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Publications

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    • All HBS Web  (5,244)
      • Faculty Publications  (989)

      Behavioral Decision ResearchRemove Behavioral Decision Research →

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      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      Naiveté and Cynicism in Negotiations and Other Competitive Contexts

      By: Chia-Jung Tsay, Lisa L. Shu and Max Bazerman
      A wealth of literature documents how the common failure to think about the self-interests of others contributes to suboptimal outcomes. Yet sometimes, an excess of cynicism appears to lead us to over-think the actions of others and make negative attributions about... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Negotiation; Behavior; Cognition and Thinking; Perspective; Trust; Competitive Strategy; Competitive Advantage
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      Tsay, Chia-Jung, Lisa L. Shu, and Max Bazerman. "Naiveté and Cynicism in Negotiations and Other Competitive Contexts." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-066, January 2011. (Revised May 2011.)
      • Article

      Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios

      By: Jakub W. Jurek and Luis M. Viceira
      We develop an analytical solution to the dynamic portfolio choice problem of an investor with power utility defined over wealth at a finite horizon, who faces a time-varying investment opportunity set, parameterized using a flexible vector autoregression. We apply this... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Private Equity; Investment; Investment Portfolio; Asset Pricing; Value
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      Jurek, Jakub W., and Luis M. Viceira. "Optimal Value and Growth Tilts in Long-Horizon Portfolios." Review of Finance 15, no. 1 (January 2011): 29–74.
      • January – February 2011
      • Article

      Stop Holding Yourself Back

      By: Anne Morriss, Robin J. Ely and Frances X. Frei
      After working with hundreds of leaders in a wide variety of organizations and in countries all over the globe, the authors found one very clear pattern: when it comes to meeting their leadership potential, many people unintentionally get in their own way. Five barriers... View Details
      Keywords: Transformation; Decision Choices and Conditions; Leadership; Personal Development and Career; Personal Characteristics
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      Morriss, Anne, Robin J. Ely, and Frances X. Frei. "Stop Holding Yourself Back." Harvard Business Review 89, nos. 1-2 (January–February 2011).
      • 2011
      • Article

      The Consumer Psychology of Mail-in Rebates

      By: John T. Gourville and Dilip Soman
      Consumers who buy a product intending to use an accompanying mail-in rebate often do not redeem the rebate. To explain this behavior, we argue that consumers use an anchoring and adjustment approach to predicting the likelihood of redeeming a rebate. In keeping with... View Details
      Keywords: Product Marketing; Consumer Behavior; Sales; Motivation and Incentives
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      Gourville, John T., and Dilip Soman. "The Consumer Psychology of Mail-in Rebates." Journal of Product & Brand Management 20, no. 2 (2011).
      • 2011
      • Working Paper

      The Importance of Work Context in Organizational Learning from Error

      By: Lucy H. MacPhail and Amy C. Edmondson
      This paper examines the implications of work context for learning from errors in organizations. Prior research has shown that attitudes and behaviors related to error vary between groups within organizations but has not investigated or theorized the ways in which... View Details
      Keywords: Judgments; Learning; Business Processes; Organizational Culture; Failure; Performance Improvement; Opportunities; Complexity
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      MacPhail, Lucy H., and Amy C. Edmondson. "The Importance of Work Context in Organizational Learning from Error." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-074, January 2011.
      • Article

      The Social Utility of Feature Creep

      By: Debora V. Thompson and Michael I. Norton
      Previous research shows that consumers frequently choose products with too many features that they later find difficult to use. Our research shows that this seemingly suboptimal behavior may in fact confer benefits when factoring in the social context of consumption.... View Details
      Keywords: Impression Management; Social Influence; Conspicuous Consumption; Signaling; Product Features; Consumer Behavior; Information Technology; Experience and Expertise; Status and Position
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      Thompson, Debora V., and Michael I. Norton. "The Social Utility of Feature Creep." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 48, no. 3 (June 2011): 555–565.
      • Article

      Values, Purpose, Meaning, and Expectations: Why Culture and Context Matter

      By: Rosabeth M. Kanter
      The "rational person" standard, based on assumptions of economic self-interest, has long prevailed in legal reasoning. But understanding of decision making, behavioral choices, and possibilities for action must be enlarged to include a variety of factors that give... View Details
      Keywords: Standards; Interests; Decision Making; Behavior; Value; Groups and Teams; Performance Expectations; Organizational Culture; Leadership; Business Cycles; Forecasting and Prediction; Motivation and Incentives
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      Kanter, Rosabeth M. "Values, Purpose, Meaning, and Expectations: Why Culture and Context Matter." Alabama Law Review 62, no. 5 (2011).
      • September 2011
      • Article

      What Drives Sell-Side Analyst Compensation at High-Status Investment Banks?

      By: Boris Groysberg, Paul M. Healy and David A. Maber
      We use proprietary data from a major investment bank to investigate factors associated with analysts' annual compensation. We find compensation to be positively related to "All-Star" recognition, investment-banking contributions, the size of analysts' portfolios, and... View Details
      Keywords: Investment Banking; Research; Compensation and Benefits; Investment Portfolio; Forecasting and Prediction; Resource Allocation; Status and Position; Business Earnings; Quality; Revenue; Stocks; Voting
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      Groysberg, Boris, Paul M. Healy, and David A. Maber. "What Drives Sell-Side Analyst Compensation at High-Status Investment Banks?" Journal of Accounting Research 49, no. 4 (September 2011): 969–1000.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others

      By: Rafael Di Tella and Ricardo Perez-Truglia
      In this paper we present the results from a "corruption game" (a dictator game modified so that the second player can accept a side payment that reduces the overall size of the pie). Dictators (silently) treated to have the possibility of taking a larger proportion of... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Fairness; Values and Beliefs; Game Theory; Personal Characteristics
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      Di Tella, Rafael, and Ricardo Perez-Truglia. "Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 16645, December 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Cognitive Barriers to Environmental Action: Problems and Solutions

      By: Lisa L. Shu and Max Bazerman
      We explore interventions at the individual level and focus on recognized cognitive barriers from behavioral decision-making literature. In particular, we highlight three cognitive barriers that impede sound individual decision making that have particular relevance to... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Consumer Behavior; Environmental Sustainability; Cognition and Thinking; Prejudice and Bias
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      Shu, Lisa L., and Max Bazerman. "Cognitive Barriers to Environmental Action: Problems and Solutions." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-046, November 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents

      By: Eric Van den Steen
      This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one... View Details
      Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Measurement and Metrics; Game Theory; Forecasting and Prediction
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      Van den Steen, Eric. "Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-049, November 2010.
      • 2010
      • Book

      Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution

      By: Robert L. Simons
      To stay ahead of the pack, you must translate your organization's competitive strategy into day-to-day actions that will enable your company to win in the marketplace. This means channeling resources into the right efforts, striking a balance between innovation and... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Innovation and Management; Resource Allocation; Business Processes; Organizational Culture; Competitive Strategy
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      Simons, Robert L. Seven Strategy Questions: A Simple Approach for Better Execution. Harvard Business Review Press, 2010.
      • 2010
      • Chapter

      Feeling Good about Giving: The Benefits (and Costs) of Self-interested Charitable Behavior

      By: L. Anik, L. B. Aknin, M. I. Norton and E. W. Dunn
      While lay intuitions and pop psychology suggest that helping others leads to higher levels of happiness, the existing evidence only weakly supports this causal claim: research in psychology, economics, and neuroscience exploring the benefits of charitable giving has... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Cost vs Benefits; Philanthropy and Charitable Giving; Outcome or Result; Relationships; Research; Behavior; Happiness; Motivation and Incentives
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      Anik, L., L. B. Aknin, M. I. Norton, and E. W. Dunn. "Feeling Good about Giving: The Benefits (and Costs) of Self-interested Charitable Behavior." In The Science of Giving: Experimental Approaches to the Study of Charity, edited by D. M. Oppenheimer and C. Y. Olivola. Psychology Press, 2010.
      • 2010
      • Working Paper

      Growth through Heterogeneous Innovations

      By: Ufuk Akcigit and William R. Kerr
      We study how exploration versus exploitation innovations impact economic growth through a tractable endogenous growth framework that contains multiple innovation sizes, multi-product firms, and entry/exit. Firms invest in exploration R&D to acquire new product lines... View Details
      Keywords: Business Ventures; Decision Choices and Conditions; Economic Growth; Investment; Innovation and Invention; Patents; Size; Research and Development; United States
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      Akcigit, Ufuk, and William R. Kerr. "Growth through Heterogeneous Innovations." Harvard Business School Working Paper, No. 11-044, October 2010. (SSRN, HBS WP 11-044.)
      • October 2010
      • Article

      Preferring Balanced vs. Advantageous Peace Agreements: A Study of Israeli Attitudes Towards a Two-State Solution

      By: Deepak Malhotra and Jeremy Ginges
      The paper extends research on fixed-pie perceptions by suggesting that disputants may prefer proposals that are perceived to be equally attractive to both parties (i.e., balanced) rather than one-sided, because balanced agreements are seen as more likely to be... View Details
      Keywords: Fixed Pie; Balance; Peace; Negotiation; Agreements and Arrangements; Conflict and Resolution; Government and Politics; Balance and Stability; Forecasting and Prediction; Attitudes; Israel; Palestinian state
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      Malhotra, Deepak, and Jeremy Ginges. "Preferring Balanced vs. Advantageous Peace Agreements: A Study of Israeli Attitudes Towards a Two-State Solution." Judgment and Decision Making 5, no. 6 (October 2010): 420–427.
      • September 2010
      • Supplement

      Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships (CW)

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Albert W. Sheen
      Tom Roberts, a founding partner of Compass Maritime Services, a New Jersey-based shipping research and consulting firm, has been asked by a new potential customer in May 2008 for advice on purchasing a capesize bulk carrier. After identifying a suitable ship with his... View Details
      Keywords: Acquisition; Decisions; Microeconomics; Finance; Price; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Market Transactions; Partners and Partnerships; Mathematical Methods; Valuation; Consulting Industry; New Jersey
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Albert W. Sheen. "Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships (CW)." Harvard Business School Spreadsheet Supplement 211-702, September 2010.
      • September 2010 (Revised December 2010)
      • Case

      Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships

      By: Benjamin C. Esty and Albert W. Sheen
      Tom Roberts, a founding partner of Compass Maritime Services, a New Jersey-based shipping research and consulting firm, has been asked by a new potential customer in May 2008 for advice on purchasing a capesize bulk carrier. After identifying a suitable ship with his... View Details
      Keywords: Decision Choices and Conditions; Judgments; Price; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Negotiation Offer; Mathematical Methods; Ship Transportation; Valuation; Consulting Industry; Shipping Industry
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      Esty, Benjamin C., and Albert W. Sheen. "Compass Maritime Services, LLC: Valuing Ships." Harvard Business School Case 211-014, September 2010. (Revised December 2010.)
      • September 2010 (Revised November 2010)
      • Case

      J.P. Morgan Private Bank: Risk Management during the Financial Crisis 2008-2009

      By: Anette Mikes, Clayton S. Rose and Aldo Sesia
      Mary Erdoes, the CEO of JP Morgan's asset management business, and three colleagues provide insights into risk management issues faced by the firm's private bank during the financial crisis in 2008–2009. The case provides perspective on the philosophy with which they... View Details
      Keywords: Judgments; Financial Crisis; Globalized Firms and Management; Management Analysis, Tools, and Techniques; Risk Management; Mathematical Methods; Banking Industry; United States
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      Mikes, Anette, Clayton S. Rose, and Aldo Sesia. "J.P. Morgan Private Bank: Risk Management during the Financial Crisis 2008-2009." Harvard Business School Case 311-003, September 2010. (Revised November 2010.)
      • September 2010 (Revised February 2011)
      • Case

      Red Lobster

      By: David E. Bell and Jason Riis
      Red Lobster, a 40-year-old chain of seafood restaurants, has just completed some market research revealing an opportunity to shift its target customer segment. The chain is in the final stages of a 10-year plan of rejuvenation under CEO Kim Lopdrup. When he took over... View Details
      Keywords: Advertising; Customer Satisfaction; Marketing Strategy; Consumer Behavior; Research; Segmentation; Food and Beverage Industry
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      Bell, David E., and Jason Riis. "Red Lobster." Harvard Business School Case 511-052, September 2010. (Revised February 2011.)
      • September 2010
      • Article

      Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers?

      By: Saravanan Kesavan, Vishal Gaur and Ananth Raman
      Firm-level sales forecasts for retailers can be improved if we incorporate cost of goods sold, inventory, and gross margin (defined here as the ratio of sales to cost of goods sold) as three endogenous variables. We construct a simultaneous equations model, estimated... View Details
      Keywords: Sales; Forecasting and Prediction; Distribution; Goods and Commodities; Cost; Public Sector; Profit; Mathematical Methods; Analytics and Data Science; Retail Industry; United States
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      Kesavan, Saravanan, Vishal Gaur, and Ananth Raman. "Do Inventory and Gross Margin Data Improve Sales Forecasts for U.S. Public Retailers?" Management Science 56, no. 9 (September 2010): 1519–1533.
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