Publications

Article

Waves in Ship Prices and Investment

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson

We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but forecast low... View Details

Keywords: Business Earnings; Price; Investment; Shipping Industry

Article

Agency Costs, Mispricing, and Ownership Structure

By: Sergey Chernenko, C. Fritz Foley and Robin Greenwood

Standard theories of corporate ownership assume that because markets are efficient, insiders ultimately bear all agency costs that they create and therefore have a strong incentive to minimize conflicts of interest with outside investors. We argue that if equity is... View Details

Keywords: Business and Shareholder Relations; Ownership; Conflict of Interests; Investment; Valuation

2018
Working Paper

The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves

By: Robin Greenwood and Annette Vissing-Jorgensen

We document a strong effect of pension and insurance company (P&I) assets on the long end of the yield curve. Using data from 26 countries, the yield spread between 30-year and 10-year government bond yields is negatively related to the ratio of pension assets (in... View Details

Keywords: Pension Funds; Investment Funds; Insurance; Assets; Interest Rates; Bonds

SSRN

June 2013
Article

Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson

We show that the credit quality of corporate debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the... View Details

Keywords: Quality; Bonds; Forecasting and Prediction; Credit

September – October 2007
Article

Trading Patterns and Excess Comovement of Stock Returns

By: Robin Greenwood and Nathan Sosner

n April 2000, 30 stocks were replaced in the Nikkei 225 Index. The unusually broad index redefinition allowed for a study of the effects of index-linked trading on the excess comovement of stock returns. A large increase occurred in the correlation of trading volume of... View Details

Keywords: Stocks; Investment Return; Market Transactions; Mathematical Methods

Keywords: Jennifer Myers; illustration by Dan Bejar; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments

26 Nov 2019
News

Predicting Financial Market Bubbles and Crises in Real-time

Source: Greenwood Source: Greenwood Professor Robin Greenwood notes that faculty members across Harvard have long been exploring the behavioral... View Details

Keywords: Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments; Securities, Commodities, and Other Financial Investments

14 Aug 2007
First Look

First Look: August 14, 2007

Working PapersHedge Fund Investor Activism and Takeovers Authors:Robin Greenwood and Michael Schor Abstract We examine long-horizon stock returns around hedge fund activism... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

28 Nov 2017
News

The chance of a bitcoin crash is greater than 80%

04 Feb 2020
News

How we know that Tesla is a bubble that is going to pop

15 Feb 2021
News

This Is Where the Real Stock Market Bubble Is

01 Sep 2018
News

After the Fall

of Finance and Banking When searching out the causes of the 2008 financial crisis, Professor Robin Greenwood says one needs to look to the root of nearly every crisis: human... View Details

Web

How One Coffee Shop Is Brewing Change for Business and Society | Working Knowledge

Diversity and Inclusion How One Coffee Shop Is Brewing Change for Business and Society Featuring Richard S. Ruback and Robin View Details

11 Jun 2013
First Look

First Look: June 11

initial relative firm capabilities, market attractiveness, market-firm fit, and knowledge transferability. By explicitly incorporating firm rivalry across multiple markets, our model offers a comprehensive... View Details

Keywords: Carmen Nobel

20 Aug 2013
First Look

First Look: August 20

attaining quotas; and (3) quarterly bonuses help improve performance of the weak performers by serving as pacers to keep the sales force on track to achieve their annual sales quotas. The paper also... View Details

Keywords: Anna Secino

Web

Business Economics - Doctoral

Robin Greenwood , Emily Williams , and Edward Glaeser John Conlon, 2023 Stanford University, Department of Economics, Post-Doctoral Fellow (2023-2024), Carnegie Mellon... View Details

April 2010 (Revised May 2017)
Case

Tremblant Capital Group

By: Robin Greenwood

Brett Barakett, CEO and founder of Tremblant Capital Group, a New York–based hedge fund, must decide what to do with his fund's position in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, which has dropped in value by more than 40% in recent months. Tremblant is a hedge fund that... View Details

Keywords: Business Earnings; Behavioral Finance; Stocks; Investment Funds; Consumer Behavior; Competitive Advantage; Financial Services Industry; New York (city, NY)