchases improves happiness. Yet, people often fail to spend their money in this way. Because most people believe that the future will be less busy than the present, they may underweight the value of these purchases. We examine the impact... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Choice; Sharing Economy; Opportunity Cost; Time-as Money; Well-being; Time Management; Happiness; Perception; Behavior
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      Whillans, A. V., Elizabeth W. Dunn, and Michael I. Norton. "Overcoming Barriers to Time-Saving: Reminders of Future Busyness Encourage Consumers to Buy Time." Social Influence 13, no. 2 (2018): 117–124.
      • February 2018
      • Article

      Retention Futility: Targeting High-Risk Customers Might Be Ineffective.

      By: Eva Ascarza
      Companies in a variety of sectors are increasingly managing customer churn proactively, generally by detecting customers at the highest risk of churning and targeting retention efforts towards them. While there is a vast literature on developing churn prediction models... View Details
      Keywords: Retention/churn; Proactive Churn Management; Field Experiments; Heterogeneous Treatment Effect; Machine Learning; Customer Relationship Management; Risk Management
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      Ascarza, Eva. "Retention Futility: Targeting High-Risk Customers Might Be Ineffective." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 55, no. 1 (February 2018): 80–98.
      • Article

      The Economic Consequences of Hospital Admissions

      By: Carlos Dobkin, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender and Matthew Notowidigdo
      We use an event study approach to examine the economic consequences of hospital admissions for adults in two datasets: survey data from the Health and Retirement Study, and hospitalization data linked to credit reports. For non-elderly adults with health insurance,... View Details
      Keywords: Personal Finance; Borrowing and Debt; Insurance; Insolvency and Bankruptcy; Health Care and Treatment
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      Dobkin, Carlos, Amy Finkelstein, Raymond Kluender, and Matthew Notowidigdo. "The Economic Consequences of Hospital Admissions." American Economic Review 108, no. 2 (February 2018): 308–352.
      • January 2018 (Revised May 2018)
      • Case

      Transformation at ING (A): Agile

      By: William R. Kerr, Federica Gabrieli and Emer Moloney
      In December 2017, Vincent van den Boogert, CEO of ING in the Netherlands, was reflecting upon the company’s “agile” transformation, a reorganization of work that had been critical to respond to and exceed rapidly changing customer expectations. Launched in 2015 at the... View Details
      Keywords: Organizational Change; Organizational Management; Workforce; Agile; Change Management; Leadership; Transformation; Organizational Change and Adaptation; Organizational Structure; Leading Change; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Banking Industry
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      Kerr, William R., Federica Gabrieli, and Emer Moloney. "Transformation at ING (A): Agile." Harvard Business School Case 818-077, January 2018. (Revised May 2018.)
      • January 2018
      • Case

      Kids & Company: Entering the U.S.

      By: Boris Groysberg, Matthew G. Preble and Katherine Connolly Baden
      In April 2017, Victoria Sopik and Jennifer Nashmi, CEO and CFO (respectively) of Kids & Company, a Canadian childcare provider that they had co-founded in the early 2000s and developed into a nearly 100-unit enterprise, are discussing how the company should proceed... View Details
      Keywords: Child Care; Childcare; Day Care; Daycare; Early Childhood Education; Strategy; Growth and Development Strategy; Growth Management; Business Strategy; Competitive Strategy; Competitive Advantage; Expansion; Leadership; Marketing; Product Marketing; Brands and Branding; Service Delivery; Service Operations; Product Design; Product Development; Cross-Cultural and Cross-Border Issues; Selection and Staffing; Customer Focus and Relationships; Entrepreneurship; Service Industry; Education Industry; United States; Canada
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      Groysberg, Boris, Matthew G. Preble, and Katherine Connolly Baden. "Kids & Company: Entering the U.S." Harvard Business School Case 418-011, January 2018.
      • Article

      Brand (In)fidelity: When Flirting with the Competition Strengthens Brand Relationships

      By: Irene Consiglio, Daniella Kupor, Francesca Gino and Michael I. Norton
      We document the existence and consequences of brand flirting: a short-lived experience in which a consumer engages with and/or indulges in the alluring qualities of a brand without committing to it. We propose that brand flirting is exciting and that when consumers... View Details
      Keywords: Consumer Behavior; Brands and Branding; Emotions
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      Consiglio, Irene, Daniella Kupor, Francesca Gino, and Michael I. Norton. "Brand (In)fidelity: When Flirting with the Competition Strengthens Brand Relationships." Journal of Consumer Psychology 28, no. 1 (January 2018): 5–22.
      • 2023
      • Working Paper

      Efficient Discovery of Heterogeneous Quantile Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments via Anomalous Pattern Detection

      By: Edward McFowland III, Sriram Somanchi and Daniel B. Neill
      In the recent literature on estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, each proposed method makes its own set of restrictive assumptions about the intervention’s effects and which subpopulations to explicitly estimate. Moreover, the majority of the literature provides... View Details
      Keywords: Causal Inference; Program Evaluation; Algorithms; Distributional Average Treatment Effect; Treatment Effect Subset Scan; Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
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      McFowland III, Edward, Sriram Somanchi, and Daniel B. Neill. "Efficient Discovery of Heterogeneous Quantile Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments via Anomalous Pattern Detection." Working Paper, 2023.
      • January–February 2018
      • Article

      Inclusive Growth: Profitable Strategies for Tackling Poverty and Inequality

      By: Robert S. Kaplan, George Serafeim and Eduardo Tugendhat
      More than a billion people in the developing world remain in extreme poverty and outside the formal economy. Traditional CSR programs have done little to alleviate the situation and rarely produce transformative change.
      Instead of trying to fix local problems,... View Details
      Keywords: Inclusive Growth; Sustainability; Social Impact; Business Strategy; Shared Value; Impact Investing; Inequality; Corporate Governance; Balanced Scorecard; Strategy Execution; Economic Growth; Developing Countries and Economies; Poverty; Equality and Inequality; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Strategy; Investment
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      Kaplan, Robert S., George Serafeim, and Eduardo Tugendhat. "Inclusive Growth: Profitable Strategies for Tackling Poverty and Inequality." Harvard Business Review 96, no. 1 (January–February 2018): 127–133.
      • Article

      Mitigating Bias in Adaptive Data Gathering via Differential Privacy

      By: Seth Neel and Aaron Leon Roth
      Data that is gathered adaptively—via bandit algorithms, for example—exhibits bias. This is true both when gathering simple numeric valued data—the empirical means kept track of by stochastic bandit algorithms are biased downwards—and when gathering more complicated... View Details
      Keywords: Bandit Algorithms; Bias; Analytics and Data Science; Mathematical Methods; Theory
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      Neel, Seth, and Aaron Leon Roth. "Mitigating Bias in Adaptive Data Gathering via Differential Privacy." Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 35th (2018).
      • Article

      TDABC Cost Analysis of Ocular Disorders in an Ophthalmology Emergency Department versus Urgent Care: Clinical Experience at Massachusetts Eye and Ear

      By: Robert S. Kaplan, Jonathan Chou, Mahek Shah, Amy Watts, Matthew Gardiner, Joan Miller and John I. Lowenstein
      Purpose  To perform a cost analysis comparison for managing common ocular disorders in an eye emergency department (ED) versus an urgent care setting using a time-driven activity-based cost model (TDABC) to assist physicians and staff in appropriate allocation of... View Details
      Keywords: Time-driven Activity-based Cost Model; Emergency Room; Urgent Care Clinic; Cost; Analysis; Activity Based Costing and Management; Health Care and Treatment
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      Kaplan, Robert S., Jonathan Chou, Mahek Shah, Amy Watts, Matthew Gardiner, Joan Miller, and John I. Lowenstein. "TDABC Cost Analysis of Ocular Disorders in an Ophthalmology Emergency Department versus Urgent Care: Clinical Experience at Massachusetts Eye and Ear." Journal of Academic Ophthalmology 10 (2018).
      • 2018
      • Chapter

      Time, Money, and Subjective Wellbeing

      By: Cassie Mogilner, A.V. Whillans and Michael I. Norton
      Time and money are scarce and precious resources: people experience stress about having insufficient time and worry about having insufficient money. This chapter reviews research showing that the ways in which people spend their time and money, the tradeoffs that... View Details
      Keywords: Money; Time Management; Happiness; Satisfaction
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      Mogilner, Cassie, A.V. Whillans, and Michael I. Norton. "Time, Money, and Subjective Wellbeing." In Handbook of Well-Being, edited by Ed Diener, Shigehiro Oishi, and Louis Tay. Noba Scholar Handbook Series. Salt Lake City: DEF Publishers, 2018. Electronic.
      • 2018
      • Working Paper

      Trust and Democracy: Leader Turnover during Economic Crises

      By: Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian and Jaya Y. Wen
      We study the relationship between interpersonal trust and political stability in democratic countries. Using a six-decade-long annual country-level panel dataset, we find that recessions are more likely to cause political turnover in countries with lower levels of... View Details
      Keywords: Interpersonal Trust; Recessions; Leader Turnover; Political Instability; Culture; Economic Slowdown and Stagnation; Trust; Political Elections
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      Nunn, Nathan, Nancy Qian, and Jaya Y. Wen. "Trust and Democracy: Leader Turnover during Economic Crises." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 24187, January 2018. (Revised February 2023. Available also from VOX and in Kellogg Insight.)
      • Article

      Default Neglect in Attempts at Social Influence

      By: Julian Zlatev, David P. Daniels, Hajin Kim and Margaret A. Neale
      Current theories suggest that people understand how to exploit common biases to influence others. However, these predictions have received little empirical attention. We consider a widely studied bias with special policy relevance: the default effect, which is the... View Details
      Keywords: Social Influence; Default Effect; Nudges; Choice Architecture; Decision Making; Behavior
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      Zlatev, Julian, David P. Daniels, Hajin Kim, and Margaret A. Neale. "Default Neglect in Attempts at Social Influence." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, no. 52 (December 26, 2017).
      • Article

      Does Financial Misconduct Affect the Future Compensation of Alumni Managers?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Eric Lin and George Serafeim
      We explore how an organization’s financial misconduct may affect pay for former employees not implicated in wrongdoing. Drawing on stigma theory we hypothesize that although such alumni did not participate in the financial misconduct, and they had left the organization... View Details
      Keywords: Financial Misconduct; Stigma; Finance; Crime and Corruption; Executive Compensation; Employees; Compensation and Benefits
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      Groysberg, Boris, Eric Lin, and George Serafeim. "Does Financial Misconduct Affect the Future Compensation of Alumni Managers?" Harvard Business School Working Knowledge (December 6, 2017).
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