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      Decision Choice And UncertaintyRemove Decision Choice And Uncertainty →

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      • January 2008 (Revised March 2008)
      • Case

      Bidding on Martha's Vineyard (A)

      By: James Sebenius
      To buy a desirable Martha's Vineyard property, Robert and Sally Franklin must craft a bidding strategy informed by their assessment of their competitor. The "A" case sets up the situation and bidding history to date, describes how they assessed their valuations and... View Details
      Keywords: Negotiation Preparation; Negotiation Process; Valuation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Property; Bids and Bidding; Real Estate Industry; Martha's Vineyard
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      Sebenius, James. "Bidding on Martha's Vineyard (A)." Harvard Business School Case 908-044, January 2008. (Revised March 2008.)
      • January 2008
      • Background Note

      Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs)

      By: Joshua Coval and Erik Stafford
      This lesson integrated Merton's (1974) contingent claims model of debt and equity claims with the CAPM, which allows us to examine the risks and pricing of credit portfolios and the derivative claims issued against them. In particular, this model is used to make... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Borrowing and Debt; Credit Derivatives and Swaps; Investment Portfolio; Risk Management
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      Coval, Joshua, and Erik Stafford. "Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs)." Harvard Business School Background Note 208-113, January 2008.
      • 2008
      • Simulation

      DEC v. Riverside

      By: David A. Lax, James K. Sebenius, Lawrence Susskind and Thomas Weeks
      Riverside Lumber is a pulp manufacturer in a small town in the Pacific Northwest. Riverside regularly dumps effluent into a nearby river. The Division of Environmental Conservation (DEC) claims that the effluent is toxic and jeopardizes the local salmon catch.... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Conflict Management; Cooperation; Courts and Trials; Decision Choices and Conditions; Natural Environment; Negotiation; Pulp and Paper Industry; Northwestern United States
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      Lax, David A., James K. Sebenius, Lawrence Susskind, and Thomas Weeks. "DEC v. Riverside." Simulation and Teaching Note. Program on Negotiation at Harvard Law School, 2008.
      • 2008
      • Working Paper

      Embracing Commitment and Performance: CEOs and Practices Used to Manage Paradox

      By: Tobias Fredberg, Michael Beer, Russell Eisenstat, Nathaniel Foote and Flemming Norrgren
      We tend to assume that great leaders must make difficult choices between two or more conflicting outcomes. In an interview study with 26 CEOs of top American and European companies (incl. IKEA, Campbell Soups, Nokia, H&M), we find that instead of choosing between... View Details
      Keywords: Leadership; Managerial Roles; Performance; Strategy; Management Practices and Processes; Decision Choices and Conditions
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      Fredberg, Tobias, Michael Beer, Russell Eisenstat, Nathaniel Foote, and Flemming Norrgren. "Embracing Commitment and Performance: CEOs and Practices Used to Manage Paradox." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-052, January 2008.
      • 2008
      • Simulation

      Everest Leadership and Team Simulation

      By: Michael A. Roberto and Amy C. Edmondson
      This item is currently not available for purchase on this site. To order, please contact Customer Service - (800) 545-7685 or (617) 783-7600. **REVISED AUGUST 2009!** This web-based simulation uses the dramatic context of a Mount Everest expedition to reinforce student... View Details
      Keywords: Cooperation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Groups and Teams; Knowledge Sharing; Leadership
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      Roberto, Michael A., and Amy C. Edmondson. "Everest Leadership and Team Simulation." Simulation and Teaching Note. Boston: Harvard Business School Publishing, 2008. Electronic. (Product number 2650.)
      • January 2008
      • Article

      How to Change the World

      By: Howard H. Stevenson
      Alan Wilson has a decision to make. The CEO of his company, Grepter, wants him to relocate to Zurich, where he can gain valuable experience for a rise to the top. Karl, his best friend, hopes to lure him to a hedge fund that promises big money fast. Shiori, an enticing... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Values and Beliefs; Compensation and Benefits; Personal Development and Career; Power and Influence
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      Stevenson, Howard H. "How to Change the World." Special Issue on HBS Centennial. Harvard Business Review 86, no. 1 (January 2008).
      • 2008
      • Working Paper

      See No Evil: When We Overlook Other People's Unethical Behavior

      By: Francesca Gino, Don A. Moore and Max H. Bazerman
      It is common for people to be more critical of others' ethical choices than of their own. This chapter explores those remarkable circumstances in which people see no evil in others' unethical behavior. Specifically, we explore 1) the motivated tendency to overlook the... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Ethics; Moral Sensibility; Behavior; Motivation and Incentives
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      Gino, Francesca, Don A. Moore, and Max H. Bazerman. "See No Evil: When We Overlook Other People's Unethical Behavior." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 08-045, January 2008.
      • January 2008
      • Article

      Seek Strategy the Right Way at the Right Time

      By: G. Gavetti and Jan W. Rivkin
      Deliberate, emergent, and analogical approaches to finding the best strategy all have their advan-tages, depending on where an industry is in its life cycle. Be open to the best option at each juncture and wise enough to make the right call. View Details
      Keywords: Strategy; Decision Choices and Conditions; Supply and Industry
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      Gavetti, G., and Jan W. Rivkin. "Seek Strategy the Right Way at the Right Time." Special Issue on HBS Centennial. Harvard Business Review 86, no. 1 (January 2008).
      • December 2007
      • Case

      The Campaign for Bank Insurance in Antebellum New York

      By: David A. Moss and Cole Bolton
      The New York State Legislature had come to a standstill in 1829 as lawmakers refused to charter any new banks or recharter any existing banks. Four of New York's forty banks had failed since 1825, and many legislatures believed that a significant change in the banking... View Details
      Keywords: History; Risk Management; Government Legislation; Insurance; Decision Choices and Conditions; Banks and Banking; Banking Industry
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      Moss, David A., and Cole Bolton. "The Campaign for Bank Insurance in Antebellum New York." Harvard Business School Case 708-037, December 2007.
      • December 2007 (Revised August 2014)
      • Case

      Xanadu on Broadway

      By: Anita Elberse
      Can one of Hollywood's biggest flops magically turn into a Broadway hit? Xanadu, an adaptation of a 1980 Olivia Newton-John roller-disco film described by one critic as "the epic failure to end all epic failures," opened on Broadway in July 2007. Producer Rob Ahrens,... View Details
      Keywords: Theater Entertainment; Product Marketing; Product Launch; Demand and Consumers; Risk and Uncertainty; Creativity; Entertainment and Recreation Industry
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      Elberse, Anita. "Xanadu on Broadway." Harvard Business School Case 508-062, December 2007. (Revised August 2014.)
      • December 2007 (Revised September 2011)
      • Case

      Global Knowledge Management at Danone (A)

      By: Amy C. Edmondson, Bertrand Moingeon, Vincent Marie Dessain and Ane Damgaard Jensen
      This case explores French consumer goods company Danone's novel approach to knowledge management. In 2007, Human Resource Chief (Executive Vice President) Franck Mougin assesses the company's knowledge-sharing tools and considers his options going forward. Through... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Employee Relationship Management; Knowledge Management; Knowledge Sharing; Social and Collaborative Networks; Expansion; Consumer Products Industry; France
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      Edmondson, Amy C., Bertrand Moingeon, Vincent Marie Dessain, and Ane Damgaard Jensen. "Global Knowledge Management at Danone (A)." Harvard Business School Case 608-107, December 2007. (Revised September 2011.)
      • December 2007
      • Article

      On the Robustness of the Winner's Curse Phenomenon

      By: B. Grosskopf, Yoella Bereby-Meyer and M. H. Bazerman
      We set out to find ways to help decision makers overcome the "winner's curse," a phenomenon commonly observed in asymmetric information bargaining situations, and instead found strong support for its robustness. In a series of manipulations of the "Acquiring a Company... View Details
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      Grosskopf, B., Yoella Bereby-Meyer, and M. H. Bazerman. "On the Robustness of the Winner's Curse Phenomenon." Theory and Decision 63, no. 4 (December 2007): 389–418.
      • November 2007
      • Case

      Differences at Work: Emily (A)

      By: Sandra J. Sucher and Rachel Gordon
      In Differences at Work: Emily (A) HBS Case No. 9-408-014 Emily, a private equity analyst, reads disturbing, sexually focused emails written about her by work colleagues and acquaintances after they all attended a work-related social event. Emily debates what she should... View Details
      Keywords: Moral Sensibility; Behavior; Decision Choices and Conditions; Organizational Culture; Problems and Challenges; Gender
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      Sucher, Sandra J., and Rachel Gordon. "Differences at Work: Emily (A)." Harvard Business School Case 408-014, November 2007.
      • November 2007
      • Supplement

      Differences at Work: Ben (C)

      By: Sandra J. Sucher and Rachel Gordon
      In Differences at Work: Ben (C) 9-408-044 Ben shares the remark with his bosses who let Ben decide whether to report the incident to Human Resources. He decides not to, but several years later he still regrets his inaction. View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Employees; Working Conditions
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      Sucher, Sandra J., and Rachel Gordon. "Differences at Work: Ben (C)." Harvard Business School Supplement 408-044, November 2007.
      • November 2007 (Revised February 2011)
      • Case

      The Ice King

      By: Tom Nicholas and Sandra Nicholas
      Provides an opportunity to examine the risk-reward tradeoff and the travails of entrepreneurial venturing in the nascent U.S. economy. Traces the origins and development of Frederic Tudor's Ice Company, a business which developed during the 19th century to hack chunks... View Details
      Keywords: Business Startups; Cost vs Benefits; Entrepreneurship; Globalization; Business History; Operations; Risk and Uncertainty; United States
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      Nicholas, Tom, and Sandra Nicholas. "The Ice King." Harvard Business School Case 808-094, November 2007. (Revised February 2011.)
      • November 2007
      • Case

      Antegren: A Beacon of Hope

      By: Joshua D. Margolis, Thomas J. DeLong and Terence Heymann
      The CEO of Biogen Idec faces a set of difficult decisions regarding a promising drug for Multiple Sclerosis that is headed for early approval by the FDA. The first in a series focuses on operational decisions triggered by the drive for early approval. Sparks discussion... View Details
      Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Leadership; Ethics; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Decision Choices and Conditions; Crisis Management; Health Testing and Trials; Biotechnology Industry; Pharmaceutical Industry
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      Margolis, Joshua D., Thomas J. DeLong, and Terence Heymann. "Antegren: A Beacon of Hope." Harvard Business School Case 408-025, November 2007.
      • November 2007 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      Allston: Brand vs. Architecture

      By: Andre F. Perold, Arthur I Segel and Christopher M. Gordon
      Harvard President Lawrence Summers had presided over the final interviews of world-renowned architects being considered for the science complex planned for Harvard's expanded campus in Allston. The selection process had absorbed nine months in 2005 and amplified the... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Brands and Branding; Design; Urban Development; Selection and Staffing; Construction Industry; Boston
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      Perold, Andre F., Arthur I Segel, and Christopher M. Gordon. "Allston: Brand vs. Architecture." Harvard Business School Case 208-079, November 2007. (Revised March 2009.)
      • November 2007 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      OppenheimerFunds and Take-Two Interactive (A)

      By: Jay W. Lorsch, Andrew Hill and Kaitlyn Simpson
      Describes the dilemma faced by Emmanuel Ferreira, a fund manager at OppenheimerFunds. As the largest shareholder and a long-time investor in software publisher Take-Two Interactive, Ferreira contemplates whether or not to get involved with other investors in trying to... View Details
      Keywords: Restructuring; Decision Choices and Conditions; Investment; Corporate Governance; Governing and Advisory Boards; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Lorsch, Jay W., Andrew Hill, and Kaitlyn Simpson. "OppenheimerFunds and Take-Two Interactive (A)." Harvard Business School Case 408-074, November 2007. (Revised March 2009.)
      • November 2007 (Revised March 2009)
      • Case

      Clear Channel 2006

      By: Richard S. Ruback and Leslie Pierson
      The Board of Directors of Clear Channel Communications, a radio broadcasting and outdoor advertising company, has to respond to a revised proposal from two private equity firms to take the company private. In November of 2006, the Board had unanimously approved an... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Private Equity; Governing and Advisory Boards; Negotiation Offer; Privatization; Business and Shareholder Relations
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      Ruback, Richard S., and Leslie Pierson. "Clear Channel 2006." Harvard Business School Case 208-083, November 2007. (Revised March 2009.)
      • 2007
      • Working Paper

      Choice, Rationality and Welfare Measurement

      By: Jerry R. Green and Daniel A. Hojman
      We present a method for evaluating the welfare of a decision maker, based on observed choice data. Unlike the standard economic theory of revealed preference, our method can be used whether or not the observed choices are rational. Paralleling the standard theory we... View Details
      Keywords: Welfare Economics; Behavioral Economics; Psychology; Decision Making; Economics; Voting
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      Green, Jerry R., and Daniel A. Hojman. "Choice, Rationality and Welfare Measurement." HKS Faculty Research Working Paper Series, No. 2144, November 2007.
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