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Publications

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  • All HBS Web  (60)
    • Research  (55)
  • Faculty Publications  (22)

Show Results For

  • All HBS Web  (60)
    • Research  (55)
  • Faculty Publications  (22)
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  • 23 Jan 2018
  • First Look

First Look at New Research and Ideas, January 23, 2018

Journal of Econometrics Scenario Generation for Long Run Interest Rate Risk Assessment By: Engle, Robert F., Guillaume Roussellet, and Emil N. Siriwardane Abstract—We propose a statistical model of the term structure of U.S. treasury... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 19 May 2015
  • First Look

First Look: May 19

decreased volatility of supply shocks and increased volatility of the Fed's long-run inflation target. Endogenous responses of bond risk premia amplify these effects of monetary policy on bond risks.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 13 Apr 2010
  • First Look

First Look: April 13

problem of an investor with power utility defined over wealth at a finite horizon, who faces a time-varying investment opportunity set, parameterized using a flexible vector autoregression. We apply this framework to study the horizon... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 01 Mar 2016
  • First Look

March 1, 2016

sentiment proxies indicate that credit risk is aggressively priced, this tends to be followed by a subsequent widening of credit spreads, and the timing of this widening is, in turn, closely tied to the onset of a contraction in economic... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 12 Jul 2011
  • First Look

First Look: July 12

debt issuers deteriorates during credit booms, and that this deterioration forecasts low excess returns to corporate bondholders. The key insight is that changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the financing costs... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 14 Mar 2017
  • First Look

First Look at New Research, March 14

https://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/item.aspx?num=52405 forthcoming Critical Finance Review Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds By: Campbell, John Y., Adi Sunderam, and Luis M. Viceira Abstract—The... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 01 Jul 2014
  • First Look

First Look: July 1

short-term debt against the refinancing risk implied by the need to roll over its debt more often. We then extend the model to allow private financial intermediaries to compete with the government in the provision of short-term,... View Details
Keywords: Carmen Nobel
  • 29 Apr 2014
  • First Look

First Look: April 29

more anti-inflationary stance, while the more recent decrease in bond risks after 1997 is attributed primarily to a renewed emphasis on output stabilization and an increase in the persistence of monetary policy. Endogenous responses of... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 25 Mar 2014
  • First Look

First Look: March 25

anti-inflationary stance, while the more recent decrease in bond risks after 1997 is attributed primarily to an increase in the persistence of monetary policy interacting with continued shocks to the central bank's inflation target.... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 29 Jan 2013
  • First Look

First Look: Jan. 29

some cases down to the source code level. Our study thus extends the concept of IP modularity to comprise the notion of hierarchy levels.   Working PapersInflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 21 Jan 2014
  • First Look

First Look: January 21

in bond risk premia. Specifically, bond risk premia are high when aggregate MBS duration is high. The model offers an explanation for why long-term rates may appear to be... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 22 Apr 2008
  • First Look

First Look: April 22, 2008

market looked behind "the thin film of gold." Our results point to a dichotomy: whereas country-risk premia fell after gold adoption in developed countries, there were no credibility gains in the volatile economic and political... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
  • 10 Jun 2002
  • Research & Ideas

How to Look at Globalization Now

the extra costs (not directly borne by the global producer) and risks of cross-border operation continue to be very significant. As a result, the net price premia, adjusted for risk, available to producers of globally standardized... View Details
Keywords: by Martha Lagace
  • 07 Aug 2012
  • First Look

First Look: August 7

at this time. Publisher's Link: http://ukcatalogue.oup.com/product/9780199730858.do Risky Trust: How Multi-entity Teams Develop Trust in High Risk Endeavors Authors:Faazia Rashid and Amy Edmondson Publication:In Restoring Trust in... View Details
Keywords: Sean Silverthorne
  • 20 Feb 2008
  • First Look

First Look: February 20, 2008

middlemen and defaulted on their loans. The risk of such events may explain, at least partly, why many seemingly more profitable export crops are not adopted. Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/08-065.pdf Catering through... View Details
Keywords: Martha Lagace
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