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  • All HBS Web  (10,827)
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Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (10,827)
    • People  (29)
    • News  (2,625)
    • Research  (7,132)
    • Events  (48)
    • Multimedia  (295)
  • Faculty Publications  (5,589)
← Page 350 of 10,827 Results →
  • 2018
  • Working Paper

Forecasting Airport Transfer Passenger Flow Using Real-Time Data and Machine Learning

By: Xiaojia Guo, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Bert De Reyck
Problem definition: In collaboration with Heathrow Airport, we develop a predictive system that generates quantile forecasts of transfer passengers’ connection times. Sampling from the distribution of individual passengers’ connection times, the system also produces... View Details
Keywords: Quantile Forecasts; Regression Tree; Copula; Passenger Flow Management; Data-driven Operations; Forecasting and Prediction; Data and Data Sets
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Guo, Xiaojia, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, and Bert De Reyck. "Forecasting Airport Transfer Passenger Flow Using Real-Time Data and Machine Learning." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 19-040, October 2018.
  • Article

Is it Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Robert L. Winkler
We consider two ways to aggregate expert opinions using simple averages: averaging probabilities and averaging quantiles. We examine analytical properties of these forecasts and compare their ability to harness the wisdom of the crowd. In terms of location, the two... View Details
Keywords: Probability Forecasts; Quantile Forecasts; Expert Combination; Linear Opinion Pooling; Forecasting and Prediction
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, and Robert L. Winkler. "Is it Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?" Management Science 59, no. 7 (July 2013): 1594–1611.
  • Article

The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds

By: Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka-Cockayne and Phillip E. Pfeifer
When several individuals are asked to forecast an uncertain quantity, they often face implicit or explicit incentives to be the most accurate. Despite the desire to elicit honest forecasts, such competition induces forecasters to report strategically and nontruthfully.... View Details
Keywords: Forecast; Forecasting and Prediction
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Lichtendahl, Kenneth C., Yael Grushka-Cockayne, and Phillip E. Pfeifer. "The Wisdom of Competitive Crowds." Operations Research 61, no. 6 (November–December 2013): 1383–1398. (*Finalist in the Decision Analysis Society Publication Award, 2015.)
  • 2012
  • Chapter

Citizens' Perceptions and the Disconnect Between Economics and Regulatory Policy

By: Jonathan Baron, William T. McEnroe and Christopher Poliquin
Economic theory is clear about the advantages and disadvantages of various ways of regulating negative externalities, such as command and control, cap and trade, taxation, subsidies, and tort law. Yet public policy rarely follows the recommendations that follow from... View Details
Keywords: Regulation; Decision Making; Government and Politics; United States
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Baron, Jonathan, William T. McEnroe, and Christopher Poliquin. "Citizens' Perceptions and the Disconnect Between Economics and Regulatory Policy." In Regulatory Breakdown: The Crisis of Confidence in U.S. Regulation, edited by Cary Coglianese. Philadelphia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2012.
  • July–August 1995
  • Article

The Power of Predictability

By: H. H. Stevenson and M. C. Moldoveanu
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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Stevenson, H. H., and M. C. Moldoveanu. "The Power of Predictability." Harvard Business Review 73, no. 4 (July–August 1995).
  • October 2006 (Revised May 2007)
  • Background Note

Ethics: A Basic Framework

By: Lynn S. Paine
Provides a basic framework for ethical analysis of management decisions, policies, and plans of action. View Details
Keywords: Ethics; Planning; Decision Making; Framework
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Paine, Lynn S. "Ethics: A Basic Framework." Harvard Business School Background Note 307-059, October 2006. (Revised May 2007.)
  • September 2003 (Revised September 2004)
  • Case

Grafica, Inc.: Winning the New Jersey Lottery (A)

Debra Taeschler, CEO of Grafica, is considering how to structure her agency's bid for the New Jersey Lottery account. The Lottery is facing declining sales in all major categories and plans to slash its 1999 marketing budget by 32%. Taeschler is debating whether to... View Details
Keywords: Marketing Strategy; Decision Making; Public Administration Industry; Entertainment and Recreation Industry; New Jersey
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McGovern, Gail J. "Grafica, Inc.: Winning the New Jersey Lottery (A)." Harvard Business School Case 504-040, September 2003. (Revised September 2004.)
  • August 1979
  • Case

Capacity Planning and Facilities Choice, Course Module

By: Steven C. Wheelwright
Keywords: Production; Planning; Decision Making
Citation
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Wheelwright, Steven C. "Capacity Planning and Facilities Choice, Course Module." Harvard Business School Case 979-001, August 1979.
  • October 1982
  • Case

Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast

By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction
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Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Data Resources, Inc.: The Tire-Production Forecast." Harvard Business School Case 183-096, October 1982.
  • 14 Dec 2015
  • News

Negotiating for a Better Life

  • 10 Jul 2015
  • News

What Are You Reading This Summer?

  • 02 Feb 2015
  • News

The Smart Way to Teach Children About Money

  • 28 Feb 2024
  • News

Cities Where People Have the Best Money Management Skills

  • 14 Jun 2022
  • News

Here Are the 46 Countries Offering Digital Nomad Visas

  • 14 Apr 2022
  • News

Developing a Digital Mindset

  • 15 Feb 2022
  • News

2022’s Best & Worst Cities at Money Management

  • 28 Dec 2021
  • News

How Businesses Could Approach Return to Work in 2022

  • 14 Dec 2021
  • News

What Options do Building Owners Have to Mitigate Extreme Weather Events?

  • 15 Nov 2021
  • News

Research: Customers Will Reward Companies for Smaller Gender Pay Gaps

  • 28 Oct 2021
  • News

Creating a Meaningful Corporate Purpose

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