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Show Results For
- All HBS Web
(1,272)
- News (115)
- Research (1,049)
- Events (3)
- Multimedia (6)
- Faculty Publications (799)
- 01 Mar 2011
- News
Faculty Research Online
general idea that less was always more when it came to regulation, which, in part, contributed to the crisis. To that end, he calls for a fundamental shift in academic research on the government’s role in the economy. See http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/6575.html. Valuation... View Details
- 05 Feb 2008
- First Look
First Look: February 5, 2008
No abstract is available at this time. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-057.pdf Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts: A Case Study of Consensus Forecasting in Supply Chain Planning Authors:Rogelio... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
- 11 Mar 2020
- News
Making It Rain
life-threatening experiences when they were blindsided by weather during their military service. Those shared experiences led them to found ClimaCell in 2015 to provide more accurate and reliable forecasts both to businesses and to... View Details
Keywords: Lisa Scanlon Mogolov
- July 2005
- Case
Freemark Abbey Winery (Abridged)
Freemark Abbey must decide whether to harvest in view of the possibility of rain. Rain could damage the crop but delaying the harvest would be risky. On the other hand, rain could be beneficial and greatly increase the value of the resulting wine. This decision is... View Details
Keywords: Plant-Based Agribusiness; Forecasting and Prediction; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
Krasker, William S. "Freemark Abbey Winery (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 606-004, July 2005.
- 01 Apr 1998
- News
Short Takes
Be Flexible In today's competitive and volatile business environment, depending on forecasting as the basis for planning and strategy has become a particularly risky way to operate. Especially vulnerable are manufacturing projects that... View Details
Keywords: Garry Emmons and Caroline Chauncey
- 16 Oct 2018
- First Look
New Research and Ideas, October 16, 2018
methods, such as multiple-case inductive studies and traditional methods of causal inference. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55043 Quantile Forecasts of Product Life Cycles Using Exponential... View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
- Web
Fabrizio Serafini | MBA
efficiency and improve output through technological advancements was a revelation. Later, as an analyst in the energy commodities industry, I delved into the world of predictive modeling. This experience taught me the importance of utilizing technological tools to... View Details
- October 2024
- Article
How to Use Sales Assessments
By: Frank V. Cespedes
Judging a person’s fit for a sales job is complex, and research shows that managers greatly overrate their ability to predict someone’s performance on the basis of interviews. Hence, using assessments is a growing trend in sales hiring and training. This article... View Details
Cespedes, Frank V. "How to Use Sales Assessments." Top Sales Magazine (October 2024), 10–11.
- August 1999
- Article
Positive Illusions and Biases of Prediction in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions
By: D. A. Moore, T. R. Kurtzberg, C. R. Fox and M. H. Bazerman
Moore, D. A., T. R. Kurtzberg, C. R. Fox, and M. H. Bazerman. "Positive Illusions and Biases of Prediction in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions." Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 79, no. 2 (August 1999): 95–114.
- November 1989 (Revised March 1992)
- Background Note
Concept Testing
By: Robert J. Dolan
Describes concept testing products. Presents guidelines for effective design, execution, and interpretation of test procedures. Discusses limitations of these techniques and sets out the situations for which they are appropriate. View Details
Dolan, Robert J. "Concept Testing." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-063, November 1989. (Revised March 1992.)
- 08 Jun 2009
- Research & Ideas
The Return of the Salesman
in an economy like this, such as car dealerships, for instance, which have closed across the country. And, of course, customers are likely to negotiate for better terms. Q: What are you working on now? A: I'm writing a history of the beginnings of the economic View Details
- 18 Sep 2019
- Working Paper Summaries
Using Models to Persuade
Keywords: by Joshua Schwartzstein and Adi Sunderam
- 01 Dec 2014
- News
These Walls Can Talk
that is forecasted to grow to almost $39 billion in the next five years. Shortly after Liang joined SmartThings, Samsung purchased the two-year-old company for a rumored $200 million. SmartThings sells a hardware hub to network your... View Details
Keywords: April White
- 28 Oct 2024
- Op-Ed
Latino Voters Have Grown More Politically Divided. That’s Not Surprising.
asked, if each group voted like they did in the last election, who would win the next one? “Our analysis of data combining voters’ opinions with party platforms showed that where voters lead, parties tend to follow.” It turns out that this kind of View Details
- 07 Jun 2019
- Working Paper Summaries
Reflexivity in Credit Markets
- 01 Mar 2004
- News
The Weather Channel Forecast: Challenges Ahead
avoided asking cable operators for higher subscriber fees, currently about nine cents per household per month. Instead, it is looking to boost advertising revenue. Early this year, it began rolling out new computerized ad targeting technology that displays products... View Details
- 28 May 2013
- Research & Ideas
Can LEGO Snap Together a Future in Asia?
Both the managers and the students had to consider areas of potential risk for LEGO in Asia, including: Uncertainty of market growth forecasts. LEGO senior director John Kelley argues in the case that to supply the most optimistic sales View Details
- 2023
- Working Paper
'De Gustibus' and Disputes about Reference Dependence
By: Thomas Graeber, Pol Campos-Mercade, Lorenz Goette, Alexandre Kellogg and Charles Sprenger
Existing tests of reference-dependent preferences assume universal loss aversion. This paper examines the implications of heterogeneity in gain-loss attitudes for such tests. In experiments on labor supply and exchange behavior we measure gain-loss attitudes and then... View Details
Graeber, Thomas, Pol Campos-Mercade, Lorenz Goette, Alexandre Kellogg, and Charles Sprenger. "'De Gustibus' and Disputes about Reference Dependence." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 24-046, January 2024.
- Editorial
The Power of Precise Predictions
By: Philip E. Tetlock and J. Peter Scoblic
Keywords: Politics; Foreign Policy; Forecasting and Prediction; Globalization; Policy; Government and Politics
Tetlock, Philip E., and J. Peter Scoblic. "The Power of Precise Predictions." New York Times (October 4, 2015), SR10.
- 2011
- Chapter
Prospective Codes Fufilled: A Potential Neural Mechanism of Will
By: Thalia Wheatley and Christine E. Looser
One of my few shortcomings is that I can’t predict the future.
Lars Ulrich, Metallica.
Lars Ulrich was right and wrong. He was right in the way we most often think about the future—as a long stretch of time during which multiply... View Details
Lars Ulrich, Metallica.
Lars Ulrich was right and wrong. He was right in the way we most often think about the future—as a long stretch of time during which multiply... View Details
Keywords: Free Will; Neuroscience; Responsibility; Prospection; Forecasting and Prediction; Science; Cognition and Thinking
Wheatley, Thalia, and Christine E. Looser. "Prospective Codes Fufilled: A Potential Neural Mechanism of Will." Chap. 13 in Conscious Will and Responsibility: A Tribute to Benjamin Libet, edited by Walter Sinnott-Armstrong and Lynn Nadel, 146–158. New York: Oxford University Press, 2011.