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  • All HBS Web  (192)
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  • All HBS Web  (192)
    • News  (52)
    • Research  (119)
    • Events  (3)
    • Multimedia  (5)
  • Faculty Publications  (80)
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  • 2024
  • Working Paper

Finance Without Exotic Risk

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta and Andrei Shleifer
We address the joint hypothesis problem in cross-sectional asset pricing by using measured analyst expectations of earnings growth. We construct a firm-level measure of Expectations Based Returns (EBRs) that uses analyst forecast errors and revisions and shuts down any... View Details
Keywords: Investment Return; Financial Markets; Behavioral Finance; Risk and Uncertainty
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Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Rafael La Porta, and Andrei Shleifer. "Finance Without Exotic Risk." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33004, September 2024.
  • August 2023
  • Article

Taking Stock of the Implementation Gap in Climate Policy

By: Taryn Fransen, Jonas Meckling, Anna Stunzi, Tobias Schmidt, Florian Egli, Nicolas Schmid and Christopher Beaton
A gap persists between the emissions reductions pledged by countries under the Paris Agreement and those resulting from their domestic policies. We argue that this gap in fact contains two parts: one in the policies that countries adopt, and the other in the outcomes... View Details
Keywords: Emission Reduction; Outcome or Result; Policy; Environmental Regulation; Equality and Inequality
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Fransen, Taryn, Jonas Meckling, Anna Stunzi, Tobias Schmidt, Florian Egli, Nicolas Schmid, and Christopher Beaton. "Taking Stock of the Implementation Gap in Climate Policy." Nature Climate Change 13, no. 8 (August 2023): 752–755.
  • 22 Nov 2016
  • First Look

November 22, 2016

November 2016 Quarterly Journal of Economics Stereotypes By: Bordalo, Pedro, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, and Andrei Shleifer Abstract—We present a model of stereotypes based on Kahneman and Tversky's representativeness... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 05 Mar 2013
  • First Look

First Look: March 5

issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the financing costs faced View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 23 Oct 2012
  • First Look

First Look: October 23

  PublicationsInflection Point: New Vision, New Strategy, New Organization Authors:Nancy O.Andrews and Nicolas P. Retsinas Publication:In Investing in What Works for America's Communities. San Francisco:... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 2012
  • Chapter

Inflection Point: New Vision, New Strategy, New Organization

By: Nancy O. Andrews and Nicolas P. Retsinas
What does it cost to build a great society? More pointedly, what does it cost to lose a great society? Since the War on Poverty began almost 50 years ago, investments in America’s communities have spurred those questions. Today we face a society more unequal than... View Details
Keywords: Income Inequality; Equality and Inequality; Income; Residency; Poverty
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Andrews, Nancy O., and Nicolas P. Retsinas. "Inflection Point: New Vision, New Strategy, New Organization." In Investing in What Works for America's Communities: Essays on People, Place & Purpose, edited by Nancy O. Andrews, David J. Erickson, Ian J. Galloway, and Ellen S. Seidman, 407–419. San Francisco, CA: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2012.
  • January 2025
  • Supplement

Colbún’s Angostura Dam Project (B)

By: James K. Sebenius and Nicolas Andrade
The A case describes Colbún Chile’s plans for the Angostura dam in the Bío Bío River, a hydroelectric construction venture with major challenges given the region’s history of indigenous resistance. This context was especially unfavorable given the highly contentious... View Details
Keywords: Bargaining; Dam; Stakeholder Analysis; Environmental Negotiation; Negotiation; Conflict and Resolution; Alternative Energy; Natural Environment; Environmental Sustainability; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Energy Industry; Chile
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Sebenius, James K., and Nicolas Andrade. "Colbún’s Angostura Dam Project (B)." Harvard Business School Supplement 925-017, January 2025.
  • 2008
  • Book

Revisiting Rental Housing: Policies, Programs, and Priorities

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas and Eric S. Belsky
Rental housing is increasingly recognized as a vital housing option in the United States. Yet government policies and programs continue to grapple with widespread problems, including affordability, distressed urban neighborhoods, poor-quality housing stock,... View Details
Keywords: Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Policy; Government and Politics; Housing; Renting or Rental; Problems and Challenges; United States
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Retsinas, Nicolas P., and Eric S. Belsky, eds. Revisiting Rental Housing: Policies, Programs, and Priorities. Brookings Institution Press, 2008.
  • November 2006 (Revised August 2007)
  • Case

Chongqing Tiandi

By: Arthur I Segel, Nicolas P. Retsinas, Joshua A. Katzin, Nadeem Meghji and Cindy Yan
In late 2000, Vincent Lo, a prominent Hong Kong developer was invited by the Deputy Mayor of Chongqing, China to undertake a major redevelopment of the urban core. Lo had previously successfully developed the landmark Xintiandi retail and entertainment district in... View Details
Keywords: Demand and Consumers; Emerging Markets; Business and Government Relations; Urban Development; Real Estate Industry; Chongqing (municipality, China); Hong Kong
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Segel, Arthur I., Nicolas P. Retsinas, Joshua A. Katzin, Nadeem Meghji, and Cindy Yan. "Chongqing Tiandi." Harvard Business School Case 207-019, November 2006. (Revised August 2007.)
  • 26 Feb 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Feb. 26

advantage of a natural experiment involving two offsetting court rulings, separated by several weeks, that affected the antitakeover force of staggered boards for a subset of Delaware firms. We find evidence consistent with the hypothesis... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Mar 2011
  • First Look

First Look: March 22

and overly restricting access to credit and consumer choice. Nicolas Retsinas, Eric Belsky, and their colleagues aim to stimulate debate based on analysis of the opportunities and challenges presented by the... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • January 2025 (Revised January 2025)
  • Case

Colbún’s Angostura Dam Project (A)

By: James K. Sebenius and Nicolas Andrade
The A case describes Colbún Chile’s plans for the Angostura dam in the Bío Bío River, a hydroelectric construction venture with major challenges given the region’s history of indigenous resistance. This context was especially unfavorable given the highly contentious... View Details
Keywords: Bargaining; Conflict Resolution; Dam; Stakeholder Analysis; Environmental Negotiation; Negotiation; Energy Generation; Construction; Business and Stakeholder Relations; Conflict and Resolution; Energy Industry; Chile
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Sebenius, James K., and Nicolas Andrade. "Colbún's Angostura Dam Project (A)." Harvard Business School Case 925-016, January 2025. (Revised January 2025.)
  • January 2008
  • Teaching Note

Pacifica Residencial S.A. (TN)

By: Nicolas Retsinas
Teaching Note for [207094]. View Details
Keywords: Real Estate Industry; Financial Services Industry; Brazil
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Retsinas, Nicolas. "Pacifica Residencial S.A. (TN)." Harvard Business School Teaching Note 208-032, January 2008.
  • November 2006 (Revised January 2007)
  • Case

Habitat for Humanity International in South Africa

By: Nicolas P. Retsinas, Arthur I Segel and Nelson Hioe
In March 2006, Larry English, Director of Program Design and Innovation for Habitat for Humanity International Africa and the Middle East, was reflecting on a large development project in Durbin that had stalled. Notwithstanding global attention led by former President... View Details
Keywords: Partners and Partnerships; Investment; Innovation Strategy; Emerging Markets; Social Entrepreneurship; Poverty; Property; Projects; South Africa; Middle East
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Retsinas, Nicolas P., Arthur I Segel, and Nelson Hioe. "Habitat for Humanity International in South Africa." Harvard Business School Case 207-016, November 2006. (Revised January 2007.)
  • Article

Memory and Representativeness

By: Pedro Bordalo, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter and Andrei Shleifer
We explore the idea that judgment by representativeness reflects the workings of episodic memory, especially interference. In a new laboratory experiment on cued recall, participants are shown two groups of images with different distributions of colors. We find that i)... View Details
Keywords: Cued Recall; Interference; Similarity; Probabilistic Judgments; Heuristics And Biases
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Bordalo, Pedro, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, Nicola Gennaioli, Frederik Schwerter, and Andrei Shleifer. "Memory and Representativeness." Psychological Review 128, no. 1 (January 2021): 71–85.
  • October 2021
  • Article

Overcoming the Cold Start Problem of CRM Using a Probabilistic Machine Learning Approach

By: Nicolas Padilla and Eva Ascarza
The success of Customer Relationship Management (CRM) programs ultimately depends on the firm's ability to understand consumers' preferences and precisely capture how these preferences may differ across customers. Only by understanding customer heterogeneity, firms can... View Details
Keywords: Customer Management; Targeting; Deep Exponential Families; Probabilistic Machine Learning; Cold Start Problem; Customer Relationship Management; Programs; Consumer Behavior; Analysis
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Padilla, Nicolas, and Eva Ascarza. "Overcoming the Cold Start Problem of CRM Using a Probabilistic Machine Learning Approach." Journal of Marketing Research (JMR) 58, no. 5 (October 2021): 981–1006.
  • 2024
  • Working Paper

How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues

By: Nicola Gennaioli, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle and Andrei Shleifer
In a model of memory and selective recall, household inflation expectations remain rigid when inflation is anchored but exhibit sharp instability during inflation surges, as similarity prompts retrieval of forgotten high-inflation experiences. Using data from the New... View Details
Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Inflation and Deflation; Personal Finance
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Gennaioli, Nicola, Marta Leva, Raphael Schoenle, and Andrei Shleifer. "How Inflation Expectations De-Anchor: The Role of Selective Memory Cues." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 32633, June 2024.
  • 23 Oct 2018
  • First Look

New Research and Ideas, October 23, 2018

researchers to test and build new theories at a more granular level. Publisher's link: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=55151 forthcoming American Economic Review Beliefs about Gender By: Bordalo, Pedro, Katherine Baldiga Coffman, View Details
Keywords: Dina Gerdeman
  • November 1994 (Revised May 2002)
  • Case

K-III: A Leveraged Build-Up

By: George P. Baker III, Nicola Bamford and Nicolas Greenspan
Explores the strategy, financing, and governance of a new type of organizational form, dubbed the Leveraged Build-Up by its inventor, Kohlberg, Kravis, Roberts & Co. The company makes leveraged acquisitions of small publishing companies, managing them in a very... View Details
Keywords: Debt Securities; Financial Management; Leveraged Buyouts; Cash Flow; Organizational Structure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Corporate Governance; Financial Strategy; Corporate Finance; Publishing Industry
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Baker, George P., III, Nicola Bamford, and Nicolas Greenspan. "K-III: A Leveraged Build-Up." Harvard Business School Case 295-067, November 1994. (Revised May 2002.)
  • 2025
  • Working Paper

A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice

By: Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli, Giacomo Lanzani and Andrei Shleifer
We present a theory of decisions in which attention to the features of choice options is determined by the decision maker's categorization of the current choice problem in a set of problems she solved in the past. Categorization depends on goal-relevant as well as... View Details
Keywords: Cognition and Thinking; Perception; Decision Choices and Conditions
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Bordalo, Pedro, Nicola Gennaioli, Giacomo Lanzani, and Andrei Shleifer. "A Cognitive Theory of Reasoning and Choice." NBER Working Paper Series, No. 33466, February 2025.
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