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Publications

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    • Faculty Publications  (606)

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    • All HBS Web  (3,156)
      • Faculty Publications  (606)

      Stock Market ExpectationsRemove Stock Market Expectations →

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      • 1984
      • Chapter

      Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market

      By: Stanley Fischer and Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Macroeconomics; Financial Markets
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      Fischer, Stanley, and Robert C. Merton. "Macroeconomics and Finance: The Role of the Stock Market." In Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of Financial and Labor Markets and Political Processes. Vol. 21, edited by K. Brunner and A. H. Meltzer. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1984.
      • 1984
      • Working Paper

      Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices

      By: Robert C. Merton and Terry A. Marsh
      Citation
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      Merton, Robert C., and Terry A. Marsh. "Earnings Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for Rationality of Stock Market Prices." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1559-84, April 1984.
      • 1983
      • Working Paper

      Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality

      By: Terry A. Marsh and Robert C. Merton
      Citation
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      Marsh, Terry A., and Robert C. Merton. "Aggregate Dividend Behavior and Its Implications for Tests of Stock Market Rationality." Sloan School of Management Working Paper, No. 1475-83, September 1983.
      • May 1983 (Revised December 1987)
      • Case

      Technical Data Corp.

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Describes a decision confronting the president of a small company about selling some or all of the shares in his company to another firm. Technical Data Corp. provides analytical services to professional bond market traders over a system of computer terminals operated... View Details
      Keywords: Stocks; Entrepreneurship; Business Startups; Internet and the Web; Information Infrastructure; Mobile and Wireless Technology; Valuation; Negotiation Tactics; Mergers and Acquisitions; Corporate Strategy; Horizontal Integration; Information Industry; Service Industry
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      Sahlman, William A. "Technical Data Corp." Harvard Business School Case 283-072, May 1983. (Revised December 1987.)
      • Article

      Variance-Minimizing Monetary Policies with Lagged Price Adjustment and Rational Expectations

      By: Jerry R. Green and Seppo Honkapohja
      This paper considers a macroeconomic model with rational expectations in which prices are incompletely flexible. Markets therefore fail to clear. In such a model monetary policy is not neutral. The variance of real and nominal quantities and interest rates is sensitive... View Details
      Citation
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      Green, Jerry R., and Seppo Honkapohja. "Variance-Minimizing Monetary Policies with Lagged Price Adjustment and Rational Expectations." European Economic Review 20, nos. 1-3 (January 1983): 123–141.
      • May – June 1981
      • Article

      Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?

      By: W. E. Fruhan Jr. and Thomas R. Piper
      Keywords: Stocks; Price; Value
      Citation
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      Fruhan, W. E., Jr., and Thomas R. Piper. "Is Your Stock Worth Its Market Price?" Harvard Business Review 59, no. 3 (May–June 1981).
      • Article

      On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation

      By: Robert C. Merton
      Keywords: Markets
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      Merton, Robert C. "On Estimating the Expected Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation." Journal of Financial Economics 8, no. 4 (December 1980): 1–39.
      • September 1976 (Revised January 1977)
      • Case

      Del Norte Paper Co. (C)

      By: William A. Sahlman
      Designed to serve two roles: first, it provides a reasonably comprehensive description of an ongoing capital budgeting system for the international operations of a large American company. Second, it allows the student to focus upon and critically analyze a series of... View Details
      Keywords: Capital Budgeting; International Relations; Globalized Markets and Industries; Goals and Objectives; Service Delivery; Business Subsidiaries; Performance Evaluation; Performance Expectations; Financial Services Industry; Pulp and Paper Industry
      Citation
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      Sahlman, William A. "Del Norte Paper Co. (C)." Harvard Business School Case 177-036, September 1976. (Revised January 1977.)
      • spring 1974
      • Article

      The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market

      By: Robert C. Merton and Marti G. Subrahmanyam
      Keywords: Competition; Stocks; Markets
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      Merton, Robert C., and Marti G. Subrahmanyam. "The Optimality of a Competitive Stock Market." Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 5, no. 1 (spring 1974): 145–170.
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath

      By: Antonio Falato, Giovanni Favara and David Scharfstein
      We present evidence that pressure to maximize short-term stock prices and earnings leads banks to increase risk. We start by showing that banks increase risk when they transition from private to public ownership through a public listing or an acquisition. The increase... View Details
      Keywords: Ownership Type; Risk and Uncertainty; Financial Markets; Banks and Banking; Transition; Price
      Citation
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      Falato, Antonio, Giovanni Favara, and David Scharfstein. "Bank Risk-Taking and the Real Economy: Evidence from the Housing Boom and Its Aftermath." Review of Financial Studies (forthcoming).
      • Research Summary

      Capital Flows and Capital Goods (joint with Eliza Hammel)

      By: Laura Alfaro
      We examine one of the channels through which financial integration can help promote growth. In particular, we study the effects of capital account liberalization on the imports of capital goods. We pay particular attention to the effects of equity market... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Consumer Decision Making and Behavioral Research

      By: John T. Gourville

      John Gourville’s research focuses on consumer behavior, especially in the areas of pricing and consumer decision making. In the area of pricing, for instance, he has looked at the role of time on how consumers interpret and react to product costs and prices.... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Corporate Governance

      By: Charles C.Y. Wang

      The characteristics and structure of boards of directors have important implications for firm performance. Professor Wang has found that firms with well-connected boards whose members have strong network connections provide economic benefits that are not immediately... View Details

      • Teaching Interest

      Doing Business in Africa

      By: John D. Macomber

      This course introduces frameworks and models for smart and focused investing and operations across sectors, nations, industries, and time frames in Africa.   Students will learn tools and skills to help navigate the business landscape of Africa in terms of selection... View Details

      Keywords: Africa
      • Research Summary

      Innovating in Energy: Learning from High-Potential Ventures

      By: Joseph B. Lassiter

      My work at HBS has always focused on high-potential ventures.  Most recently, these have been professionally financed start-ups and buyouts in newly emerging energy and cleantech businesses. These ventures tend to be based on innovative insights into technology and... View Details

      • Research Summary

      Managing Networked Businesses

      By: Thomas R. Eisenmann
      Platform-based businesses that leverage network effects face a distinctive set of management challenges. A platform encompasses components and rules that facilitate interactions between the platform's users. A platform-based product or service exhibits a network... View Details
      • Research Summary

      Overview

      By: Charlotte L. Robertson
      Professor Robertson conducts research on the history of financial markets. Her book manuscript and working papers shed light on the evolution of securities markets and the relationship between finance, governance, and society. Some of the topics she pursues include:... View Details
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness

      By: Marco Sammon
      I show that passive ownership negatively affects the degree to which stock prices anticipate earnings announcements. Estimates across several research designs imply that the rise in passive ownership over the last 30 years has caused the amount of information... View Details
      Keywords: Passive Ownership; ETFs; Market Efficiency; Price; Investment Funds; Stocks; Communication
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      Sammon, Marco. "Passive Ownership and Price Informativeness." Management Science (forthcoming). (Pre-published online September 17, 2024.)
      • Forthcoming
      • Article

      Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?

      By: Yi Ru, Ronghuo Zheng and Yuan Zou
      We investigate the impact of observing peers’ information acquisition on financial analysts’ allocation of attention. Using the timely disclosure mandate by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange as a setting, we find that, shortly after analysts observe that a firm has been... View Details
      Keywords: Corporate Disclosure; Information; Financial Institutions; Accounting; Financial Markets; Financial Services Industry; China
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      Ru, Yi, Ronghuo Zheng, and Yuan Zou. "Public Disclosure of Private Meetings: Does Observing Peers’ Information Acquisition Affect Analysts’ Attention Allocation?" Journal of Accounting Research (forthcoming). (Pre-published online March 3, 2025.)
      • Research Summary

      Research Thrust

      By: Rakesh Khurana
      I am trained in organizational sociology and my main areas of interest lie in macro-organizational theory and the dynamics of executive labor markets. To date, my research has focused on two themes. The first revolves around understanding the forces that govern the... View Details
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