Probability - Publications - Faculty & Research

02 Oct 2017
What Do You Think?

Do Bitcoin and Digital Currency Have a Future?

much of it is traded on exchanges in China. Nervous Chinese leaders have threatened to shut down the exchanges, causing the value of the currency to drop about 30 percent instantly. As comedians often ask, “What could possibly go wrong?” But the same question could... View Details

Keywords: by James L. Heskett; Financial Services

03 Oct 2007
Research & Ideas

Dealing with the ‘Irrational’ Negotiator

to win in court. Why was he behaving so irrationally? Deepak suggested to the executive that the problem was probably not that the employee was behaving irrationally, but that he lacked credible information. The executive was convinced... View Details

Keywords: by Deepak Malhotra & Max H. Bazerman

27 Jun 2011
Research & Ideas

Recovering from the Need to Achieve

steps create the probability that you will not be controlled by your fears," DeLong writes. "It means that as you begin a new behavior, begin a new relationship, take on a new job, or start on a challenging new assignment, you... View Details

Keywords: by Kim Girard

02 May 2025
Blog Post

How to Work with Search Firms

out The position they were calling about A sample conversation might go like this: "About two years ago you called me about a CFO position in East Overshoe, Minnesota. After some conversation we agreed that this probably was not a good... View Details

27 Feb 2006
Research & Ideas

When Rights of First Refusal Are a Bad Deal

economics, and market design, was that the right was structured as what he terms a Before and After Right of First Refusal (BA-ROFR). The right holder is offered an initial deal by the asset owner—the landlord offers to sell the flat to the renter for $100,000, View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne; Construction; Real Estate; Entertainment & Recreation

14 Oct 2020
Blog Post

Veteran Financial Aid Outlook

are paid very generously. I probably should have put mine towards tuition, but I decided to travel over winter break and chose to put much of it toward travel. Now for some tough love. Harvard’s Financial Aid model is need-based and... View Details

02 Jun 2021
Research & Ideas

A Rare Find in Health Care: A Simple Solution to Racial Inequity

specialists, pulmonary and critical care doctors, and virologists, probably had a much better sense of what treatments to use and when relative to smaller hospitals that are close by.” By directing Black patients to hospitals that provide... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding; Health

12 Sep 2023
Blog Post

Harvard Climate Entrepreneurs Circle: Taking Climate Solutions from Idea to Action, Faster

they need is probably not a panel discussion. Rather they need someone with a high degree of expertise and lived experience in the field to brainstorm individually around their challenge. These resources sit on top of the foundational... View Details

29 Aug 2023
News

Helping Consumers Decarbonize their Purchases

Subscribe on iTunes Subscribe on Spotify More Skydeck episodes Hi, this is Dan Morrell, host of Skydeck. In this episode, we’re going to be highlighting an episode of another HBS podcast: Climate Rising, which focuses on what businesses are doing, can do, and should do... View Details

23 Mar 2023
Blog Post

Arla Foods: How Sustainable Can A Dairy Company Be?

switch to alternative dairy products, whether for health, price or sustainability reasons. This transition will likely occur slowly and alternative dairy products probably won’t ever fully replace animal dairy products, but we feel that... View Details

29 Aug 2018
What Do You Think?

What Should Harley-Davidson’s Management Do?

product. Others were less negative, arguing that the Company probably had to do what it was doing to “stay in the game.” The Company’s management faced a major decision. On the one hand, it could unwind the effort to begin production in... View Details

Keywords: by James Heskett; Auto

16 Apr 2020
Research & Ideas

Has COVID-19 Broken the Global Value Chain?

risk considered plausible. It assigned a probability of 11 percent to such a pandemic (against, for instance, a 19 percent assigned to global energy shortage or a 17 percent assigned to shortage of labor), making it not really that rare... View Details

Keywords: by Sean Silverthorne

13 Jul 2021
Blog Post

A View from the Horizon

probably what I’d do, too. But my sister had a different idea for my future. She pushed me to go to college instead—and I listened—which is how I ended up studying accounting at Boston College. But even though I was on a path different... View Details

06 Mar 2020
Book

A Great Teacher's Lessons for Leading

opportunities that particular protagonist has. The underlying premise is that after thinking and trying to feel like a decision maker, there’s a higher probability of our students being able to think about complex issues and work through... View Details

Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Education

20 Mar 2000
Research & Ideas

Incubators: The New Venture Capitalists?

("we're probably one degree of separation away from anybody who's anybody on the Internet") — are what it takes to get a business going: "It's not just dumb money." Connections are key, agreed Cambridge Incubator's... View Details

Keywords: by Kenneth Liss

30 Mar 2020
Research & Ideas

The New Rules for Remote Work: Pandemic Edition

things don’t have to happen right this instant. This is the new norming that needs to happen.” 7. Accept that productivity will probably suffer Choudhury’s research shows productivity often increases with remote work. But now, with... View Details

Keywords: by Dina Gerdeman

18 Jul 2011
Research & Ideas

Looking in the Mirror: Questions Every Leader Must Ask

analyze how it is being spent. If substantial time allocations do not match top priorities, he discusses how these tasks should be either delegated or eliminated. "When someone asks you to spend time on work that doesn't match your key priorities, the right action... View Details

Keywords: by Carmen Nobel

14 Jan 2020
Research & Ideas

The Business Case for Becoming a Jack-of-All-Trades

generalists on a team can be even more important. “If you are trying to make incremental improvements on existing technologies, then specialists probably are the most well-suited for that,” Nagle says. “But, if there is at least some... View Details

Keywords: by Michael Blanding

01 Oct 1997
News

High Fives

many stocks in a lot of countries and weighting the countries more or less equally. It's simply too difficult to predict which market's going to be down 67 percent and which one's going to be up 102 percent in any given year.” Biggest disappointment: “Oh, View Details

14 Feb 2019
Blog Post

LOVE At HBS

birth of our first child, we probably spent half our time “together” based in different cities. With a child things were different, until they weren’t. Once again, we found ourselves apart, me in Boston and Hilary in South Carolina. I... View Details

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