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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (4,626)
      • Faculty Publications  (625)

      Market TimingRemove Market Timing →

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      • Article

      On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills

      By: Robert C. Merton and Roy D. Henriksson
      Keywords: Investment; Performance; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Merton, Robert C., and Roy D. Henriksson. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part II: Statistical Procedures for Evaluating Forecasting Skills." Journal of Business 54, no. 4 (October 1981): 513–533.
      • July 1981
      • Article

      On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Investment; Performance; Theory; Value; Forecasting and Prediction; Markets
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      Merton, Robert C. "On Market Timing and Investment Performance Part I: An Equilibrium Theory of Value for Market Forecasts." Journal of Business 54, no. 3 (July 1981): 363–406.
      • April 1979 (Revised June 1988)
      • Case

      Chain Saw Industry in 1978

      By: Michael E. Porter and David J. Collis
      For use on the second day of a two-day sequence on the U.S. chain saw industry. Describes the evolution of the industry since 1974. Illustrates issues in industry evolution, the forces causing evolution, and the strategic issues raised by evolution. The discussion can... View Details
      Keywords: Competition; Industry Growth; Manufacturing Industry; United States
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      Porter, Michael E., and David J. Collis. "Chain Saw Industry in 1978." Harvard Business School Case 379-176, April 1979. (Revised June 1988.)
      • 1978
      • Article

      Sequential Structure of Futures Markets and the Value of Improving Information: An Example

      By: Jerry R. Green
      In an example, the value of improving information is computed under alternative structures for the timing of futures markets. It is always beneficial if futures markets are active both before and after the information is revealed. View Details
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      Green, Jerry R. "Sequential Structure of Futures Markets and the Value of Improving Information: An Example." Economics Letters 1, no. 1 (1978): 29–32.
      • 1975
      • Working Paper

      Information, Efficiency and Equilibrium

      By: Jerry R. Green
      When economic agents receive information over time concerning future events it is likely that prices for commodities whose value is influenced by these events will fluctuate in response to changes in the state of knowledge. If such events occur periodically,... View Details
      Keywords: Economics; Supply and Industry; Price
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      Green, Jerry R. "Information, Efficiency and Equilibrium." Harvard Institute of Economic Research Discussion Paper, No. 284, December 1975.
      • Teaching Interest

      Agribusiness Seminar - Executive Education

      By: David E. Bell
      In the agribusiness industry, every year brings new trends and challenges. While demand continues to grow, consumer needs shift, production challenges increase, and evolving technology impacts every part of the value chain. The complex... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Calling All Issuers: The Market for Debt Monitoring

      By: Huaizhi Chen, Lauren Cohen and Weiling Liu
      95% of long-term municipal bonds have callable features, and yet we find new evidence of a substantial fraction of local governments exercising these valuable options sub-optimally, with significant delays – resulting in sizable losses. Using data from 2001 to 2019, we... View Details
      Keywords: Bonds; Financial Institutions; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Government Administration; Financing and Loans
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      Chen, Huaizhi, Lauren Cohen, and Weiling Liu. "Calling All Issuers: The Market for Debt Monitoring." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online November 1, 2024.)
      • Research Summary

      Consumer Decision Making and Behavioral Research

      By: John T. Gourville

      John Gourville’s research focuses on consumer behavior, especially in the areas of pricing and consumer decision making. In the area of pricing, for instance, he has looked at the role of time on how consumers interpret and react to product costs and prices.... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Corporate Debt, Firm Size and Financial Fragility in Emerging Markets

      By: Laura Alfaro
      The post-Global Financial Crisis period shows a surge in corporate leverage in emerging markets and a number of countries with deteriorated corporate financial fragility indicators (Altman’s Z-score). Firm size plays a critical role in the relationship between... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Current Research

      By: Leslie K. John

      Professor John is a behavioral scientist who uses both laboratory and field experiments to investigate questions that are at the intersection of marketing, organizational behavior, and public policy.

      Professor John’s work has been published in leading... View Details

      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Disclosure Standards and Communication Norms: Evidence of Voluntary Sustainability Standards as a Coordinating Device for Capital Markets

      By: Khrystyna Bochkay, Jeffrey Hales and George Serafeim
      In this paper, we examine how the development of voluntary sustainability standards has affected the nature of information covered in conference calls. Using industry-specific dictionaries of sustainability terms contained in the disclosure standards developed by the... View Details
      Keywords: Voluntary Disclosure; Accounting Standards; Sustainability Reporting; Sustainability Standards; ESG; ESG Disclosure; Accounting; Corporate Disclosure; Environmental Sustainability; Corporate Social Responsibility and Impact; Standards; United States
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      Bochkay, Khrystyna, Jeffrey Hales, and George Serafeim. "Disclosure Standards and Communication Norms: Evidence of Voluntary Sustainability Standards as a Coordinating Device for Capital Markets." Review of Accounting Studies (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 17, 2025.)
      • Teaching Interest

      Doing Business in Africa

      By: John D. Macomber

      This course introduces frameworks and models for smart and focused investing and operations across sectors, nations, industries, and time frames in Africa.   Students will learn tools and skills to help navigate the business landscape of Africa in terms of selection... View Details

      Keywords: Africa
      • Research Summary

      Emerging and Frontier Markets

      By: Arthur I Segel
      I continue to spend a great deal of time examining real estate in all aspects from development to securitization in new and growing markets. View Details
      • Teaching Interest

      Launching New Ventures

      By: Rembrand M. Koning

      The early days of a new venture demand a combination of strategy, vision, and impeccable timing to capitalize on market opportunities and establish a successful business.

      Launching New Ventures delves into the core elements of entrepreneurship and building... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Mastering Strategy Execution

      By: Robert Simons

      Professor Robert Simons’ research encompasses three areas of management accountability that are the foundation for successful strategy execution: organization design, performance measurement and control, and risk management. In addition, Simons is interested in the... View Details

      • Teaching Interest

      Overview

      By: Jill J. Avery
      Creating Brand Value (MBA elective course)

      Overview:

      In the consumer/retail space, brands are often companies’ most valuable assets and sources of their sustainable competitive advantage. But, managing brands to achieve their full value potential... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Rob Markey
      Most companies' leaders declare their commitment to delivering value to customers. Many have adopted language such as "customer-centric" or "customer-obsessed." Companies that consistently earn top marks for customer loyalty in their industry deliver total shareholder... View Details
      Keywords: Customer Base Analysis; Customer Lifetime Value; Customer Experience; Customer Loyalty; Service Profit Chain; Management Accounting; Project Evaluation And Resource Allocation; Customer Value and Value Chain; Customer Satisfaction; Valuation; Customer Focus and Relationships
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Ashley V. Whillans
      Engaged with field work in East Africa, South Asia, and in several large hybrid organizations in the United States, Professor Whillans places a focus on exploring questions with strong theoretical motivation in the social psychological literature and relevant... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Mark L. Egan
      When considering how households make investment decisions, Professor Egan became intrigued by the question, “What makes a bank ‘special’ when compared to other lending institutions?” Focusing on empirical industrial organization with applications to finance and... View Details
      Keywords: Banking; Financial Advisors; Consumer Finance; Personal Finance; Corporate Finance
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