Publications

SSRN

August 2015
Article

A Comparative-Advantage Approach to Government Debt Maturity

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein

We study optimal government debt maturity in a model where investors derive monetary services from holding riskless short-term securities. In a setting where the government is the only issuer of such riskless paper, it trades off the monetary premium associated with... View Details

Keywords: Sovereign Finance; Debt Securities

2016
Working Paper

Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle

By: David Lopez-Salido, Jeremy C. Stein and Egon Zakrajsek

Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2013, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t – 2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t and t + 1. Underlying this result is the existence of predictable mean reversion in credit-market conditions.... View Details

Keywords: Investment; Credit; Macroeconomics

Purchase

01 Mar 2016
First Look

March 1, 2016

economic conflicts behind the arguments put forward by the different parties. We also identify several key open questions. Download working paper: https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=50676 Credit-Market Sentiment and the... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

February 1996
Case

USX Corporation

By: Stuart C. Gilson and Jeremy Cott

A large diversified steel and energy firm is pressured by a corporate raider to spin off its steel business in order to increase its stock price. As an alternative to the spinoff, management proposes replacing the company's common stock with two new classes of... View Details

Keywords: Restructuring; Stocks; Valuation; Financial Institutions; Cash Flow

Educators

Purchase

31 Jan 2012
First Look

First Look: Jan. 31

relations. Read the paper: http://www.people.hbs.edu/mnorton/norton mason vandello biga dyer.pdf Toward a Three-Tier Market for U.S. Home Mortgages Authors:Robert C. Pozen Publication:Chap. 3 in The Future of Housing Finance:... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne & Carmen Nobel

June 2018
Article

The Fed, the Bond Market, and Gradualism in Monetary Policy

By: Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam

We develop a model of monetary policy with two key features: (i) the central bank has some private information about its long-run target for the policy rate, and (ii) the central bank is averse to bond-market volatility. In this setting, discretionary monetary policy... View Details

Keywords: Central Banking; Interest Rates; Policy; Bonds; Financial Markets

20 Apr 2010
First Look

First Look: April 20

Simmons (E) Amy C. Edmondson and Susan ThyneHarvard Business School Supplement 610-061 This case updates the "Leading Change at Simmons" series by examining Simmons' increasing debt under the... View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

January 1987 (Revised March 1989)
Background Note

Note on the Pricing of Mortgage-Backed Securities

By: Jay O. Light and Jeremy C. Stein

An introduction to mortgage-backed securities, prepayment risk, and their market pricing. View Details

Keywords: Price; Debt Securities; Mortgages; Financial Services Industry

March 2015
Article

Monetary Policy and Long-Term Real Rates

By: Samuel G. Hanson and Jeremy C. Stein

Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the... View Details

Keywords: Policy; Interest Rates; Economics

Fall 2020
Article

Business Credit Programs in the Pandemic Era

By: Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein, Adi Sunderam and Eric Zwick

We develop a pair of models that speak to the goals and design of the sort of business-lending and corporate-bond purchase programs that have been introduced by governments in response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. An overarching theme is that, in contrast to the... View Details

Keywords: COVID-19; Business Lending; Government Intervention; Econometric Models; Health Pandemics; Credit; Governance; Policy

17 Mar 2015
First Look

First Look: March 17

Publications March 2015 Journal of Financial Economics Banks as Patient Fixed-Income Investors By: Hanson, Samuel G., Andrei Shleifer, Jeremy C. Stein, and Robert W. Vishny Abstract—We examine the business... View Details

Keywords: Sean Silverthorne

2010
Mimeo

An Analysis of the Impact of 'Substantially Heightened' Capital Requirements on Large Financial Institutions

By: Anil Kashyap, Jeremy C. Stein and Samuel G. Hanson

We examine the impact of "substantially heightened" capital requirements on large financial institutions, and on their customers. Our analysis yields three main conclusions. First, the frictions associated with raising new external equity finance are likely to be... View Details

Keywords: Financial Institutions; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; Capital; Equity; Financing and Loans; Credit

11 Aug 2009
First Look

First Look: August 11, 2009

dangerous. Overall, they offer wise suggestions for making CBA more effective, rather than eliminating CBA as a decision-making tool. A Gap-Filling Theory of Corporate Debt Maturity Choice Authors:Robin Greenwood, Samuel Hanson, and View Details

Keywords: Martha Lagace

2024
Working Paper

Economic Budgeting for Endowment-Dependent Universities

By: John Y. Campbell, Jeremy C. Stein and Alex A. Wu

To understand their financial position, universities need to understand the long-term implications of their operating revenues and costs in relation to the financial assets they have available. Standard budgeting procedures that focus on one or two years at a time and... View Details

Keywords: Budgets and Budgeting; Cash Flow; Cost; Revenue; Education Industry

2017
Working Paper

The Financial Regulatory Reform Agenda in 2017

By: Robin Greenwood, Samuel G. Hanson, Jeremy C. Stein and Adi Sunderam

We take stock of the post-crisis financial regulatory reform agenda. We highlight and summarize areas of clear progress, where post-crisis reforms should either be maintained or built upon. We then identify several areas where the new regulations could be streamlined... View Details

Keywords: Finance; Governing Rules, Regulations, and Reforms; United States