Publications

2017
Working Paper

The Decline of Big-Bank Lending to Small Business: Dynamic Impacts on Local Credit and Labor Markets

By: Brian S. Chen, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein

Small business lending by the four largest banks fell sharply relative to others in 2008 and remained depressed through 2014. We explore the dynamic adjustment process following this credit supply shock. In counties where the largest banks had a high market share, the... View Details

Keywords: Small Business; Financing and Loans; Banks and Banking; System Shocks; Credit; Labor; United States

2014
Article

The Growth and Limits of Arbitrage: Evidence from Short Interest

By: Samuel G. Hanson and Adi Sunderam

We develop a novel methodology to infer the amount of capital allocated to quantitative equity arbitrage strategies. Using this methodology, which exploits time-variation in the cross section of short interest, we document that the amount of capital devoted to value... View Details

Keywords: Strategy; Financial Instruments; Capital Markets; Investment

June 2013
Article

Are There Too Many Safe Securities? Securitization and the Incentives for Information Production

By: Samuel G. Hanson and Adi Sunderam

We present a model that helps explain several past collapses of securitization markets. Originators issue too many informationally insensitive securities in good times, blunting investor incentives to become informed. The resulting endogenous scarcity of informed... View Details

Keywords: Information; Debt Securities; Financial Crisis

October 2018 (Revised January 2019)
Case

The Financial Crisis: Timothy Geithner and the Stress Tests

By: Samuel G. Hanson, Robin Greenwood, David Scharfstein and Adi Sunderam

In February and March 2009, the U.S. economy was in the midst of a terrifying financial and economic crisis. Between the beginning of 2008 and early 2009, four of the 25 largest U.S. financial institutions had failed, and nine of these 25 institutions had taken... View Details

Keywords: Bailout; Regulation; Stress Test; Financial Crisis; History; Economy; Policy; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Decision Making; Banking Industry; Financial Services Industry; Real Estate Industry; United States

Educators

Purchase

05 Oct 2010
First Look

First Look: October 5, 2010

and recovery to be associated with increases in orders from Hugo Boss's retailer customers Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-034.pdf A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity Authors:Robin View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

22 Dec 2015
First Look

December 22, 2015

2015 The $13 Trillion Question: How America Manages Its Debt The Optimal Maturity of Government Debt By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel Gregory Hanson Abstract—No abstract available.... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

01 Jul 2014
First Look

First Look: July 1

a mix of both. Wherever clubs fall on this spectrum, having a strategy that recognizes the global importance of stars is critical to long-lasting financial success. August 2013 Journal of Finance A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity By: View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

12 Jan 2016
First Look

January 12, 2016

theoretical and practical implications and suggest future directions. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50313 Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply By: Greenwood, Robin, View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

30 Aug 2016
First Look

August 30, 2016

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50545 A Model of Credit Market Sentiment By: Greenwood, Robin, Samuel G. Hanson, and Lawrence J. Jin Abstract—We present a model... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

April 2012
Article

Share Issuance and Factor Timing

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson

We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks' returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry. Specifically, we use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers... View Details

Keywords: Investment Portfolio; Stock Shares; Forecasting and Prediction; Investment Return; Policy; Profit

2016
Chapter

Forward Guidance in the Yield Curve: Short Rates versus Bond Supply

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel Gregory Hanson and Dimitri Vayanos

We present a model of the yield curve in which the central bank can provide market participants with forward guidance on both future short rates and on future Quantitative Easing (QE) operations, which affect bond supply. Forward guidance on short rates works through... View Details

Keywords: Central Banking; Financial Markets

28 Oct 2014
First Look

First Look: October 28

October 2014 Quarterly Journal of Economics Waves in Ship Prices and Investment By: Greenwood, Robin, and Samuel G. Hanson Abstract—We study the... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

18 May 2010
First Look

First Look: May 18

establishing that cultural values causally impact the contents of gender stereotypes. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/10-097.pdf Characteristic Timing Authors:Robin Greenwood and Samuel Gregory View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

12 Jul 2011
First Look

First Look: July 12

performance improvement. We highlight implications for institutional theory, managers, and policymakers. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/12-001.pdf Issuer Quality and the Credit Cycle Authors:Robin Greenwood and Samuel... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

25 Jan 2011
First Look

First Look: Jan. 25

association between creativity and dishonesty, thus highlighting a dark side of creativity. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-064.pdf Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns Authors:Robin Greenwood and Samuel View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

April 2022
Article

Predictable Financial Crises

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Andrei Shleifer and Jakob Ahm Sørensen

Using historical data on post-war financial crises around the world, we show that crises are substantially predictable. The combination of rapid credit and asset price growth over the prior three years, whether in the nonfinancial business or the household sector, is... View Details

Keywords: Financial Crisis; Global Range; Forecasting and Prediction; Mathematical Methods

11 Jan 2011
First Look

First Look: Jan. 11

strengthen their virtuous cycles, undermine those of rivals, and even use them to turn competitors' strengths into weaknesses. Read the article: http://hbr.org/2011/01/how-to-design-a-winning-business-model/ar/1# Share Issuance and Factor Timing Authors:Robin Greenwood... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

2017
Working Paper

The Financial Regulatory Reform Agenda in 2017

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam

We take stock of the post-crisis financial regulatory reform agenda. We highlight and summarize areas of clear progress, where post-crisis reforms should either be maintained or built upon. We then identify several areas where the new regulations could be streamlined... View Details

Keywords: Finance; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; United States