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  • All HBS Web  (1,288)
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  • All HBS Web  (1,288)
    • News  (115)
    • Research  (1,047)
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    • Multimedia  (6)
  • Faculty Publications  (799)
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  • 12 Jul 2010
  • Research & Ideas

Rocket Science Retailing: A Practical Guide

Demand With total revenue likely to fluctuate much more than in the past, managers must be ready to take anticipatory action. Consequently, they should improve their ability to forecast aggregate demand. Supply chains during the last few... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace; Retail; Auto
  • October 2019
  • Article

Making Sense of Recommendations

By: Michael Yeomans, Anuj Shah, Sendhil Mullainathan and Jon Kleinberg
Computer algorithms are increasingly being used to predict people's preferences and make recommendations. Although people frequently encounter these algorithms because they are cheap to scale, we do not know how they compare to human judgment. Here, we compare computer... View Details
Keywords: Recommender Systems; Artificial Intelligence; Interpretability; Information Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Decision Making; Attitudes
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Yeomans, Michael, Anuj Shah, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Jon Kleinberg. "Making Sense of Recommendations." Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 32, no. 4 (October 2019): 403–414.
  • Article

The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis

By: S. N. Kaplan and R. S. Ruback
Keywords: Valuation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Theory
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Kaplan, S. N., and R. S. Ruback. "The Valuation of Cash Flow Forecasts: An Empirical Analysis." Journal of Finance 50, no. 4 (September 1995).
  • 1995
  • Chapter

Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability

By: S. B. White, M. H. Bazerman and M. A. Neale
Keywords: Negotiation; Outcome or Result; Forecasting and Prediction
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White, S. B., M. H. Bazerman, and M. A. Neale. "Alternative Models of Negotiated Outcomes and the Nontraditional Utility Concerns That Limit Their Predictability." In Research on Negotiation in Organizations, edited by R. J. Bies, R. Lewicki, and B. Sheppard. Greenwich, CT: JAI Press, 1995.
  • February 2013
  • Article

Daily Horizons: Evidence of Narrow Bracketing in Judgments from 9,000 MBA Admission Interviews

By: U. Simonsohn and F. Gino
Many professionals, from auditors and lawyers, to clinical psychologists and journal editors, divide a continuous flow of judgments into subsets. College admissions interviewers, for instance, evaluate but a handful of applicants a day. We conjectured that in such... View Details
Keywords: Judgments; Forecasting and Prediction; Research
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Simonsohn, U., and F. Gino. "Daily Horizons: Evidence of Narrow Bracketing in Judgments from 9,000 MBA Admission Interviews." Psychological Science 24, no. 2 (February 2013): 219–224.
  • November 1990 (Revised August 1996)
  • Background Note

Sampling and Statistical Inference

By: Arthur Schleifer Jr.
An introduction to sampling and statistical inference that covers the main concepts (confidence intervals, tests of statistical significance, choice of sample size) that are needed in making inferences about a population mean or percent. Includes discussion of problems... View Details
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction; Demographics
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Schleifer, Arthur, Jr. "Sampling and Statistical Inference." Harvard Business School Background Note 191-092, November 1990. (Revised August 1996.)
  • June 1999
  • Article

Projections onto Efficient Frontiers: Theoretical and Computational Extensions to DEA

By: F. Frei and P. Harker
Keywords: Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction; Theory
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Frei, F., and P. Harker. "Projections onto Efficient Frontiers: Theoretical and Computational Extensions to DEA." Journal of Productivity Analysis 11, no. 3 (June 1999): 275–300.
  • May 1990
  • Background Note

Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide

By: Robert J. Dolan
Presents a non-technical description of the conjoint analysis methodology. Discusses the process by which such a study is done and cites areas of application. View Details
Keywords: Marketing; Mathematical Methods; Forecasting and Prediction
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Dolan, Robert J. "Conjoint Analysis: A Manager's Guide." Harvard Business School Background Note 590-059, May 1990.
  • July 2005
  • Case

Freemark Abbey Winery (Abridged)

Freemark Abbey must decide whether to harvest in view of the possibility of rain. Rain could damage the crop but delaying the harvest would be risky. On the other hand, rain could be beneficial and greatly increase the value of the resulting wine. This decision is... View Details
Keywords: Plant-Based Agribusiness; Forecasting and Prediction; Agriculture and Agribusiness Industry; Food and Beverage Industry
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Krasker, William S. "Freemark Abbey Winery (Abridged)." Harvard Business School Case 606-004, July 2005.
  • 19 Dec 2006
  • First Look

First Look: December 19, 2006

In this paper we propose a perceptions framework for categorizing a range of inventory policies, including optimal inventory policies, that can be employed in a single-stage supply chain. The perceptions framework is based on forecasting... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 12, 2007

but all share a belief in the importance of understanding change over time. Publisher's site: http://www.oup.com/us/catalog/general/subject/Business/History/ The Effect of Macro Information Environment Change on the Quality of Management Earnings View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • Article

The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential

By: Daniella Kupor, Zakary L. Tormala and Michael I. Norton
Influence practitioners often highlight a target's achievements (e.g., "she is the city's top-rated chef"), but recent research reveals that highlighting a target's potential (e.g., "she could become the city's top-rated chef") can be more effective. We examine whether... View Details
Keywords: Risk and Uncertainty; Forecasting and Prediction; Performance Evaluation
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Kupor, Daniella, Zakary L. Tormala, and Michael I. Norton. "The Allure of Unknown Outcomes: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in the Preference for Potential." Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 55 (November 2014): 210–216.
  • 01 Jan 1977
  • Conference Presentation

Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data

By: James K. Sebenius and Richard Lehman
Keywords: Forecasting and Prediction; Research; Business and Government Relations; Energy Industry
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Sebenius, James K., and Richard Lehman. "Short Term Natural Gas Consumption Forecasts: Optimal Use of National Weather Service Data." Paper presented at the American Geophysical Union Annual Meeting, American Geophysical Union, January 01, 1977.
  • 1989
  • Chapter

The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry

By: Jerry A. Hausman and Elon Kohlberg
Keywords: Innovation and Invention; Communication Technology; Forecasting and Prediction; Telecommunications Industry
Citation
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Hausman, Jerry A., and Elon Kohlberg. "The Future Evolution of the Central Office Switching Industry." In Future Competition in Telecommunications, edited by Stephen P. Bradley and Jerry A. Hausman. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press, 1989.
  • 22 Aug 2006
  • First Look

First Look: August 22, 2006

countries I study, French civil law countries had, on average, stronger creditor rights that common law countries. Managing Functional Biases in Organizational Forecasts Authors:Rogelio Oliva and Noel Watson Periodical:Foresight:... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Dec 2020
  • What Do You Think?

How Can We Get Companies to Invest More in Low-Wage Workers?

inequality in job training. And yet the latter may account for much of the former. The MIT study forecasts a continuing mismatch between skills needed on the job and training opportunities for those who could provide them. Don’t overlook... View Details
Keywords: by James Heskett
  • 23 Sep 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

Nowcasting the Local Economy: Using Yelp Data to Measure Economic Activity at Scale

Keywords: by Edward L. Glaeser, Hyunjin Kim, and Michael Luca
  • 20 Mar 2017
  • Working Paper Summaries

Bubbles for Fama

Keywords: by Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You
  • September 2007
  • Case

Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man

By: Randolph B. Cohen
Describes the efforts made by the Boston Red Sox to sign superstar Japanese pitcher Daisuke (Dice-K) Matsuzaka within the context of the team's attempts to keep pace with longtime rival, the New York Yankees. In late 2006, Dice-K is viewed as the prize of the free... View Details
Keywords: Negotiation; Cash Flow; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Strategy; Sports Industry
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Cohen, Randolph B., Michael Barry, and F. Mark D'Annolfo. "Dice-K: The Hundred (Plus) Million Dollar Man." Harvard Business School Case 208-043, September 2007.
  • January 2007 (Revised April 2008)
  • Case

The Case of the Unidentified Industries - 2006

By: William E. Fruhan Jr.
Helps students to understand how the characteristics of a business are reflected in its financial statements. View Details
Keywords: Financial Statements; Business Ventures; Forecasting and Prediction; Financial Management
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Fruhan, William E., Jr. "The Case of the Unidentified Industries - 2006." Harvard Business School Case 207-096, January 2007. (Revised April 2008.)
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